the lead in the polls doesn't necessarily mean anything. In 2000 when it was Bush VS Gore, Gore won the popular vote (what us citizens voted for) but Bush won over the majority of the electoral college votes, which overrides the popular vote. That's how we got the first four years of Bush.
As for the second 4 years... that was just caused by ignorance. So this election could really go either way. It's all up in the air right now
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