Well, already got an Xbox One last year, got the Assassin's Creed bundle that included Black Flag and Unity, was only $330, and it came with a free game of choice (I chose Far Cry 4, $60 value). That was their Black Friday deal, and I think it lasted a little longer into holiday season. But, if I were in the same position I was last year, I'd go for a Halo 5 bundle myself, or a Gears Ultimate or Halo MCC bundle, without Kinect though, hopefully one of the 1TB systems if I had a choice, and I'd wait until Black Friday so they'd throw some other stuff in like free 1 year XBLG or maybe another game or gift card or something.
They have a lot of console options this year, which I think will serve them well over the holidays giving people options (not sure what final price will be). On the Xbox.com page they have like 7 different bundles right now (Madden 2016, FIFA 2016, Halo 5, Halo MCC (500GB & 1 TB), Gears of War Ultimate, Forza 6, Bound to be some good Black Friday specials too. Plus, I think the bundles will further push sales numbers after holidays. After all, even if it doesn't sell during holidays, because each bundle is a limited time thing, that means after holidays they'll be discounted for liquidation meaning sales will maintain a bit longer on that alone. And there's bound to be a lot of that given there's so many bundles.
Be sure to check out Microsoft Store for their Black Friday deals. They got free shipping too. And last year their sales went up Thanksgiving morning at midnight. website was sketchy as hell, crashed right at the midnight rollover, but after hours of persistence you can get through.
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