I think Sony will be the next Wii this upcoming generation. The console with the inferior Hardware, except this time it won't be sporting any gimmick anyone will care about.
While Sony is trying to mimick the Wii as much as possible (And will likely fail, since it's charging $80 for its doppelganger) Microsoft has expanded motion control to beyond the controller - and Nintendo has taken Sony's feeble attempts at 3D and made it into something more accessible.
What does Sony have now? Not much, the competition is going to kick its butt - again.
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