This might come as a surprise to many, but I have a feeling there will be a sea change within the coming months regarding 3rd party support. But most of the big titles are announced for the PS3/360... for now, yes that's true, but at some point, 3rd party companies will have to accommodate Wii owners and release some of their bigger blockbusters.
And what will be the turning point? Well, its all in the numbers. Right now, the Wii is trouncing the competition in nearly every region in the world... we all know the numbers by now so I won't repeat them, but I will say that the Wii will likely outsell the 360 and PS3 combined in most regions, and in Japan's case, it will probably outsell both by 4-to-1.
But TDLlama, we don't play sales. We all know that's rubbish... we play sales when it suits us.
So it was obvious that 3rd party developers were caught with their pants down and had to release something just to make themselves known among the Wii owners... but many developers still have their pants down around their knees and they still have money to make on the PS3/360 before the Wii domination really sets in.
Now we won't see the shift this year, but 2009 will see a Nintendo 3rd party Renaissance of sorts and in 2010-11, we might see some major exclusives change hands. We've heard the Kingdom Hearts 3 rumors, but we can we see Final Fantasy XIV as a Wii exclusive? Dragon Quest X? Maybe even Guitar Hero V? Even... shockingly... the next Grand Theft Auto game? Stranger things have happened. So maybe a Wii exclusive GTA or Guitar Hero game might be as likely as getting struck by lightning and winning the lottery, but if Rockstar doesn't release a GTA game on the Wii, they will miss a huge opportunity and Nintendo could theoretically throw some money at Activision and force them to make Guitar Hero V a Wii exclusive.
And while established franchises are less likely to be switching over to the Wii in huge numbers, new IPs will flock to the Wii in droves. Why spend millions of dollars and over 3 years in development when you can make a Wii game that costs less to make in less time? Companies are more willing to experiment with new franchises than their more established ones. And they won't be just casual games... companies will invest in so-called "bridge" games and "hardcore" games in a variety of genres, perhaps even shooters, RPGs and fighting games.
There's a good chance the Wii will sell 100 million units over its lifespan and a majority of those will not own a 360 or PS3... so you can't leave over 50 million people out, right?
While everything I said above sounds fanboyish and ludicrous, it could happen if the Wii blows out the two HD consoles. The Gamecube was pretty much abandoned after the first few years and the Nintendo 64 caused a 3rd party exodus so why not the PS360?
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