Wii,PS3 and Xbox360 who will sell the most? Here are my Fair predictions...

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John_Cornman

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#1 John_Cornman
Member since 2007 • 90 Posts
Wii - 85-90 million
Xbox360 - 65-80 million
Playstation 3 - 25-45 million

Reason behind my opinion...
-Wii -
*Hype will keep up for some time after launch
*nintendo keep the exclusive 1st party IPs comming
*Smaller Developers will like the safer platform
*EA's new nintendo exclusive division will keep the more casual games coming(along with thier sports games)
*Lowered price to $99(like the GCN they and GC to $49) late into the console's life after competitors drop thier price point.
*Marketing to a larger demographic(women have been ignored in games as far as target demographics go) like women,older gamers(40+)and non gamers/flinge gamer(people who have lives/jobs/families/responsibilities that they don't have time to plop down 5 hours of playtime.).
*Better and more effective marketing campiegns
*Developers will use the motion sensing technology to make Wii exclusive gameplay or enhanced gameplay(like a FPS with the Wiimote as the aim and the d-pad as the movement, the nunchuk as the aim for the melee.)
*Wii's online service will complement the great multiplayer games on Wii plus its free.
*Virtual Console and
*Original content on Wiishop(not flash based but normal games)
*Developers will eventually utilize the TEV(for shaders, effects,etc) and the extremely fast(way faster than its competition's RAM) 1t-sram,resampling AAing(used on PS2) and recent tilt map techniques patented by Nintendo. Graphics will look excellent
but not the best(360 then PS3).There won't such a huge difference in graphical quality in the end.It will look next gen.
*There is a planned DVD playback for 2 Half 2007.

http://biz.gamedaily.com/industry/feature/?id=14430


360
*Huge success with the 18-25 market will sell very well
*XboxLive
*Xbox Market place
*Strong First part exclusives will be a hit with hardcore gamers
*Great Marketing
*XboxLive Arcade
*HDD for mods
*Stolen exclusives from PS3
*DVD playback

PS3
*Will be popular with HDTV/HD-movie collectors...
*Very Expensive won't be affordable for some time(3-4 years?)
*Has some great exclusives but not more than 360 or Wii (think how GC had exclusives spread out over its life time)
*High Developement costs and sub-par developement support from Sony will lose developer support.Die hard Sony
supporters will stay some may dual release for 360 for safety.
*PSN will be very good but under used by developers only a few developers will use it or may charge for service.
*Losses will go up when they lower the price point but will sell better because of it.
*Developers will not utilize the six axis because the high developement costs force them to make "safe" rehashes and quick profit.There will be a few games that use the six axis very well.
*Graphics will surpass the 360(in 5 years) when developers use the high floating point performance of CELL to make extremely high quality models and objects.Few developers will push it this far because of cost.
*1/2 price bluray player($1200?)
*DVD playback
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LosDaddie

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#2 LosDaddie
Member since 2006 • 10318 Posts

Wii - 85-100 million
Xbox360  - 70-90 million
Playstation 3 - 35-40 million

John_Cornman

I stopped reading right there.  You obviously have no clue how the industry works.

While the 1st-3rd place might be correct, the industry isn't going to expand that much.

1st: 50-70million (max)

2nd: 30-50million (max)

3rd: 30million

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John_Cornman

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#3 John_Cornman
Member since 2007 • 90 Posts

[QUOTE="John_Cornman"]Wii - 85-100 million
Xbox360 - 70-90 million
Playstation 3 - 35-40 million

LosDaddie

I stopped reading right there. You obviously have no clue how the industry works.

While the 1st-3rd place might be correct, the industry isn't going to expand that much.

1st: 50-70million (max)

2nd: 30-50million (max)

3rd: 30million

fixed
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John_Cornman

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#4 John_Cornman
Member since 2007 • 90 Posts
[QUOTE="LosDaddie"]

[QUOTE="John_Cornman"]Wii - 85-100 million
Xbox360 - 70-90 million
Playstation 3 - 35-40 million

John_Cornman

I stopped reading right there. You obviously have no clue how the industry works.

While the 1st-3rd place might be correct, the industry isn't going to expand that much.

1st: 50-70million (max)

2nd: 30-50million (max)

3rd: 30million

fixed

fixed agian
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Spartan070

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#5 Spartan070
Member since 2004 • 16497 Posts
What are you fixing?
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justdog11

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#6 justdog11
Member since 2004 • 3524 Posts

I honestly can't sit here and say which console will come on top with the most market share in the end.  There are so many opprutunities out their for 360 and Wii

However I can say this:

PS3 = 3rd place.  So quote me.  Quote me many times.  Quote me in all your posts in addition to your sigs.  Quote me on your myspace, quote me in real life.  Write a paper in your english class using my quote as an example of a video game industry prediction.

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mr_pops238

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#7 mr_pops238
Member since 2006 • 3980 Posts

PS3= 100 million +

360= 40 million

wii=12 million

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blazinpuertoroc

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#8 blazinpuertoroc
Member since 2004 • 12245 Posts
LOL @ the ps3 numbers youd have to be a flaming fanboy to think itll sell that little...
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Onetouchable

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#9 Onetouchable
Member since 2006 • 315 Posts

PS3= 100 million +

360= 40 million

wii=12 million

mr_pops238


no matter how hardcore anti-sheep you are, you can't really expect the wii to sell less than 20 million.
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acviper123

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#10 acviper123
Member since 2005 • 1724 Posts

PS3= 100 million +

360= 40 million

wii=12 million

mr_pops238

You must be nuts. Wii already has 4.5 Million sold. PS3 has consoles sitting around, the odds of 100+ are slim.

Anyway here are my picks

PS3= 55-60 Million

X360= 50-55 Million

Wii= 55-65 Million.

This will be THE console war.

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Magical_Zebra

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#11 Magical_Zebra
Member since 2003 • 7960 Posts
The Wii is gonna sell more than any other console.
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chester706

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#12 chester706
Member since 2007 • 3856 Posts

PS3= 100 million +

360= 40 million

wii=12 million

mr_pops238
LMAO!!! You super blinded spamming cow.
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chester706

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#13 chester706
Member since 2007 • 3856 Posts
The Wii is gonna sell more than any other console.Magical_Zebra
Exactly because it is the cheapest and is for ever gamer and non gamer alike. Also fits all age groups. I am not a fanboy of any system. I own a 360 though. The Wii will win though.
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metalgear-solid

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#15 metalgear-solid
Member since 2004 • 7001 Posts
I just wasted 1 minute of my life. It's the stupidest thing I've ever read. Your prediction = makes no sense at all
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Snugenz

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#16 Snugenz
Member since 2006 • 13388 Posts

What are you fixing?Spartan070

Thats exactly what i'm thinking???

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st1ka

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#17 st1ka
Member since 2008 • 8179 Posts

[QUOTE="Spartan070"]What are you fixing?Snugenz

Thats exactly what i'm thinking???

I just wasted 1 minute of my life. It's the stupidest thing I've ever read. Your prediction = makes no sense at allmetalgear-solid

guys? this is a 2007 thread

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Snugenz

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#18 Snugenz
Member since 2006 • 13388 Posts
[QUOTE="Snugenz"]

[QUOTE="Spartan070"]What are you fixing?st1ka

Thats exactly what i'm thinking???

I just wasted 1 minute of my life. It's the stupidest thing I've ever read. Your prediction = makes no sense at allmetalgear-solid

guys? this is a 2007 thread

Ah crap we just got trite4 owned, the guy thats been going around bumping old threads all night then deleting his post straight away:|

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angelkimne

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#19 angelkimne
Member since 2006 • 14037 Posts
[QUOTE="st1ka"][QUOTE="Snugenz"]

[QUOTE="Spartan070"]What are you fixing?Snugenz

Thats exactly what i'm thinking???

I just wasted 1 minute of my life. It's the stupidest thing I've ever read. Your prediction = makes no sense at allmetalgear-solid

guys? this is a 2007 thread

Ah crap we just got trite4 owned, the guy thats been going around bumping old threads all night then deleting his post straight away:|

Whats even sillier is how the mods have just allowed it.

Not like they haven't noticed him doing it.

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Snugenz

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#20 Snugenz
Member since 2006 • 13388 Posts
[QUOTE="Snugenz"][QUOTE="st1ka"][QUOTE="Snugenz"]

[QUOTE="Spartan070"]What are you fixing?angelkimne

Thats exactly what i'm thinking???

I just wasted 1 minute of my life. It's the stupidest thing I've ever read. Your prediction = makes no sense at allmetalgear-solid

guys? this is a 2007 thread

Ah crap we just got trite4 owned, the guy thats been going around bumping old threads all night then deleting his post straight away:|

Whats even sillier is how the mods have just allowed it.

Not like they haven't noticed him doing it.

They have noticed him, but i dont think they have the power to ban him if he doesnt get reported, and because he deletes his bumping post noone can report him.

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st1ka

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#21 st1ka
Member since 2008 • 8179 Posts

They have noticed him, but i dont think they have the power to ban him if he doesnt get reported, and because he deletes his bumping post noone can report him.

Snugenz

oh my god, but that would mean trite4 is....GOD :o

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Rexer-i4

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#22 Rexer-i4
Member since 2007 • 535 Posts
  • 6.84M Japan
    14.50M America 32.87M
  • 7.68M Others
    0.74M Japan 21.08M
  • 11.53M Others
    12.66M America
    2.39M Japan
    5.95M America
    7.29M Others 15.63M

These are the current number

My prediction : 1- Wii 65-80 M

2- X360 55-75 M

3- ps3 35-50 M

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Snugenz

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#23 Snugenz
Member since 2006 • 13388 Posts
[QUOTE="Snugenz"]

They have noticed him, but i dont think they have the power to ban him if he doesnt get reported, and because he deletes his bumping post noone can report him.

st1ka

oh my god, but that would mean trite4 is....GOD :o

Or Chuck Norris ...:shock: *dies*

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angelkimne

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#25 angelkimne
Member since 2006 • 14037 Posts

They have noticed him, but i dont think they have the power to ban him if he doesnt get reported, and because he deletes his bumping post noone can report him.

Snugenz
Mods can see (and probably moderate) deleted posts though.
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Snugenz

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#26 Snugenz
Member since 2006 • 13388 Posts
[QUOTE="Snugenz"]

They have noticed him, but i dont think they have the power to ban him if he doesnt get reported, and because he deletes his bumping post noone can report him.

angelkimne

Mods can see (and probably moderate) deleted posts though.

I mailed Teuf and he said they needed a gMod (guessing its a general mod) to take care of him.

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angelkimne

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#27 angelkimne
Member since 2006 • 14037 Posts
[QUOTE="angelkimne"][QUOTE="Snugenz"]

They have noticed him, but i dont think they have the power to ban him if he doesnt get reported, and because he deletes his bumping post noone can report him.

Snugenz

Mods can see (and probably moderate) deleted posts though.

I mailed Teuf and he said they needed a gMod (guessing its a general mod) to take care of him.

Oh, that's ok then.
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surrealnumber5

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#28 surrealnumber5
Member since 2008 • 23044 Posts

it seems even today people thing the xbox 360 can out sell the wii

"

My prediction : 1- Wii 65-80 M

2- X360 55-75 M

3- ps3 35-50 M"

65

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surrealnumber5

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#30 surrealnumber5
Member since 2008 • 23044 Posts

NOTICE: THIS THREAD IS A YEAR OLD.SpinoRaptor

the post i was talking about was posted Oct 4, 2008 10:41 am GMT

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Louis-D

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#31 Louis-D
Member since 2006 • 1867 Posts
I'm locking this thread because it has been bumped from 2007.