@charizard1605: I agree with MS as the first to go. Thats the easy part.
But cant point out if Sony or Nintendo will be the next one to go if at all. Neither are in high danger right now.
I see 3 ways for Sony to go out:
1. If the console business shrinks to such an extent <50M that its just not profitable to put out any more consoles. (Unlikely for the next 5 or so years)
2. They get the PSNow train rolling which makes the console business redundant and less profitable. (Very unlikely for the next 10 or so years)
3. Sony as a company collapses. (Not happaning, they would rather just close down every unprofitable devision and stay as a Playstation + Camera + Insurance and whatever still brings money company)
Nintendo will hold out as long as possible but even selling like you said 10 million niche consoles and 50 million niche handhelds is not guaranteed to happen. Especially if they are losing relevance as fast as they do right now.
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