Why are people discussing Next Gen Consoles already?

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Zero_epyon

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#1 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

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Javy03

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#2 Javy03
Member since 2006 • 6886 Posts

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

Zero_epyon
People are just bored and having trouble finding topics to converse about. I am not sure what people's rush is for next gen. The gen. just starts getting good toward the end when devs have the experience to push systems. Not to mention the fact that currently the tech these games are using are more advanced then what most people have in their living room currently and devs. are crying about how expensive this gen. is.
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WINDWAKER1

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#3 WINDWAKER1
Member since 2003 • 3397 Posts

sometimes they're referenced as part of a joke, but it's mostly out of boredom

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Zero_epyon

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#4 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

sometimes they're referenced as part of a joke, but it's mostly out of boredom

WINDWAKER1
Fair enough I guess. I just think they're wasting time. Could be out bashing something instead.
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Wasdie

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#5 Wasdie  Moderator
Member since 2003 • 53622 Posts

Why not? Half the fun of SWs is at the end of a generation when all we have speculation and rumors about the next.

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VideoGameGuy

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#6 VideoGameGuy
Member since 2002 • 7695 Posts
this gen is boring
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wayne_kar

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#7 wayne_kar
Member since 2009 • 2090 Posts
this gen is boringVideoGameGuy
no its not.
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wayne_kar

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#8 wayne_kar
Member since 2009 • 2090 Posts

they cant discuss something when theirs nothing to discuss

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deactivated-586249e1b64ba

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#9 deactivated-586249e1b64ba
Member since 2004 • 7629 Posts

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

Zero_epyon

The more you realize you're losing, the quicker you want things to end.

Feel free to interpret that however you want. I can see two different interpretations so far.

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jhcho2

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#10 jhcho2
Member since 2004 • 5103 Posts

well, that is the way with technology i guess. As technology progresses, the life-cycle of products shorten drastically. Just compare the life cycle of an NVIDIA card now compared to 10 years ago.

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AppleBlade

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#11 AppleBlade
Member since 2008 • 615 Posts

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

Zero_epyon

The 360 came out in 2006, if it had a normal 5 year lifespan it's successor would come out in 2011. Usually systems get revealed about a year or so before launch. So that means if the 360 has a normal lifespan it's successor will be shown in 2010 which is next year. I think next gen could be closer then you think.

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VideoGameGuy

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#12 VideoGameGuy
Member since 2002 • 7695 Posts
[QUOTE="VideoGameGuy"]this gen is boringwayne_kar
no its not.

Othe then Nintendo throwing a wrench in things, it's basically last gen, with fewer good games.. i.e. more boring.
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badtaker

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#13 badtaker
Member since 2009 • 3806 Posts
because this gen cannot beat crysis in graphics department and that hurts them.
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cowgriller

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#14 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

Zero_epyon

just started? what are kidding me? the 360 has been out for almost 4 years now. if anything, we're nearing the end of this generation. the 10 year life cycle is total BS. every time some one states this, they forget that the successor of the console comes out 5 or 6 years after the first launched. case in point, the ps one launched in 1994, the ps2 launched in 2000. the ps one had a 10 year life but it didn't stop sony from launching the ps2 6 years after the ps one. the ps3 came out in 2006, once again 6 years after its predecessor. MS launched the xbox in 2001 and the 360 in 2005.

the current gen is nearing its end and has at most 2 years left in it. get used to the fact that the closer we get to the launch of the new gen consoles (abut 2012) the more threads you'll see about people guess what hardware will be in the consoles and what kinds of graphics they will produce.

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wayne_kar

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#15 wayne_kar
Member since 2009 • 2090 Posts
[QUOTE="wayne_kar"][QUOTE="VideoGameGuy"]this gen is boringVideoGameGuy
no its not.

Othe then Nintendo throwing a wrench in things, it's basically last gen, with fewer good games.. i.e. more boring.

still don't agree but thank for explaining.
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cowgriller

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#16 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"]

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

AppleBlade

The 360 came out in 2006, if it had a normal 5 year lifespan it's successor would come out in 2011. Usually systems get revealed about a year or so before launch. So that means if the 360 has a normal lifespan it's successor will be shown in 2010 which is next year. I think next gen could be closer then you think.

the 360 launched in November 2005. this gen, both MS and sony, as well as a few devs, have stated will be longer. why? because it's too expensive and they need to make some money to recoup their loses (especially sony) before they move on to the next gen consoles. it's logical to say that the new consoles will come out in 2012.

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blue_hazy_basic

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#17 blue_hazy_basic  Moderator
Member since 2002 • 30854 Posts
I for one am ready for newer console technology!
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mitu123

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#18 mitu123
Member since 2006 • 155290 Posts

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"]

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

AppleBlade

The 360 came out in 2006

2005 actually.

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AppleBlade

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#19 AppleBlade
Member since 2008 • 615 Posts

[QUOTE="AppleBlade"]

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"]

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

cowgriller

The 360 came out in 2006, if it had a normal 5 year lifespan it's successor would come out in 2011. Usually systems get revealed about a year or so before launch. So that means if the 360 has a normal lifespan it's successor will be shown in 2010 which is next year. I think next gen could be closer then you think.

the 360 launched in November 2005. this gen, both MS and sony, as well as a few devs, have stated will be longer. why? because it's too expensive and they need to make some money to recoup their loses (especially sony) before they move on to the next gen consoles. it's logical to say that the new consoles will come out in 2012.

Wow, I had a mental fart, you're right the 360 came out in 2005. Anyways, even though I said 2011 in my original post I do think 2012 is probably more likely.
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CwlHeddwyn

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#20 CwlHeddwyn
Member since 2005 • 5314 Posts

Nintendo didnt go the high power route, they took the Gamecube 1.5 route this gen- kinda meant the console got stale after motion controls got boring.

next gen will be about 2 years away. by then the X360 & PS3 will be obsolete. the Wii well lets not talk about it. sales for it are already plateauing.

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sikanderahmed

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#21 sikanderahmed
Member since 2007 • 5444 Posts

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

Zero_epyon

This gen just started? xbox 360 came out in late 2005, that means couple of months from now 360 will be 4 years old. you know the original xbox only lasted 4 years?

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Zero_epyon

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#22 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"]

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

sikanderahmed

This gen just started? xbox 360 came out in late 2005, that means couple of months from now 360 will be 4 years old. you know the original xbox only lasted 4 years?

The original Xbox lasted 4 years because it arrived late in the generation. It would have been crushed if it had to go against ps3 and MS would have to work harder if it launched together with PS3. It had little to do with the hardware being outdated enough or with developers.
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cowgriller

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#23 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

[QUOTE="VideoGameGuy"][QUOTE="wayne_kar"] no its not. wayne_kar
Othe then Nintendo throwing a wrench in things, it's basically last gen, with fewer good games.. i.e. more boring.

still don't agree but thank for explaining.

can i try my guess to what he was thinking? this gen is made up primarily of sequels and games with short campaigns (6-10 hours). tbh, most games are not worth the $60 asking price. there are a few games that are worth the price, but there are still a lot more that are not. for instance, the CoD series, short 6 hour campaigns that are just last years game with a new skin; guitar hero, did we really need 5 of them? couldn't they just add more music tracks to the older title instead of making a "new" version with more gimmicks? same goes for rock band.

then there are games that are too ambitious and promise to give gameplay and storytelling a huge jump, only to flop. examples, alone in the dark, to an extent killzone 2 (failed to sell very well despite its 4 year hype cycle. *gets flame shield*), lair (there have to be more 360 games that fit this category but i can't seem to think of any right now, so if you or anyone else would like to add to the "ambitious fail" category, please do so.)

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cowgriller

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#24 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

[QUOTE="cowgriller"]

[QUOTE="AppleBlade"]The 360 came out in 2006, if it had a normal 5 year lifespan it's successor would come out in 2011. Usually systems get revealed about a year or so before launch. So that means if the 360 has a normal lifespan it's successor will be shown in 2010 which is next year. I think next gen could be closer then you think.

AppleBlade

the 360 launched in November 2005. this gen, both MS and sony, as well as a few devs, have stated will be longer. why? because it's too expensive and they need to make some money to recoup their loses (especially sony) before they move on to the next gen consoles. it's logical to say that the new consoles will come out in 2012.

Wow, I had a mental fart, you're right the 360 came out in 2005. Anyways, even though I said 2011 in my original post I do think 2012 is probably more likely.

aww man, that must've been one hell of a mental fart. your room must stink? :P

don't worry about it. it's an honest mistake.

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wayne_kar

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#25 wayne_kar
Member since 2009 • 2090 Posts

[QUOTE="wayne_kar"][QUOTE="VideoGameGuy"] Othe then Nintendo throwing a wrench in things, it's basically last gen, with fewer good games.. i.e. more boring.cowgriller

still don't agree but thank for explaining.

can i try my guess to what he was thinking? this gen is made up primarily of sequels and games with short campaigns (6-10 hours). tbh, most games are not worth the $60 asking price. there are a few games that are worth the price, but there are still a lot more that are not. for instance, the CoD series, short 6 hour campaigns that are just last years game with a new skin; guitar hero, did we really need 5 of them? couldn't they just add more music tracks to the older title instead of making a "new" version with more gimmicks? same goes for rock band.

then there are games that are too ambitious and promise to give gameplay and storytelling a huge jump, only to flop. examples, alone in the dark, to an extent killzone 2 (failed to sell very well despite its 4 year hype cycle. *gets flame shield*), lair (there have to be more 360 games that fit this category but i can't seem to think of any right now, so if you or anyone else would like to add to the "ambitious fail" category, please do so.)

i still don't find this gen boring though. i've never found any gen boring. if i found gaming boring i wouldn't bother anymore. id be stupid to... right.
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cowgriller

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#26 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

[QUOTE="sikanderahmed"]

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"]

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

Zero_epyon

This gen just started? xbox 360 came out in late 2005, that means couple of months from now 360 will be 4 years old. you know the original xbox only lasted 4 years?

The original Xbox lasted 4 years because it arrived late in the generation. It would have been crushed if it had to go against ps3 and MS would have to work harder if it launched together with PS3. It had little to do with the hardware being outdated enough or with developers.

actually it had a 4 year life cycle because MS lost billions of dollars on it from royalty fees it had to pay to nvidia and intel for using off the shelf pc parts. even though the parts were out dated, they refused to lower the price of the hardware, in turn, when MS lowered the price of the console, they lost more money.

to say that MS was scared of the ps3 and had to scrap the xbox original is ridiculous. infact, MS launched the 360 before the ps3 so that they could get a larger install base, thus more potential game buyers which in turn leads to MS making back the money that they lost on the xbox original. truth is, sony was supposed to have launched the ps3 around the same time frame as the 360 but they had a blue laser diode shortage. this one small item caused a one year delay in the shipments/sales of the ps3.

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cowgriller

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#27 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

[QUOTE="cowgriller"]

[QUOTE="wayne_kar"] still don't agree but thank for explaining. wayne_kar

can i try my guess to what he was thinking? this gen is made up primarily of sequels and games with short campaigns (6-10 hours). tbh, most games are not worth the $60 asking price. there are a few games that are worth the price, but there are still a lot more that are not. for instance, the CoD series, short 6 hour campaigns that are just last years game with a new skin; guitar hero, did we really need 5 of them? couldn't they just add more music tracks to the older title instead of making a "new" version with more gimmicks? same goes for rock band.

then there are games that are too ambitious and promise to give gameplay and storytelling a huge jump, only to flop. examples, alone in the dark, to an extent killzone 2 (failed to sell very well despite its 4 year hype cycle. *gets flame shield*), lair (there have to be more 360 games that fit this category but i can't seem to think of any right now, so if you or anyone else would like to add to the "ambitious fail" category, please do so.)

i still don't find this gen boring though. i've never found any gen boring. if i found gaming boring i wouldn't bother anymore. id be stupid to... right.

it's not so much that the games are boring, it's that they have little replay value or incentive to replay the game. look at assassins creed. the game is fun the first time around, but gets boring and repetitive when you try to replay the game. mass effect is similar but only for the side quests.

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Zero_epyon

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#28 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"][QUOTE="sikanderahmed"]

This gen just started? xbox 360 came out in late 2005, that means couple of months from now 360 will be 4 years old. you know the original xbox only lasted 4 years?

cowgriller

The original Xbox lasted 4 years because it arrived late in the generation. It would have been crushed if it had to go against ps3 and MS would have to work harder if it launched together with PS3. It had little to do with the hardware being outdated enough or with developers.

actually it had a 4 year life cycle because MS lost billions of dollars on it from royalty fees it had to pay to nvidia and intel for using off the shelf pc parts. even though the parts were out dated, they refused to lower the price of the hardware, in turn, when MS lowered the price of the console, they lost more money.

to say that MS was scared of the ps3 and had to scrap the xbox original is ridiculous. infact, MS launched the 360 before the ps3 so that they could get a larger install base, thus more potential game buyers which in turn leads to MS making back the money that they lost on the xbox original. truth is, sony was supposed to have launched the ps3 around the same time frame as the 360 but they had a blue laser diode shortage. this one small item caused a one year delay in the shipments/sales of the ps3.

I didn't say they were scared of the PS3. I meant what you said about getting a larger install base. They wouldn't have the user base they have now if they launched with the PS3.
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musicalmac

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#29 musicalmac  Moderator
Member since 2006 • 25101 Posts
I think it's ok to start chatting about what they could be. We're quite a few years into the current gen. It would be foolish not to be thinking ahead.
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cowgriller

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#30 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

[QUOTE="cowgriller"]

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"] The original Xbox lasted 4 years because it arrived late in the generation. It would have been crushed if it had to go against ps3 and MS would have to work harder if it launched together with PS3. It had little to do with the hardware being outdated enough or with developers. Zero_epyon

actually it had a 4 year life cycle because MS lost billions of dollars on it from royalty fees it had to pay to nvidia and intel for using off the shelf pc parts. even though the parts were out dated, they refused to lower the price of the hardware, in turn, when MS lowered the price of the console, they lost more money.

to say that MS was scared of the ps3 and had to scrap the xbox original is ridiculous. infact, MS launched the 360 before the ps3 so that they could get a larger install base, thus more potential game buyers which in turn leads to MS making back the money that they lost on the xbox original. truth is, sony was supposed to have launched the ps3 around the same time frame as the 360 but they had a blue laser diode shortage. this one small item caused a one year delay in the shipments/sales of the ps3.

I didn't say they were scared of the PS3. I meant what you said about getting a larger install base. They wouldn't have the user base they have now if they launched with the PS3.

that is true. infact, the ps3, if launched for $400 would have sold more than the 360 because of brand recognition. thanks to an unforeseen delay to the ps3, the xbox brand is now becoming huge and well trusted (though the RRoD and E74 problems were like a kick to the nuts. MS lost some respect and user support from those. it may even have kept the sales low for a time but that's just speculation.)

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EwwFanboys

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#31 EwwFanboys
Member since 2009 • 123 Posts
[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"]

I've seen numerous threads about PS4's and Xbox 720's and even a Wii 2! This gen just started. The xbox has another 2-4 years on it and the wii and ps3 has another 4-6. Let's wait another couple of years before we start waisting time speculating specs and enjoy the games we're getting now.

Javy03
People are just bored and having trouble finding topics to converse about. I am not sure what people's rush is for next gen. The gen. just starts getting good toward the end when devs have the experience to push systems. Not to mention the fact that currently the tech these games are using are more advanced then what most people have in their living room currently and devs. are crying about how expensive this gen. is.

This. I want this generation to run for another 6 years, lol. Honestly, the visuals are good enough to entertain. Just look at Uncharted 2. We'll be getting games looking better and better AND will have an amazing library afterwards. The jump to next gen will probably not be as substantially as PS2 to PS3 or Xbox to Xbox 360.
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ColdfireTrilogy

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#32 ColdfireTrilogy
Member since 2005 • 4911 Posts
the same reason people begin discussing new models of automobiles early. For that fact any update of any product usually gets speculated about at least a year in advance, how old are you?
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Zero_epyon

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#33 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts
the same reason people begin discussing new models of automobiles early. For that fact any update of any product usually gets speculated about at least a year in advance, how old are you?ColdfireTrilogy
I'm 25 if you need to know. I don't follow cars closely but I will say that cars get refreshed on a yearly basis until they're overhauled. They always happen on a set time frame so it's easier to speculate on the next model since we know for a fact it's coming. Technology is different. I'm sure a lot of people weren't expecting the Xbox to drop off so soon and see the 360 come so early.
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EwwFanboys

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#34 EwwFanboys
Member since 2009 • 123 Posts
What does is age have to do with this question? You want to know how many dumb questions I've read today? Where were you to question those people?
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#35 PAL360
Member since 2007 • 30574 Posts

I love this gen but i love even more the jump from a gen to another. 2010/2011 i´ll be ready for the next one :D

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Zero_epyon

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#36 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts
What does is age have to do with this question? You want to know how many dumb questions I've read today? Where were you to question those people?EwwFanboys
thanks. I guess he felt that since he disagrees with me I must be a child. But anyway his point didn't really apply well to the argument. people don't seeem to notice the numbers i posted. we're in 2009, the xbox has 2-4 years left putting us in a range of 2011-2013 for a new console. the PS3 has another 4-6 putting us in 2013-1015. What's wrong with that speculation? It seems very realistic to me. We should at least wait till next year to talk aout next gen and worry about our games now. If we don't show interest what will motivate the developers, besides money?
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#37 aero250
Member since 2009 • 3613 Posts
I don't get it either.
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#38 Riverwolf007
Member since 2005 • 26023 Posts

why not? we will probably have a new xbox in fall 2011, at least that's the odds on favorite, it's possible that ms will milk the 360 until 2012 but i doubt it

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#39 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

[QUOTE="EwwFanboys"]What does is age have to do with this question? You want to know how many dumb questions I've read today? Where were you to question those people?Zero_epyon
thanks. I guess he felt that since he disagrees with me I must be a child. But anyway his point didn't really apply well to the argument. people don't seeem to notice the numbers i posted. we're in 2009, the xbox has 2-4 years left putting us in a range of 2011-2013 for a new console. the PS3 has another 4-6 putting us in 2013-1015. What's wrong with that speculation? It seems very realistic to me. We should at least wait till next year to talk aout next gen and worry about our games now. If we don't show interest what will motivate the developers, besides money?

the only thing unrealistic about your time line is the life span you gave to the ps3. if sony wants to be competitive and steal momentum from nintendo and ms, they need to launch a new console around the same time frame as their competitors, not a few years later. there is also the fact that sony has yet to make a profit on the ps3. sure they lowered the production costs by 70%, but 70% from what? we don't know for a fact how much it cost sony to make the ps3, only speculation. furthermore, they are "starting" to manufacture the ps3 at a lower cost, but the ps3's on the shelves are still costing them 70% more because they were made with an older, more costly method. they will still lose money on those units. they may be able to make money from the new ones, but that has yet to be seen, though i am not doubting that they will make money off the slim.

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#40 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

why not? we will probably have a new xbox in fall 2011, at least that's the odds on favorite, it's possible that ms will milk the 360 until 2012 but i doubt it

Riverwolf007

remember, ms is going to sell a new 360 sku in the fall of '10 that will come with natal. they may want to sell that for more than one year to see how well it does and to try to make more money from it (also to see if it's popular enough to be added to the next gen xbox.)

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#41 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"][QUOTE="EwwFanboys"]What does is age have to do with this question? You want to know how many dumb questions I've read today? Where were you to question those people?cowgriller

thanks. I guess he felt that since he disagrees with me I must be a child. But anyway his point didn't really apply well to the argument. people don't seeem to notice the numbers i posted. we're in 2009, the xbox has 2-4 years left putting us in a range of 2011-2013 for a new console. the PS3 has another 4-6 putting us in 2013-1015. What's wrong with that speculation? It seems very realistic to me. We should at least wait till next year to talk aout next gen and worry about our games now. If we don't show interest what will motivate the developers, besides money?

the only thing unrealistic about your time line is the life span you gave to the ps3. if sony wants to be competitive and steal momentum from nintendo and ms, they need to launch a new console around the same time frame as their competitors, not a few years later. there is also the fact that sony has yet to make a profit on the ps3. sure they lowered the production costs by 70%, but 70% from what? we don't know for a fact how much it cost sony to make the ps3, only speculation. furthermore, they are "starting" to manufacture the ps3 at a lower cost, but the ps3's on the shelves are still costing them 70% more because they were made with an older, more costly method. they will still lose money on those units. they may be able to make money from the new ones, but that has yet to be seen, though i am not doubting that they will make money off the slim.

I see but If you look at the track record though, each PS systems lasted about 6 years before a new console was released which is what I based my speculation on. The difference is that Sony will most likely continue to produce and support PS3's even if the PS4 is out. That could happen in the next couple of years but who's to say right now.
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#42 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

[QUOTE="cowgriller"]

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"] thanks. I guess he felt that since he disagrees with me I must be a child. But anyway his point didn't really apply well to the argument. people don't seeem to notice the numbers i posted. we're in 2009, the xbox has 2-4 years left putting us in a range of 2011-2013 for a new console. the PS3 has another 4-6 putting us in 2013-1015. What's wrong with that speculation? It seems very realistic to me. We should at least wait till next year to talk aout next gen and worry about our games now. If we don't show interest what will motivate the developers, besides money?Zero_epyon

the only thing unrealistic about your time line is the life span you gave to the ps3. if sony wants to be competitive and steal momentum from nintendo and ms, they need to launch a new console around the same time frame as their competitors, not a few years later. there is also the fact that sony has yet to make a profit on the ps3. sure they lowered the production costs by 70%, but 70% from what? we don't know for a fact how much it cost sony to make the ps3, only speculation. furthermore, they are "starting" to manufacture the ps3 at a lower cost, but the ps3's on the shelves are still costing them 70% more because they were made with an older, more costly method. they will still lose money on those units. they may be able to make money from the new ones, but that has yet to be seen, though i am not doubting that they will make money off the slim.

I see but If you look at the track record though, each PS systems lasted about 6 years before a new console was released which is what I based my speculation on. The difference is that Sony will most likely continue to produce and support PS3's even if the PS4 is out. That could happen in the next couple of years but who's to say right now.

the ps3 is a different case though. it's the only ps console too continue to lose money for sony even after it's been in the market for nearly 3 years. it is also the most expensive simply because it was the most ambitious. sony's other two home consoles were never the most powerful and thus, the cost to make games on them was lower than the competition. sony not only designed the chips in the ps2, but they fabricated them in house as well. that leads to lower costs because they wouldn't have to pay for royalties. the ps3 uses an nvidia gpu (and judging by nvidia's home console track record, whose to say that they won't screw sony over like they did MS?), and a cpu that they sold off all of the rights to the cell b.e. to toshiba. this means that sony now has to pay toshiba and ibm royalties to use the cell.

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#43 Ravenlore_basic
Member since 2003 • 4319 Posts

xbox lasted 4 years.... then xbox 360 came out

Now with ps3 price drop coming upand xbox 360 not selling well. even thougth they have a $199.00 price point the pressure is started. More games are coming out on PS3 and they look really great. XBOX 360 is nearly 4 years old. The console standard is 5. Sony already said that they will not launch a console like they did with the Xbox 360 but would hold to the standard!! which is again 5 years.

Thusbysepetember2010 there is a high chance of Xbox 3 being launched, if not by then, by 2011.

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#44 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"][QUOTE="cowgriller"]

the only thing unrealistic about your time line is the life span you gave to the ps3. if sony wants to be competitive and steal momentum from nintendo and ms, they need to launch a new console around the same time frame as their competitors, not a few years later. there is also the fact that sony has yet to make a profit on the ps3. sure they lowered the production costs by 70%, but 70% from what? we don't know for a fact how much it cost sony to make the ps3, only speculation. furthermore, they are "starting" to manufacture the ps3 at a lower cost, but the ps3's on the shelves are still costing them 70% more because they were made with an older, more costly method. they will still lose money on those units. they may be able to make money from the new ones, but that has yet to be seen, though i am not doubting that they will make money off the slim.

cowgriller

I see but If you look at the track record though, each PS systems lasted about 6 years before a new console was released which is what I based my speculation on. The difference is that Sony will most likely continue to produce and support PS3's even if the PS4 is out. That could happen in the next couple of years but who's to say right now.

the ps3 is a different case though. it's the only ps console too continue to lose money for sony even after it's been in the market for nearly 3 years. it is also the most expensive simply because it was the most ambitious. sony's other two home consoles were never the most powerful and thus, the cost to make games on them was lower than the competition. sony not only designed the chips in the ps2, but they fabricated them in house as well. that leads to lower costs because they wouldn't have to pay for royalties. the ps3 uses an nvidia gpu (and judging by nvidia's home console track record, whose to say that they won't screw sony over like they did MS?), and a cpu that they sold off all of the rights to the cell b.e. to toshiba. this means that sony now has to pay toshiba and ibm royalties to use the cell.

Hopefully Sony safeguarded itself against nvidia and toshiba royalties. I get your point but does that mean Sony wil release a console within 1 year of today that we need to be speculating on?
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#45 cowgriller
Member since 2008 • 3153 Posts

[QUOTE="cowgriller"]

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"] I see but If you look at the track record though, each PS systems lasted about 6 years before a new console was released which is what I based my speculation on. The difference is that Sony will most likely continue to produce and support PS3's even if the PS4 is out. That could happen in the next couple of years but who's to say right now. Zero_epyon

the ps3 is a different case though. it's the only ps console too continue to lose money for sony even after it's been in the market for nearly 3 years. it is also the most expensive simply because it was the most ambitious. sony's other two home consoles were never the most powerful and thus, the cost to make games on them was lower than the competition. sony not only designed the chips in the ps2, but they fabricated them in house as well. that leads to lower costs because they wouldn't have to pay for royalties. the ps3 uses an nvidia gpu (and judging by nvidia's home console track record, whose to say that they won't screw sony over like they did MS?), and a cpu that they sold off all of the rights to the cell b.e. to toshiba. this means that sony now has to pay toshiba and ibm royalties to use the cell.

Hopefully Sony safeguarded itself against nvidia and toshiba royalties. I get your point but does that mean Sony wil release a console within 1 year of today that we need to be speculating on?

actually, i said that sony, ms and nintendo will probably launch their new consoles around 2012. what i said above is that the ps3 is a completely different situation than the ps one and ps2 and there is a chance that sony may not want to support the ps3 for 10 years like the others. so far, the ps3 costs them too much to make and they aren't making a dime on each console sold (so far). i'm not saying they'll bring out a ps4 next year, i'm saying that whenever they launch the ps4, they may drop support of the ps3 altogether.

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#46 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

[QUOTE="Zero_epyon"][QUOTE="cowgriller"]

the ps3 is a different case though. it's the only ps console too continue to lose money for sony even after it's been in the market for nearly 3 years. it is also the most expensive simply because it was the most ambitious. sony's other two home consoles were never the most powerful and thus, the cost to make games on them was lower than the competition. sony not only designed the chips in the ps2, but they fabricated them in house as well. that leads to lower costs because they wouldn't have to pay for royalties. the ps3 uses an nvidia gpu (and judging by nvidia's home console track record, whose to say that they won't screw sony over like they did MS?), and a cpu that they sold off all of the rights to the cell b.e. to toshiba. this means that sony now has to pay toshiba and ibm royalties to use the cell.

cowgriller

Hopefully Sony safeguarded itself against nvidia and toshiba royalties. I get your point but does that mean Sony wil release a console within 1 year of today that we need to be speculating on?

actually, i said that sony, ms and nintendo will probably launch their new consoles around 2012. what i said above is that the ps3 is a completely different situation than the ps one and ps2 and there is a chance that sony may not want to support the ps3 for 10 years like the others. so far, the ps3 costs them too much to make and they aren't making a dime on each console sold (so far). i'm not saying they'll bring out a ps4 next year, i'm saying that whenever they launch the ps4, they may drop support of the ps3 altogether.

Sorry, the question wasn't directed at you specifically. My piont is we've got an average of 3 years until we get to speculate about this stuff. In the mean time we should enjoy what's being offered.
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#47 MclovinKilledU
Member since 2009 • 345 Posts

they want to brag about the sytems so when it comes out they say that they bragged about it 5 years ago and it was worth it

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#48 foxhound_fox
Member since 2005 • 98532 Posts

Because it has almost been 4 years since the start of the generation... and the average length of a generation is 5 years. The PS3 definitely will probably stop selling before the PS2. This console generation is almost over, I don't care what anyone says, I would easily bet that its coming in the next 1-2 years. They need to keep the hardware up to the times, and the PC is already at least 2-3 generations ahead already.

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#49 Gamerz1569
Member since 2008 • 2087 Posts

Because this generation is ending :?

On average a gen has 5-6 years, so I'm guess next gen is 2011-2013. 10 year cycles it just stupid, you'd have outdated technology for 6 years. Devs need new updated technology so sooner or later next gen has to start.

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#50 karasill
Member since 2007 • 3155 Posts

well, that is the way with technology i guess. As technology progresses, the life-cycle of products shorten drastically. Just compare the life cycle of an NVIDIA card now compared to 10 years ago.

jhcho2
Except life spans of current gen consoles are expected to last 1-2 years longer then normal do to huge investments and losses on Sony's and Microsoft's part as well as high development costs for games.