SCEE president Chris Deering predicts hardware sales by 2011

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HarlockJC

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#1 HarlockJC
Member since 2006 • 25546 Posts

Nintendo DS - 150 million
Wii - 80 million
PS3 - 70 million
PS2 - 90 million
PSP - 70 million
Xbox 360 - 40 million

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I wonder how much support we will see from Square based on these numbers.

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el_rika

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#2 el_rika
Member since 2004 • 3474 Posts
I think the PS2 one is a typo, maybe 190 mil.
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thriteenthmonke

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#3 thriteenthmonke
Member since 2005 • 49823 Posts
"PS2 - 90 million" Hasn't the PS2 already sold quite a bit more than that?
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HarlockJC

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#4 HarlockJC
Member since 2006 • 25546 Posts

I think the PS2 one is a typo, maybe 190 mil.el_rika

Yeah I saw that too

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stvee101

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#5 stvee101
Member since 2006 • 2953 Posts

Mmmm DS and Wii sales seem about right,but the PS3 is gonna have to start selling insanely well from now until 2011 to acheive those sales imo.

Also hasn't the PS2 sold something like 130 million already?

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Krigon

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#6 Krigon
Member since 2005 • 5591 Posts

So Sony will be buying back PS2's or it will sell 90 million units making the ps2 system base 230 million. (which is unlikely)

The numbers of the PS2 even if its 90 or 190 or 230 million is a reason why Sony should release a "wiimote" copy thats compatible with the PS2/PS3.

With so many users with the ps2, i believe some devs would be looking at multiplats.

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HarlockJC

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#7 HarlockJC
Member since 2006 • 25546 Posts

So Sony will be buying back PS2's or it will sell 90 million units making the ps2 system base 230 million. (which is unlikely)

The numbers of the PS2 even if its 90 or 190 or 230 million is a reason why Sony should release a "wiimote" copy thats compatible with the PS2/PS3.

With so many users with the ps2, i believe some devs would be looking at multiplats.

Krigon

I think that may be a bad idea for Sony. Yes making a Wiimote would allow them to get ports of Wii games. Then again it would also make 3rd party companies want to make more Wii games because they can port it on to another system.

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ShamrockRovers

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#8 ShamrockRovers
Member since 2006 • 1441 Posts

"PS2 - 90 million" Hasn't the PS2 already sold quite a bit more than that?thriteenthmonke

Yeh isn't like a 100 million already:|

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-Renegade

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#9 -Renegade
Member since 2007 • 8340 Posts
So in 2 years he's going to sell 50 million PS3s? Seems unrealistic to me...
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gongytron

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#10 gongytron
Member since 2004 • 463 Posts

[QUOTE="thriteenthmonke"]"PS2 - 90 million" Hasn't the PS2 already sold quite a bit more than that?ShamrockRovers

Yeh isn't like a 100 million already:|

no its actually like 130 million now, and still selling

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Hitman533

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#11 Hitman533
Member since 2008 • 642 Posts

Nintendo DS - 150 million
Wii - 80 million
PS3 - 70 million
PS2 - 90 million
PSP - 70 million
Xbox 360 - 40 million

Link

I wonder how much support we will see from Square based on these numbers.

HarlockJC

That's pretty much what is excepted to happen.

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surrealnumber5

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#12 surrealnumber5
Member since 2008 • 23044 Posts

if ps3 is at 15 mil by years end they think it will sell 18.3 mil a year for the next 3?????

if wii is at 35 by years end they think its going to sell 15 mil a year for the next 3 years????

i want 1 of what ever they are taking

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Krigon

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#13 Krigon
Member since 2005 • 5591 Posts

if ps3 is at 15 mil by years end they think it will sell 18.3 mil a year for the next 3?????

if wii is at 35 by years end they think its going to sell 15 mil a year for the next 3 years????

i want 1 of what ever they are taking

surrealnumber5

The price goes down for the systems, more games come out. More people jump in to the gaming wave :P

These are predictions and i hope they come true.

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-Renegade

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#14 -Renegade
Member since 2007 • 8340 Posts
[QUOTE="surrealnumber5"]

if ps3 is at 15 mil by years end they think it will sell 18.3 mil a year for the next 3?????

if wii is at 35 by years end they think its going to sell 15 mil a year for the next 3 years????

i want 1 of what ever they are taking

Krigon

The price goes down for the systems, more games come out. More people jump in to the gaming wave :P

These are predictions and i hope they come true.

Dude let's come back down to earth for a bit. PS3 will never sell at Wii's numbers.

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surrealnumber5

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#15 surrealnumber5
Member since 2008 • 23044 Posts
[QUOTE="surrealnumber5"]

if ps3 is at 15 mil by years end they think it will sell 18.3 mil a year for the next 3?????

if wii is at 35 by years end they think its going to sell 15 mil a year for the next 3 years????

i want 1 of what ever they are taking

Krigon

The price goes down for the systems, more games come out. More people jump in to the gaming wave :P

These are predictions and i hope they come true.

i think the wii will stay sold out for atlest the next 2 years they have the it thing going for them

there is no way the ps3 will be in the 199-250 price range within the next 3 years and LBP/Gt4 are the only big casual games comming out. if i recall correct GT4 is an 2010 game

square must still think playstation is what it was. then again any thing could happen

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mdisen

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#16 mdisen
Member since 2004 • 804 Posts
I laugh at those numbers. PS3 within 10 million of the Wii? :lol:
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Krigon

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#17 Krigon
Member since 2005 • 5591 Posts
[QUOTE="Krigon"][QUOTE="surrealnumber5"]

if ps3 is at 15 mil by years end they think it will sell 18.3 mil a year for the next 3?????

if wii is at 35 by years end they think its going to sell 15 mil a year for the next 3 years????

i want 1 of what ever they are taking

-Renegade

The price goes down for the systems, more games come out. More people jump in to the gaming wave :P

These are predictions and i hope they come true.

Dude let's come back down to earth for a bit. PS3 will never sell at Wii's numbers.

Not saying those numbers are correct.

Just saying that the price of systems will go down, which will increase sales numbers per year.

I also believe they are incorrect on the 360 numbers.

These are predictions. If you don't like them , make your own.

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-Renegade

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#18 -Renegade
Member since 2007 • 8340 Posts
[QUOTE="Krigon"][QUOTE="surrealnumber5"]

if ps3 is at 15 mil by years end they think it will sell 18.3 mil a year for the next 3?????

if wii is at 35 by years end they think its going to sell 15 mil a year for the next 3 years????

i want 1 of what ever they are taking

surrealnumber5

The price goes down for the systems, more games come out. More people jump in to the gaming wave :P

These are predictions and i hope they come true.

i think the wii will stay sold out for atleast the next 2 years they have the it thing going for them

there is no way the ps3 will be in the 199-250 price range within the next 3 years and LBP/Gt4 are the only big casual games coming out. if i recall correct GT4 is an 2010 game

square must still think playstation is what it was. then again any thing could happen

Now I think PS3 will easily be at the $199 range within the next 3 years they have to if they exspect these kind of numbers. But even with that the Wii has something PS3 doesn't the Wii mote. Like I said above PS3 will not ever sell on par with the Wii. Wii is a phenomenon.

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munu9

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#19 munu9
Member since 2004 • 11109 Posts

So in 2 years he's going to sell 50 million PS3s? Seems unrealistic to me...-Renegade

He probably means by this time in 2011. Which is 3 years. ~17 million PS3's per year doesn't sound too far-fetched

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AtrumRegina

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#20 AtrumRegina
Member since 2008 • 1584 Posts
more Sony lies ...tsk tsk tsk.
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Krigon

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#21 Krigon
Member since 2005 • 5591 Posts
They are probably expecting a big bump on the HD era (bluray - hdtv and such)
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-Renegade

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#22 -Renegade
Member since 2007 • 8340 Posts

[QUOTE="-Renegade"]So in 2 years he's going to sell 50 million PS3s? Seems unrealistic to me...munu9

He probably means by this time in 2011. Which is 3 years. ~17 million PS3's per year doesn't sound too far-fetched

Actually it does. Sony will only have shipped 23 million PS3s by March of 2009. Now that leaves 9 months in 2009 and 24 months with the years 2010 and 2011. That means they have 33 months to sell 47 million systems. That's basically 1.5 million PS3s a month. The numbers just don't add up even with price drops.

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-Renegade

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#23 -Renegade
Member since 2007 • 8340 Posts

more Sony lies ...tsk tsk tsk.AtrumRegina

"former SCEE president Chris Deering"

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Senor_Kami

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#24 Senor_Kami
Member since 2008 • 8529 Posts

I didn't read the topic. I want to guess and see how accurate I am with zero influence.

Hmmm, assuming vgchartz is at least accurate within 5 million units i'll say that by the end of 2011 the Sony head feels that:

Wii = 50 million

360 = 30 million

PS3 = 60 million

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surrealnumber5

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#25 surrealnumber5
Member since 2008 • 23044 Posts
[QUOTE="-Renegade"][QUOTE="Krigon"][QUOTE="surrealnumber5"]

if ps3 is at 15 mil by years end they think it will sell 18.3 mil a year for the next 3?????

if wii is at 35 by years end they think its going to sell 15 mil a year for the next 3 years????

i want 1 of what ever they are taking

Krigon

The price goes down for the systems, more games come out. More people jump in to the gaming wave :P

These are predictions and i hope they come true.

Dude let's come back down to earth for a bit. PS3 will never sell at Wii's numbers.

Not saying those numbers are correct.

Just saying that the price of systems will go down, which will increase sales numbers per year.

I also believe they are incorrect on the 360 numbers.

These are predictions. If you don't like them , make your own.

i just anted to point out what would have to happen inorder for ps3 to get with in spitting range of the wii

but if you want my crystal ball:

wii 90-120 depending on how production and hype goes

ps3 40-60 depending on if it and blu-ray gets adoped and priced at a casual level

360 40-50 if it can stay cheaper and have a better library then the ps3..... its less then the ps3 because its not a bluray player another 17 mil in 3 years after the first 3 has had about 23 seems about fair

now if any system gets another wii sports (not wii sports2) then the numbers could change in their faver greatly

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NoobisMaxcimus

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#26 NoobisMaxcimus
Member since 2007 • 2893 Posts

Its a freakin prediction man, how is it a lie? wrong=/=lie. Well w/e anything to bash Sony amirite?

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naruto7777

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#27 naruto7777
Member since 2007 • 8059 Posts
no the xbox will sell 150 million
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munu9

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#28 munu9
Member since 2004 • 11109 Posts

more Sony lies ...tsk tsk tsk.AtrumRegina

:| How old are you? None us knows if this will come true or not. It is a prediction. a prediction can't be a lie. Even if it's a PR sugar coated one

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Gamingcucumber

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#29 Gamingcucumber
Member since 2004 • 5612 Posts

I wouldn't be surprised if Microsoft and Nintendo have announced their "next-gen" consoles by 2010, which makes those PS3 numbers highly unlikely. And a 299$+ console just doesn't fit the market type that is today.

I think we already see a decline in Wii and DS interests unless Nintendo up their game. And Microsoft is going very strong this year, but 09 seems unclear.

What we know so far Sony has a "few" titles that could help them get better sales such as God Of War 3, FFXIII Vs and LBP. But other than that, I don't think Killzone 2 and MAG is going to bring a whole lot of new players to the brand.

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johnnyblazed88

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#30 johnnyblazed88
Member since 2008 • 4240 Posts
wow, they really think their gonna crush 360 huh
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vaderhater

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#31 vaderhater
Member since 2003 • 3972 Posts

[QUOTE="AtrumRegina"]more Sony lies ...tsk tsk tsk.-Renegade

"formerSCEE president Chris Deering"

No wonder he is no longer with Sony. Poor sony still cant keep some of these buffoons quiet!
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alexmurray

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#32 alexmurray
Member since 2005 • 2665 Posts
and sonys former president is a reliable source