Here is my take on how many units, we could have at Launch, Sony said they are going to have 6 million made by March of next year and that is 3 or 4 months after the Launch of the PS3.
I believe there will be around 3 million units at Launch
Here is how I see it being split up
US and Canada both get 1 Million units
Japan will get 1 Million units
Europe 800.000 units
Australia if they are part of the Worldwide Launch then 200.000 for them
If what I am estimating does become a reality, here is how I think the number of units will break down by each store in the US at Launch.
Best buy 60 to 100
Wal Mart 60 to 100
Ebgames 50 to 90
Gamestop 40 to 80
Game Crazy 25 to 50, Note, I gave Game Crazy a smaller number, because they are a smaller store
Target 40 to 70
Toys ur us 40 to 70
If the Super Wal Mart close to my house gets the most PS3's like they did with the 360, because they got more then the other wal marts, then that bodes well for a campout there
I based these projections off what the 360 had in the US at Launch, which was around 310.000 units, I think.
So I doubled and tripled those numbers, based off the number of units that the major stores like those I listed had at Launch with the 360
I think there will be enough to send a lot of people home with one and have large campouts and a good number of first shipment pre orders, but certainly not enough to keep everybody happy though
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