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I can see the competitors having higher sales than normal, but even at the Wii's 400k, I don't expect PS3 and 360 sales to nearly triple to match it.DaAznSaN??? look at last years sales. the 360 sold over 1 million in november and 2.5 million in december. that was before halo3 or the price cut. the 360 will beat those numbers this year on that alone. but it gets better for the 360 and worse for the wii. the wii sold over 3 million last december. that means 2.5 million people are going to have to get a 360 or ps3. the wii has been selling because it's the cheapest so 90% of those people will gett the 360 since it is half the price of the ps3. the ps3 sold 700k last december. as you can see 400k for the wii will leave them in a distant 3rd with a sony like showing.
half of all retail sales happen in nov and dec. those two months sell as much as the other 10 months combined. it will be hard for even the ps3 to not double the wii this christmas, and the 360 is going tosevearly beatthe ps3.
Chances are that Nintendo are stockpiling at least a reasonable number of Wii's for the christmas period. It will still be in short supply and probably get outsold by the 360 for at least one of the holiday months but there will be more available. Why would Nintendo stockpile Wii's? Because people shopping for christmas presents get more pissed off if they can't find what they want = bad image for Nintendo.
Anyway just my (baseless) opinion.
It's still sold out for you?
For the past few weeks the Wii shortage here has been over. I was in Best Buy yesterday, they had two Wii's. I also see them regularly in Wal Mart too, supply has caught up with demand here.
??? look at last years sales. the 360 sold over 1 million in november and 2.5 million in december. that was before halo3 or the price cut. the 360 will beat those numbers this year on that alone. but it gets better for the 360 and worse for the wii. the wii sold over 3 million last december. that means 2.5 million people are going to have to get a 360 or ps3. the wii has been selling because it's the cheapest so 90% of those people will gett the 360 since it is half the price of the ps3. the ps3 sold 700k last december. as you can see 400k for the wii will leave them in a distant 3rd with a sony like showing.[QUOTE="DaAznSaN"]I can see the competitors having higher sales than normal, but even at the Wii's 400k, I don't expect PS3 and 360 sales to nearly triple to match it.rdo
half of all retail sales happen in nov and dec. those two months sell as much as the other 10 months combined. it will be hard for even the ps3 to not double the wii this christmas, and the 360 is going tosevearly beatthe ps3.
You really do have werid logic. I can't understand how just because 3 million purchased a Wii last year means that there is going to be 2.5 million who are going to be left buying something else this holiday season. Are you talking about the same people or different people? In either case the logic doesn't make sense.
the wii has been selling because it's the cheapest so 90% of those people will gett the 360 since it is half the price of the ps3.rdoI love how you throw that little morsel of BS in there. Where is your proof that the Wii is selling because it's the cheapest. Also why wasn't the GameCube a huge success then since it was cheaper then the Wii? Also, the Wii has been getting a lot of press for getting people that are not gamers or are lapsed gamers into it. So are you telling me that all the soccer moms are going to buy 360's instead? Haha. Yeah right.
Anyways, to answer the post, I think it's going to be tight race in sales during the holiday season, demand will drive the 360 sales to wii levels, and Sony will get a healthy bump. In the end I think the Wii will still outsell the 360 this holiday season but it will be very close.
It's still sold out for you?
For the past few weeks the Wii shortage here has been over. I was in Best Buy yesterday, they had two Wii's. I also see them regularly in Wal Mart too, supply has caught up with demand here.
Bill_McBlumpkin
Maybe in your area. Not in NYC. I never see any wii's when i go out to shop. only 360's and a LOT of ps3s.
I don't think Nintendo is stupid enough to not boost production heading towards Christmas. If the situation is critical, its possible though.crazyjames1080actually it's not nintendo's fault. they dont have control over it. the problem is with their cpu chip suplier, ibm i think. they cant get enough chips out of ibm, and you cant make a wii without the chip. i think they are building another plant to produce more chips, but the chip production issue wont be fixed before next year.
[QUOTE="crazyjames1080"]I don't think Nintendo is stupid enough to not boost production heading towards Christmas. If the situation is critical, its possible though.rdoactually it's not nintendo's fault. they dont have control over it. the problem is with their cpu chip suplier, ibm i think. they cant get enough chips out of ibm, and you cant make a wii without the chip. i think they are building another plant to produce more chips, but the chip production issue wont be fixed before next year.
Yeah, I think I read something about that too. We'll know soon enough I guess.
??? look at last years sales. the 360 sold over 1 million in november and 2.5 million in december. that was before halo3 or the price cut. the 360 will beat those numbers this year on that alone. but it gets better for the 360 and worse for the wii. the wii sold over 3 million last december. that means 2.5 million people are going to have to get a 360 or ps3. the wii has been selling because it's the cheapest so 90% of those people will gett the 360 since it is half the price of the ps3. the ps3 sold 700k last december. as you can see 400k for the wii will leave them in a distant 3rd with a sony like showing.[QUOTE="DaAznSaN"]I can see the competitors having higher sales than normal, but even at the Wii's 400k, I don't expect PS3 and 360 sales to nearly triple to match it.rdo
half of all retail sales happen in nov and dec. those two months sell as much as the other 10 months combined. it will be hard for even the ps3 to not double the wii this christmas, and the 360 is going tosevearly beatthe ps3.
You honestly think the xbox360, which has been out for almost two years, will still sell, if not more than, the amt that it did last nov/dec, b/c of a game? You are kidding me....The majority of peole that will be buying Halo3 are ones that already have the system. So the sales of the xbox360 will not exceed 3.5 million this nov/dec....Unless there is some other major price drop or bundle deal that is too good to be true...
You really think90% the people that bought the wii b/c it was cheaper, will turn around and HAVE to get the xbox360? Major I dont think so.
The bulk of people that bought the wii bought it b/c it was cheaper or for the games for it. Hence there is no need to go out and spend another 300-400 dollars on another system...Thats why they got the wii in the first place, to cut down on the money they woudl be spending on games and such.
Your guesstimations have too many holes in it and assumes way too much.
[QUOTE="rdo"]??? look at last years sales. the 360 sold over 1 million in november and 2.5 million in december. that was before halo3 or the price cut. the 360 will beat those numbers this year on that alone. but it gets better for the 360 and worse for the wii. the wii sold over 3 million last december. that means 2.5 million people are going to have to get a 360 or ps3. the wii has been selling because it's the cheapest so 90% of those people will gett the 360 since it is half the price of the ps3. the ps3 sold 700k last december. as you can see 400k for the wii will leave them in a distant 3rd with a sony like showing.[QUOTE="DaAznSaN"]I can see the competitors having higher sales than normal, but even at the Wii's 400k, I don't expect PS3 and 360 sales to nearly triple to match it.darthogre
half of all retail sales happen in nov and dec. those two months sell as much as the other 10 months combined. it will be hard for even the ps3 to not double the wii this christmas, and the 360 is going tosevearly beatthe ps3.
You really do have werid logic. I can't understand how just because 3 million purchased a Wii last year means that there is going to be 2.5 million who are going to be left buying something else this holiday season. Are you talking about the same people or different people? In either case the logic doesn't make sense.
First off, when I was still on the east coast a few months ago the Wii was still scarce. Now that I've moved clear across the country it's the same story. Most stores I go into usually still have signs up explaining the lack of consoles.
For those who don't think the PS3 or 360 can sell more then the Wii is currently, realize that monthly console sales in winter typically hit the million mark. I know it would make sense for Nintendo to have been stockpiling, I'm not calling them stupid by any means, but the question is have they been able to? And if they have been doing this then where is the proof? I haven't heard a blip out of Nintendo about the situation, but then perhaps they feel there's no point in addressing something they have no power to fix for the time being.
The bright side to all this is once the 360 and PS3 sales die down after Christmas the Wii will probably continue to sell strong. The question is will the competition be able to use this to get back in the race for first.
you people are still having a hard time finding a wii??? i see some everytime im in a store around hereBlackfriend8I don't understand how there are always tons of people on gamespot saying they see Wii's all the time? Why aren't you guys buying them and selling them on Ebay if they are so common where you live?
It's still sold out for you?
For the past few weeks the Wii shortage here has been over. I was in Best Buy yesterday, they had two Wii's. I also see them regularly in Wal Mart too, supply has caught up with demand here.
Bill_McBlumpkin
Still sold out where i'm at too.
TC, you are absolutely correct. Nintendo's biggest concern at the moment is supply, and they know that they are in trouble. There was even that article that said that nintendo failed to get those factories online in china which would have boosted production to 1.5 million units a month. This holiday season, I imagine that you could make hundreds of dollars of profit selling your wii on ebay, maybe even a thousand if things get really bad close to dec. 25th. Could get ugly as well.
I'm not gushing over how awesome nintendo is. This seems to be a pretty reasonable assessment of what will happen. Hopefully nintendo is paying and overpaying manufactuers to try to beef up supply ASAP
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