Who would win in a hypothetical war between Russia and the EU?

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muscleserge

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#201 muscleserge
Member since 2005 • 3307 Posts

[QUOTE="muscleserge"][QUOTE="deeliman"] Do you have any sources for this or are you talking out of your ass again?deeliman

I never knew that this day and age I would have to provide sources for the Napoleonic wars and current political situations around the world thats all over the news. American education system for you, run by idiots, produces more idiots. Sigh, source for what exactly(can't believe I am actually asking this)? EU energy dependence? Russians luring in Napolian towards Moscow? Iskandhar Missles in Kaliningrad? Changes in the doctrine? The stupendeous amounts of weaponry in the Russian arsenal? PS. Next time you try being a smartass, try harder, and I hope you aren't as uninformed and ignorant as you are coming off.

LOL I'm not american. Sources for your claim that "The Russians have enough resources to plummet the EU nations into the stone age and pretty quickly at that." But answer this for me: When the EU has more then 10 times the economy, and as of now more than 2 times the military budget, how can you think that russia even stands a chance? Can you even imagine what a full war mode EU looks like? If, say, 40% of their GDP is used for the military, thats more than 5 trillion Euros! The EU also have the industrial capability to arm themselves very well, very quickly, and Russia does not. Just the fact that the EU can devote massive amounts of resources gives them a huge edge, not to mention that their combined armies are already better than the current Russian army as it stands now.

Given Europe should choose to prepare for a war with Russia, there is so much money that can be diverted, the industrial base is such a massive one, as are the R&D and human ressources, the EU would outproduce Russia in terms of quantity and quality in a massive scale.


Sigh, let analyze this, just for fun. The EU is not a singular entity as many refer to it here, its made up of many sovereign nation with many sovereign governments vs Russia's one strong government. -Advantage: Russia. Like it or not, its much easier to mobilize one country vs many, as well as having a tactical advantage of a unified leadership. Russia is the most resource rich country in the world (due to size), and the EU is very dependant on Russian exports of not just energy but timber, metals, and many other invaluable resources. Advantage: Russia. They don't need to import anything to build whatever they wish, they've got everything from oil and diamond to timber and animal furs. They EU might have the means, but they rely on Russian exports for a lot of crucial resources. Sure they can get it else where, but procuring new contracts and waiting for deliveries just gives the Russians more time for the invasion, since Russians already have equipment ready to deploy. Russia is a military superpower like it or not, since the Soviet days. For nearly 50 years they were preparing for an all out war, depending just on themselves. Advantage: Russia. Sure the EU was also waiting for a war, but they were and are relying on the US too much, their military doctrines are built around this, especially when it comes to Russia, and the SU before that. All these $ figures mean squat when most of it is all inflated by the banking system, and please also consider that equivalent Russian arms are cheaper to produce. As well as the overall quantity of weapons, and please don't buy into the stereotype that the Russians are still using PPSH's and Musin Rifles. Russia is using AK-74Ms and 101/103Ms, T-80s (modernized) and t-90s, they have stealth fighters, bombers, unrivaled air defense capabilities, as well as the best missile tech in the world.(they are the fathers of rocketry) They have been revamping their military since NATO is still closing in and a new chinese threat is looming. They have satelites, drones as well as a very good intelligence network. Let me repeat this, Russia isn't stuck in the 40s or 50s as many believe, its a stereotype. I found it funny when I came to the west to find the media spewing so much BS about Russia, and yet when the Russian leadership stops NATO from invading say Syria, everyone goes ape-shiii1t. Don't forget that Russia is very secretive about their defense industry, its a habit they inherited from the Soviet days, look around online, the Russians are declassifying many documents from the Soviet era, and sometimes it puts me in awe that they had those kinds of things in like the 60s. I am not saying that the EU equipment is bad, just that the Russians aren't behind, and are actually ahead in some areas (missiles) Advantage: Russia, simply cause they got more weapons. I am at work and can't really go too deep into this, but what I meant by Russia having resources to take the EU fast, I meant they have the natural resources as well as production capabilities all in one country unlike the EU. They don't need to go abroad to get building materials or energy, they can sustain themselves even if isolated, which the EU syply can't especially to the same degree.
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muscleserge

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#202 muscleserge
Member since 2005 • 3307 Posts
[QUOTE="Barbariser"][QUOTE="muscleserge"][QUOTE="Barbariser"] The E.U. does not really need to occupy "Russia" to win. What is relevant from WW2 is that Germany alone stood a decent chance of reaching Moscow and defeating the U.S.S.R. with a crappy horse-drawn logistics train and very little access to fuel, and the E.U. is vastly more powerful with respect to Russia than Germany was to the U.S.S.R.. When a country's capital falls its ability and will to wage war can literally be crippled.

How did taking Moscow fared in the previous wars. This concept plays into the Russian hand all the time, they even draw the enemy in. Lets get something straight. Russia going into full war mode means the EU stands no chance. All your leaders, both political and military know this, hence the current NATO policies and strategies. The Russians have enough resources to plummet the EU nations into the stone age and pretty quickly at that. Russia is resource independant, whereas the EU isn't, they have the equipment and manpower to do the job as well. Remember a while back Russia moved some iskandar class missiles to Kaliningrad in response to the NATO threat and half of Europe went nuts. The EU is too dependant of foreigh energy to wage even a defensive war, that alone makes them the losing side. The Russian military doctrine has changed over the years, they would proly go with a bombing campaign, ie missiles, bombers and artillery (of which they have plenty of), then they would cut off supplies, and the EU falls. Being so dependant of the US has made the EU weak, like it or not.

In previous wars? Napoleon seized Moscow with early 19th century tech. His campaign failed because Moscow was not the capital of Russia at the time. Crimean War? Russians conceded defeat and nobody had to take the capital. In WW1 Germany thrashed the entire Russian Empire (considerably larger than modern Russia in the Western portion) without having to reach the capital, in WW2 Germany nearly beat the entire USSR (also larger and more populated than modern Russia in the West) and lost due to getting stalled in Stalingrad. Notice that France and Germany managed these feats while being at war with half the rest of the world? It's hilarious that you rag on the E.U. for being "dependent on the U.S." when in every major conflict that Russia has historically won with Western European powers, they did so as a member of an alliance. Guess which power the U.S.S.R. was dependent on for supplies and products in World War II? Oh, that's right, the United States of America. What history shows you is that Russia's few military victories were mainly achieved with significant allied aid and a vast numerical advantage. Too bad Russia is outnumbered horribly by the E.U. in this scenario and no country except tiny insignificant Belarus is going to be stupid enough to ally with them against the E.U. Nothing you said in your post proves anything. Of course NATO was planned as a team effort, it was created in an era where the entire eastern half of Europe. was in the Warsaw Pact (and remember, the U.S.S.R. was considerably larger than Russia). Of course the E.U. would grumble if Russia placed a strategic weapon there. You understand that countries don't like fighting wars or being bombed in the process even if they would probably win right? Practically all modern military powers today use "bombers, artillery and missiles", do you think the E.U. relies on knights and crossbowmen? :roll: The resource concerns are far less relevant when the entire E.U. has a large oil producer in the form of the U.K., numerous oil-rich allies like Canada, the United States and Norway, and a giant pile of Middle Eastern countries down south that they could just buy it from. In contrast, Russia will enter a ginormous recession when the E.U. stops buying their stuff and they lose 10%-15% of their G.D.P. instantly. I might also like to mention that Russia is a net importer of food, again mostly from the E.U. One of the sides in this war is going to go hungry alright, and it isn't going to be the rich coalition containing several major food exporters as members. The only way for Russia to actually starve Europe of necessary resources is via blockade and are you going to claim that the Russians would be able to blockade a coalition with the largest brown water navy in the world and several aircraft carriers? Or that the U.S. and their world's largest blue water navy would allow the Russians to blockade their largest trade partner?

Please stop using WW1 as evidence, it show the lack of historical knowledge, Russia had to withdraw from the war due to having a revolution and a civil war. Britain was getting the most of the uS aid. Don't forget that the SU didn't expect Germany to attack as well, they still were rebuilding the country at the time, and at the end of the war the SU was outproducing all the allies and germany as well. Russia is importing food due to the WTO crap, before this Russia was feeding Europe to the extend that Europe was dependant on Russian grain exports. Belarus alone has enough fertile land to feed Russia if needed, as well as the infrastructure. Getting energy from abroad is much more inefficient, tankers can be sunk by subs or guided missiles. Russians have so many conventional bombs that they can conduct just a bombing campaign until the EU is dust, they have 36k tanks at their disposal, as well as a very large fleet of bombers. Aircraft carriers are sitting sucks these days, and are useful against weaker countries, but a country with a decent air defense system would be worried too much. Russia has plenty of contingencies for many war scenarios, since they are now getting ready to defend their territory and resources. This is mainly because of the oncoming sortages, and a western rhetoric of claiming Russian resources(publicly too). Stop underestimating Russia, and son't just read western sources, they are incredibly biased.
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#203 SaudiFury
Member since 2007 • 8709 Posts

without looking into super detail statistics and just going off the cuff.

 

Russia sweeps through eastern Europe. meets heavy resistance from Germany, France, Britain, and the Italian terrain (note not their armed forces). Also suffers from heavy guerrilla warfare from the former Yugoslavian states. 

 

the Russian navy does heavy damage against the EU navy but ultimately gets stopped and destroyed by the combined UK and French Navy's. 

 

I think ultimately the EU wins thanks in large part to the big three nations of Europe. 

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Jag85

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#204 Jag85
Member since 2005 • 20695 Posts

[QUOTE="Jag85"]

[QUOTE="americanphile"] please russia army is overated can¨t even win over jihadist warriors.Lankuus

Just like how NATO (including both the US and the EU) can't even win over Jihadist warriors? At least Russia did a better job on its own than both the US & EU combined...

The Russian invasion of Afghanistan went horribly wrong, how can you say they did better than NATO? O_o

NATO is also doing horribly right now in Afghanistan...

The difference is that the Soviets were slightly outnumbered by the Mujahideen, whereas this time it's NATO that's heavily outnumbering the Taliban:

Soviet-Aghan War:

170,000 (115,000 Soviets & 55,000 Afghan allies) vs. 200,000-250,000 Mujahideen

NATO-Afghan War:

480,916 (100,330 NATO & 380,586 Afghan allies) vs. 29,050-40,100 Mujahideen (25,000 Taliban, 50-100 Al-Qaeda, 4000-15,000 Haqqani)

The Soviets fought the Mujahideen when they were at their peak, when they were being supported by weapons & funding from the US & Pakistan. On the other hand, NATO is struggling against a much more weakened Taliban, which has no major backers.

The Soviet failure in Afghanistan is entirely justifiable, but there is no excuse for NATO to be doing so terribly in Afghanistan right now...

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#205 Jag85
Member since 2005 • 20695 Posts

[QUOTE="Jag85"]

[QUOTE="americanphile"] please russia army is overated can¨t even win over jihadist warriors.MW2ismygame

Just like how NATO (including both the US and the EU) can't even win over Jihadist warriors? At least Russia did a better job on its own than both the US & EU combined...

Yeah but then again were not bringing the full weight of our armies to kill them due to the fact that they hide with civilians and are not a standing/marked army, its a job for a scalpel not a sledge hammer. so yeah..... kinda dumb analogy.

No, not really. Like I outlined above, NATO has a way bigger advantage in Afghanistan than the Soviets ever did, yet NATO is still failing in Afghanistan despite all the advantages.

The point is that, if you're going to criticize the Soviets for their failure in Afghanistan, then don't be a hypocrite about it, because NATO isn't doing any better in Afghanistan despite having much more favourable odds than what the Soviets had to deal with.

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#206 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

[QUOTE="deeliman"]

[QUOTE="muscleserge"] LOL I'm not american. Sources for your claim that "The Russians have enough resources to plummet the EU nations into the stone age and pretty quickly at that." But answer this for me: When the EU has more then 10 times the economy, and as of now more than 2 times the military budget, how can you think that russia even stands a chance? Can you even imagine what a full war mode EU looks like? If, say, 40% of their GDP is used for the military, thats more than 5 trillion Euros! The EU also have the industrial capability to arm themselves very well, very quickly, and Russia does not. Just the fact that the EU can devote massive amounts of resources gives them a huge edge, not to mention that their combined armies are already better than the current Russian army as it stands now.

Given Europe should choose to prepare for a war with Russia, there is so much money that can be diverted, the industrial base is such a massive one, as are the R&D and human ressources, the EU would outproduce Russia in terms of quantity and quality in a massive scale.


muscleserge

Sigh, let analyze this, just for fun.

The EU is not a singular entity as many refer to it here, its made up of many sovereign nation with many sovereign governments vs Russia's one strong government.
-Advantage: Russia. Like it or not, its much easier to mobilize one country vs many, as well as having a tactical advantage of a unified leadership. In the scenario in the thread the EU also has unified leadership.
Russia is the most resource rich country in the world (due to size), and the EU is very dependant on Russian exports of not just energy but timber, metals, and many other invaluable resources.
Advantage: Russia. They don't need to import anything to build whatever they wish, they've got everything from oil and diamond to timber and animal furs. They EU might have the means, but they rely on Russian exports for a lot of crucial resources. Sure they can get it else where, but procuring new contracts and waiting for deliveries just gives the Russians more time for the invasion, since Russians already have equipment ready to deploy. And what do you think will happen to Russia's economy if you take away all those oil exports?Their economy will crumble, while I'm certain that there are enough countries willing to take over russia's oil and gas share.  And unless you can state why timber is a neccesary resource in wartime than that's irrelevent.
Russia is a military superpower like it or not, since the Soviet days. For nearly 50 years they were preparing for an all out war, depending just on themselves.
Advantage: Russia. Sure the EU was also waiting for a war, but they were and are relying on the US too much, their military doctrines are built around this, especially when it comes to Russia, and the SU before that. Oh please, are you telling me that you think the russian army as it is right now, is superior to the combined armies of the eu? The EU has more men, larger budget, better trained, better equipment.
All these $ figures mean squat when most of it is all inflated by the banking system, and please also consider that equivalent Russian arms are cheaper to produce. So, your just dismissing the fact that the EU has more ten ten times the amount of money to play with than russia? 

As well as the overall quantity of weapons, and please don't buy into the stereotype that the Russians are still using PPSH's and Musin Rifles. Russia is using AK-74Ms and 101/103Ms, T-80s (modernized) and t-90s, they have stealth fighters, bombers, unrivaled air defense capabilities, as well as the best missile tech in the world.(they are the fathers of rocketry) I never said Russia uses 19th century equpment, but what high end technology can Russia still produce without foreign help? Otherwise what can Russia possibly produce that's not derived from soviet-era technology? IT- nope. Transportation- nope. Consumer electronics- nope. Tooling machinery- nope. Bulava missiles perhaps. Russia has almost zero civilian high-tech engineering capabilities, any innovative systems not wholly developed by the military will need to be imported or stolen via aggresive FSB activity. The West is surging ahead in UAV technology, which is the way of the future. The incursion into Georgia showed just how antiquated the Russian military has become - they had access to zero modern ISTAR capabilities. The Russian military can but dream of operating MQ-9 Reaper type drones allowing their C&C to sit in Moscow and watch real-time action on the ground thousands of miles away. RVT's are now common place amongst UK & US troops in A-STAN allowing for real-time viewing, this technology incorporates miniaturisation advances taken from the electronics industry.
As for the tanks, that's classic ww2 thinking.  Think about aviation & electronics. I think most Western armed forces nowadays would think of large numbers of poorly-equipped (as in short of sensors, protection systems, etc) tanks trundling west as a target-rich environment, not a serious threat. Russia doesn't have stealth fighetrs, they do have stealth bombers though. They have been revamping their military since NATO is still closing in and a new chinese threat is looming. They have satelites, drones as well as a very good intelligence network. Let me repeat this, Russia isn't stuck in the 40s or 50s as many believe, its a stereotype. I found it funny when I came to the west to find the media spewing so much BS about Russia, and yet when the Russian leadership stops NATO from invading say Syria, everyone goes ape-shiii1t. The reason that Russia was able to stop the west from intervening in Suria was because Russia used it's veto, and that doesn't really have to do much with a war between Russia and the EU. 

Don't forget that Russia is very secretive about their defense industry, its a habit they inherited from the Soviet days, look around online, the Russians are declassifying many documents from the Soviet era, and sometimes it puts me in awe that they had those kinds of things in like the 60s.

I am not saying that the EU equipment is bad, just that the Russians aren't behind, and are actually ahead in some areas (missiles) The Russians ARE behind in military equipment. Russia's defence industry is dying, selling AK's, heavy tanks and artillery is one thing, moving to net-centric warfare platforms suitable for the 21st Century is another. Russia's R&D base has suffered horrendously because of a lack of cash coupled with an increasing brain drain as key engineers and scientists leave for more lucrative offers outside the country in the private sector. The once famous universities that produced high-grade scientists are also starved of cash and many of Russians best and brightest are more interested in making money than serving the state.
Advantage: Russia, simply cause they got more weapons.

More weapons? Russia Fighters: 669 EU fighters: 2020

Russia transport/airlift aircraft: 396 EU transport/airlift aircraft: 512

Russia MBT's: 6500 EU MBT's: 6021

Russia AFV's: 6000 EU AFV's: 37137

Etc etc.


I am at work and can't really go too deep into this, but what I meant by Russia having resources to take the EU fast, I meant they have the natural resources as well as production capabilities all in one country unlike the EU. They don't need to go abroad to get building materials or energy, they can sustain themselves even if isolated, which the EU syply can't especially to the same degree.

I agree that the EU can't really survive isolated as russia can, but the EU isn't isolated in this scenario. And Russia can't even dream about the massive production capabillities of the EU, the Eu can get plenty of natural resources elsewhere very fast. 

I do sincerely like the fact that you claim that Russia has a huge edge because it is 1 country, but you dismiss the fact that the EU has a far better eqipted,trained and funded combined army and that the Industrial base and R&D is huge compared to Russia.

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#207 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

[QUOTE="Lankuus"][QUOTE="Jag85"] Just like how NATO (including both the US and the EU) can't even win over Jihadist warriors? At least Russia did a better job on its own than both the US & EU combined...

Jag85

The Russian invasion of Afghanistan went horribly wrong, how can you say they did better than NATO? O_o

NATO is also doing horribly right now in Afghanistan...

The difference is that the Soviets were slightly outnumbered by the Mujahideen, whereas this time it's NATO that's heavily outnumbering the Taliban:

Soviet-Aghan War:

170,000 (115,000 Soviets & 55,000 Afghan allies) vs. 200,000-250,000 Mujahideen

NATO-Afghan War:

480,916 (100,330 NATO & 380,586 Afghan allies) vs. 29,050-40,100 Mujahideen (25,000 Taliban, 50-100 Al-Qaeda, 4000-15,000 Haqqani)

The Soviets fought the Mujahideen when they were at their peak, when they were being supported by weapons & funding from the US & Pakistan. On the other hand, NATO is struggling against a much more weakened Taliban, which has no major backers.

The Soviet failure in Afghanistan is entirely justifiable, but there is no excuse for NATO to be doing so terribly in Afghanistan right now...

The reason NATO is failing is Afghanistan is that they aren't fighting a conventional army, but a guerrilla army, and fighting for people who don't want to be "freed".
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#208 Jag85
Member since 2005 • 20695 Posts

[QUOTE="Jag85"]

[QUOTE="Lankuus"] The Russian invasion of Afghanistan went horribly wrong, how can you say they did better than NATO? O_odeeliman

NATO is also doing horribly right now in Afghanistan...

The difference is that the Soviets were slightly outnumbered by the Mujahideen, whereas this time it's NATO that's heavily outnumbering the Taliban:

Soviet-Aghan War:

170,000 (115,000 Soviets & 55,000 Afghan allies) vs. 200,000-250,000 Mujahideen

NATO-Afghan War:

480,916 (100,330 NATO & 380,586 Afghan allies) vs. 29,050-40,100 Mujahideen (25,000 Taliban, 50-100 Al-Qaeda, 4000-15,000 Haqqani)

The Soviets fought the Mujahideen when they were at their peak, when they were being supported by weapons & funding from the US & Pakistan. On the other hand, NATO is struggling against a much more weakened Taliban, which has no major backers.

The Soviet failure in Afghanistan is entirely justifiable, but there is no excuse for NATO to be doing so terribly in Afghanistan right now...

The reason NATO is failing is Afghanistan is that they aren't fighting a conventional army, but a guerrilla army, and fighting for people who don't want to be "freed".

Yes, but the Soviets were also fighting a guerilla army in Afghanistan, except in their case that guerilla army also received arming & funding from the US and Pakistan. The Afghan guerilla army that NATO is fighting has no such backing.

But yes, the lack of support from the local people has a lot to do with both failures, but the NATO failure comes out looking a lot worse considering the much better odds they had compared to the Soviets.

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#209 Teenaged
Member since 2007 • 31764 Posts

The zombies!

 

 

 

Where are the zombies, man!?!?!??!

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#210 muscleserge
Member since 2005 • 3307 Posts

[QUOTE="muscleserge"][QUOTE="deeliman"] Sigh, let analyze this, just for fun.

The EU is not a singular entity as many refer to it here, its made up of many sovereign nation with many sovereign governments vs Russia's one strong government.
-Advantage: Russia. Like it or not, its much easier to mobilize one country vs many, as well as having a tactical advantage of a unified leadership. In the scenario in the thread the EU also has unified leadership.
Russia is the most resource rich country in the world (due to size), and the EU is very dependant on Russian exports of not just energy but timber, metals, and many other invaluable resources.
Advantage: Russia. They don't need to import anything to build whatever they wish, they've got everything from oil and diamond to timber and animal furs. They EU might have the means, but they rely on Russian exports for a lot of crucial resources. Sure they can get it else where, but procuring new contracts and waiting for deliveries just gives the Russians more time for the invasion, since Russians already have equipment ready to deploy. And what do you think will happen to Russia's economy if you take away all those oil exports?Their economy will crumble, while I'm certain that there are enough countries willing to take over russia's oil and gas share.  And unless you can state why timber is a neccesary resource in wartime than that's irrelevent.
Russia is a military superpower like it or not, since the Soviet days. For nearly 50 years they were preparing for an all out war, depending just on themselves.
Advantage: Russia. Sure the EU was also waiting for a war, but they were and are relying on the US too much, their military doctrines are built around this, especially when it comes to Russia, and the SU before that. Oh please, are you telling me that you think the russian army as it is right now, is superior to the combined armies of the eu? The EU has more men, larger budget, better trained, better equipment.
All these $ figures mean squat when most of it is all inflated by the banking system, and please also consider that equivalent Russian arms are cheaper to produce. So, your just dismissing the fact that the EU has more ten ten times the amount of money to play with than russia? 

As well as the overall quantity of weapons, and please don't buy into the stereotype that the Russians are still using PPSH's and Musin Rifles. Russia is using AK-74Ms and 101/103Ms, T-80s (modernized) and t-90s, they have stealth fighters, bombers, unrivaled air defense capabilities, as well as the best missile tech in the world.(they are the fathers of rocketry) I never said Russia uses 19th century equpment, but what high end technology can Russia still produce without foreign help? Otherwise what can Russia possibly produce that's not derived from soviet-era technology? IT- nope. Transportation- nope. Consumer electronics- nope. Tooling machinery- nope. Bulava missiles perhaps. Russia has almost zero civilian high-tech engineering capabilities, any innovative systems not wholly developed by the military will need to be imported or stolen via aggresive FSB activity. The West is surging ahead in UAV technology, which is the way of the future. The incursion into Georgia showed just how antiquated the Russian military has become - they had access to zero modern ISTAR capabilities. The Russian military can but dream of operating MQ-9 Reaper type drones allowing their C&C to sit in Moscow and watch real-time action on the ground thousands of miles away. RVT's are now common place amongst UK & US troops in A-STAN allowing for real-time viewing, this technology incorporates miniaturisation advances taken from the electronics industry.
As for the tanks, that's classic ww2 thinking.  Think about aviation & electronics. I think most Western armed forces nowadays would think of large numbers of poorly-equipped (as in short of sensors, protection systems, etc) tanks trundling west as a target-rich environment, not a serious threat. Russia doesn't have stealth fighetrs, they do have stealth bombers though. They have been revamping their military since NATO is still closing in and a new chinese threat is looming. They have satelites, drones as well as a very good intelligence network. Let me repeat this, Russia isn't stuck in the 40s or 50s as many believe, its a stereotype. I found it funny when I came to the west to find the media spewing so much BS about Russia, and yet when the Russian leadership stops NATO from invading say Syria, everyone goes ape-shiii1t. The reason that Russia was able to stop the west from intervening in Suria was because Russia used it's veto, and that doesn't really have to do much with a war between Russia and the EU. 

Don't forget that Russia is very secretive about their defense industry, its a habit they inherited from the Soviet days, look around online, the Russians are declassifying many documents from the Soviet era, and sometimes it puts me in awe that they had those kinds of things in like the 60s.

I am not saying that the EU equipment is bad, just that the Russians aren't behind, and are actually ahead in some areas (missiles) The Russians ARE behind in military equipment. Russia's defence industry is dying, selling AK's, heavy tanks and artillery is one thing, moving to net-centric warfare platforms suitable for the 21st Century is another. Russia's R&D base has suffered horrendously because of a lack of cash coupled with an increasing brain drain as key engineers and scientists leave for more lucrative offers outside the country in the private sector. The once famous universities that produced high-grade scientists are also starved of cash and many of Russians best and brightest are more interested in making money than serving the state.
Advantage: Russia, simply cause they got more weapons.

More weapons? Russia Fighters: 669 EU fighters: 2020

Russia transport/airlift aircraft: 396 EU transport/airlift aircraft: 512

Russia MBT's: 6500 EU MBT's: 6021

Russia AFV's: 6000 EU AFV's: 37137

Etc etc.


I am at work and can't really go too deep into this, but what I meant by Russia having resources to take the EU fast, I meant they have the natural resources as well as production capabilities all in one country unlike the EU. They don't need to go abroad to get building materials or energy, they can sustain themselves even if isolated, which the EU syply can't especially to the same degree.deeliman

I agree that the EU can't really survive isolated as russia can, but the EU isn't isolated in this scenario. And Russia can't even dream about the massive production capabillities of the EU, the Eu can get plenty of natural resources elsewhere very fast. 

I do sincerely like the fact that you claim that Russia has a huge edge because it is 1 country, but you dismiss the fact that the EU has a far better eqipted,trained and funded combined army and that the Industrial base and R&D is huge compared to Russia.

Timber is a very valuable resource war or not, plus having the resources at home is vastly better than having to depend on imports. Russia is world's #2 exporter of arms, so I don't think their defense industry is lacking much, in fact it is doing very well, you just don't see it in the west, after all western nations still hold Russia as an adversary, so no good things are ever said about it, in fact facts are skewed in the media in regard to Russia and its affairs all the time. (hence the stereotype) The brain drain was a 90s thing, infact Russia is investing heavily into the tech sector and R&D right now, they even built their own silicon valley. Even under a single leadership, your always going to face issues because those are separate countries, many don't really like each other. One other important fact is that the Russian populace is much more ready for war than the EU, they are generally fitter and due to conscription are much more war ready. Current day Russia still has a deep military tradition, where as the EU countries don't, at least not any more. It is much easier to find someone to sell energy to than to find a good, reliable supplier who won't charge you more due to desperation. Imagine war starts tomorrow, Russia cuts off the energy suppy, by the time the EU gets an new supplier, Russia will be half way done, and if they do it in the winter, even faster, cause the EU will divert some of its energy reserve for heating people's homes. Russian tech you ask? There is a good Russian TV show abou ttheir military kinda like the discovery channel did for the US, let me see if I can find it with subtitles, they show a lot of modern Russian equipment, high tech too. I am not blaming you for the opinion you hold, its just that no one in the west gets any of this and their main source of info is Hollywood or the biased media. But trust me, Russia isn't lacking in that department.
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chaplainDMK

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#211 chaplainDMK
Member since 2008 • 7004 Posts
[QUOTE="deeliman"]

[QUOTE="muscleserge"]

I agree that the EU can't really survive isolated as russia can, but the EU isn't isolated in this scenario. And Russia can't even dream about the massive production capabillities of the EU, the Eu can get plenty of natural resources elsewhere very fast. 

I do sincerely like the fact that you claim that Russia has a huge edge because it is 1 country, but you dismiss the fact that the EU has a far better eqipted,trained and funded combined army and that the Industrial base and R&D is huge compared to Russia.

muscleserge

Timber is a very valuable resource war or not, plus having the resources at home is vastly better than having to depend on imports. Russia is world's #2 exporter of arms, so I don't think their defense industry is lacking much, in fact it is doing very well, you just don't see it in the west, after all western nations still hold Russia as an adversary, so no good things are ever said about it, in fact facts are skewed in the media in regard to Russia and its affairs all the time. (hence the stereotype) The brain drain was a 90s thing, infact Russia is investing heavily into the tech sector and R&D right now, they even built their own silicon valley. Even under a single leadership, your always going to face issues because those are separate countries, many don't really like each other. One other important fact is that the Russian populace is much more ready for war than the EU, they are generally fitter and due to conscription are much more war ready. Current day Russia still has a deep military tradition, where as the EU countries don't, at least not any more. It is much easier to find someone to sell energy to than to find a good, reliable supplier who won't charge you more due to desperation. Imagine war starts tomorrow, Russia cuts off the energy suppy, by the time the EU gets an new supplier, Russia will be half way done, and if they do it in the winter, even faster, cause the EU will divert some of its energy reserve for heating people's homes. Russian tech you ask? There is a good Russian TV show abou ttheir military kinda like the discovery channel did for the US, let me see if I can find it with subtitles, they show a lot of modern Russian equipment, high tech too. I am not blaming you for the opinion you hold, its just that no one in the west gets any of this and their main source of info is Hollywood or the biased media. But trust me, Russia isn't lacking in that department.

You're still forgetting the fact that the Russian army is mostly armed with late 1970s equipment. And again, Europe has plenty of natural gas and oil reserves to last a long time, North Sea Oil fields ring any bells?
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deeliman

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#212 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts
[QUOTE="deeliman"]

[QUOTE="muscleserge"]

I agree that the EU can't really survive isolated as russia can, but the EU isn't isolated in this scenario. And Russia can't even dream about the massive production capabillities of the EU, the Eu can get plenty of natural resources elsewhere very fast. 

I do sincerely like the fact that you claim that Russia has a huge edge because it is 1 country, but you dismiss the fact that the EU has a far better eqipted,trained and funded combined army and that the Industrial base and R&D is huge compared to Russia.

muscleserge

Timber is a very valuable resource war or not, plus having the resources at home is vastly better than having to depend on imports. Russia is world's #2 exporter of arms, so I don't think their defense industry is lacking much, in fact it is doing very well, you just don't see it in the west, after all western nations still hold Russia as an adversary, so no good things are ever said about it, in fact facts are skewed in the media in regard to Russia and its affairs all the time. (hence the stereotype) The brain drain was a 90s thing, infact Russia is investing heavily into the tech sector and R&D right now, they even built their own silicon valley. Even under a single leadership, your always going to face issues because those are separate countries, many don't really like each other. One other important fact is that the Russian populace is much more ready for war than the EU, they are generally fitter and due to conscription are much more war ready. Current day Russia still has a deep military tradition, where as the EU countries don't, at least not any more. It is much easier to find someone to sell energy to than to find a good, reliable supplier who won't charge you more due to desperation. Imagine war starts tomorrow, Russia cuts off the energy suppy, by the time the EU gets an new supplier, Russia will be half way done, and if they do it in the winter, even faster, cause the EU will divert some of its energy reserve for heating people's homes. Russian tech you ask? There is a good Russian TV show abou ttheir military kinda like the discovery channel did for the US, let me see if I can find it with subtitles, they show a lot of modern Russian equipment, high tech too. I am not blaming you for the opinion you hold, its just that no one in the west gets any of this and their main source of info is Hollywood or the biased media. But trust me, Russia isn't lacking in that department.

Unless Russia is the only country they can get it form it's irrelevant. Russia's arms industry is in steep decline simply because its biggest customers are either turning west or developing their own indigenous capabilities. Its highly competent human resource assets (engineers, scientists) can't get out the country fast enough. Over the next 20-25 years China will dominate the arms market in those countries who can't buy or afford western systems. Do you have any idea how much money Russia would have to invest in R&D to get to the level the EU is? More than the EU and US are spending right now combined. And even then it would still take a long time. I don't know where people get the idea that all the EU countries hate each other, this is simply not true. Imagine war starts tomorrow, the EU doesn't import anything anymore from Russia, what do you think would happen to the Russian economy? What high-end technology does Russia produce and export other than weapons? How many flat screen TV's, hybrid cars, industrial robots, precision machine tools, lap-tops, computers etc are all built and exported from Russia? Once their arms industry withers and dies due to lack of investment and exports, what are they going to turn to? Have you ever seen a Russian 'high-tech' commercial product for sale in a competitive free-market environment, if so tell me, because I haven't.
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Lankuus

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#213 Lankuus
Member since 2013 • 25 Posts

[QUOTE="deeliman"][QUOTE="Jag85"]

NATO is also doing horribly right now in Afghanistan...

The difference is that the Soviets were slightly outnumbered by the Mujahideen, whereas this time it's NATO that's heavily outnumbering the Taliban:

Soviet-Aghan War:

170,000 (115,000 Soviets & 55,000 Afghan allies) vs. 200,000-250,000 Mujahideen

NATO-Afghan War:

480,916 (100,330 NATO & 380,586 Afghan allies) vs. 29,050-40,100 Mujahideen (25,000 Taliban, 50-100 Al-Qaeda, 4000-15,000 Haqqani)

The Soviets fought the Mujahideen when they were at their peak, when they were being supported by weapons & funding from the US & Pakistan. On the other hand, NATO is struggling against a much more weakened Taliban, which has no major backers.

The Soviet failure in Afghanistan is entirely justifiable, but there is no excuse for NATO to be doing so terribly in Afghanistan right now...

Jag85

The reason NATO is failing is Afghanistan is that they aren't fighting a conventional army, but a guerrilla army, and fighting for people who don't want to be "freed".

Yes, but the Soviets were also fighting a guerilla army in Afghanistan, except in their case that guerilla army also received arming & funding from the US and Pakistan. The Afghan guerilla army that NATO is fighting has no such backing.

But yes, the lack of support from the local people has a lot to do with both failures, but the NATO failure comes out looking a lot worse considering the much better odds they had compared to the Soviets.

See, I don't see the mission as a failure. NATOs main objective once they went in was to over throw the Taliban/al Qaeda government in Kabul - success. Then the next job was to rebuild afghanistans army by providing training, equipment etc - sluggish progress, but progress nevertheless. Then was to assist the ANA/ANP in creating a stable and safe state - Afghanistan seems to be better than it was but still along way to go Back to retraining an armed forces, once basic is training is done they will need to test themselves and show the people they are fighting for, they can protect them. What better way to prove to the locals than having somebody to fight? I know it sounds awful to say it but its true. They will get experience and will bond with each other. Again I know it sounded bad but I believe NATO wanted to weaken Al Qaeda and let the ANA/ANP get rid off the rest.
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SciFiRPGfan

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#214 SciFiRPGfan
Member since 2010 • 694 Posts

Russia's arms industry is in steep decline simply because its biggest customers are either turning west or developing their own indigenous capabilities.deeliman

Sorry to interrupt again man, but you sure about that?

I just tried to check two important indicators (exports of arms and military expenditures) of health of Russian military industry and at least based on those two, that would not seem to be the case.

As for Russian arms exports, the wiki (I know... meh wiki, but at least they do provide citations, so it should not be completely baseless) would suggest that Russian export of arms is actually growing and looks something like this: 

  2001:        2002:      2003:       2004:      2005:      2006:      2007:       2008:      2009:       2010:       2011:        2012:
$3.7 bn    $4.8 bn   $5.6 bn   $5.8 bn   $6.1 bn   $6.5 bn   $7.4 bn   $8.3 bn   $8.8 bn   $10.0 bn   $13.2 bn   $15.2 bn

As for Russian military expenditures, according to for example this article from Telegraph, they are also growing and in fact, it's the western coiuntries, who are decreasing their military budgets.

Now, I don't want to jump to preliminary conclusions and I am not very familiar with the situation, but if Russian military exports are doing fine and Russian military budget is growing, shouldn't their military industry be also doing fine? Or maybe you meant it relatively in comparison to some other country / ies (i.e. they are not growing / improving as fast as some other countries) ?  

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Barbariser

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#215 Barbariser
Member since 2009 • 6785 Posts

[QUOTE="Barbariser"][QUOTE="muscleserge"] How did taking Moscow fared in the previous wars. This concept plays into the Russian hand all the time, they even draw the enemy in. Lets get something straight. Russia going into full war mode means the EU stands no chance. All your leaders, both political and military know this, hence the current NATO policies and strategies. The Russians have enough resources to plummet the EU nations into the stone age and pretty quickly at that. Russia is resource independant, whereas the EU isn't, they have the equipment and manpower to do the job as well. Remember a while back Russia moved some iskandar class missiles to Kaliningrad in response to the NATO threat and half of Europe went nuts. The EU is too dependant of foreigh energy to wage even a defensive war, that alone makes them the losing side. The Russian military doctrine has changed over the years, they would proly go with a bombing campaign, ie missiles, bombers and artillery (of which they have plenty of), then they would cut off supplies, and the EU falls. Being so dependant of the US has made the EU weak, like it or not.muscleserge
In previous wars? Napoleon seized Moscow with early 19th century tech. His campaign failed because Moscow was not the capital of Russia at the time. Crimean War? Russians conceded defeat and nobody had to take the capital. In WW1 Germany thrashed the entire Russian Empire (considerably larger than modern Russia in the Western portion) without having to reach the capital, in WW2 Germany nearly beat the entire USSR (also larger and more populated than modern Russia in the West) and lost due to getting stalled in Stalingrad. Notice that France and Germany managed these feats while being at war with half the rest of the world? It's hilarious that you rag on the E.U. for being "dependent on the U.S." when in every major conflict that Russia has historically won with Western European powers, they did so as a member of an alliance. Guess which power the U.S.S.R. was dependent on for supplies and products in World War II? Oh, that's right, the United States of America. What history shows you is that Russia's few military victories were mainly achieved with significant allied aid and a vast numerical advantage. Too bad Russia is outnumbered horribly by the E.U. in this scenario and no country except tiny insignificant Belarus is going to be stupid enough to ally with them against the E.U. Nothing you said in your post proves anything. Of course NATO was planned as a team effort, it was created in an era where the entire eastern half of Europe. was in the Warsaw Pact (and remember, the U.S.S.R. was considerably larger than Russia). Of course the E.U. would grumble if Russia placed a strategic weapon there. You understand that countries don't like fighting wars or being bombed in the process even if they would probably win right? Practically all modern military powers today use "bombers, artillery and missiles", do you think the E.U. relies on knights and crossbowmen? :roll: The resource concerns are far less relevant when the entire E.U. has a large oil producer in the form of the U.K., numerous oil-rich allies like Canada, the United States and Norway, and a giant pile of Middle Eastern countries down south that they could just buy it from. In contrast, Russia will enter a ginormous recession when the E.U. stops buying their stuff and they lose 10%-15% of their G.D.P. instantly. I might also like to mention that Russia is a net importer of food, again mostly from the E.U. One of the sides in this war is going to go hungry alright, and it isn't going to be the rich coalition containing several major food exporters as members. The only way for Russia to actually starve Europe of necessary resources is via blockade and are you going to claim that the Russians would be able to blockade a coalition with the largest brown water navy in the world and several aircraft carriers? Or that the U.S. and their world's largest blue water navy would allow the Russians to blockade their largest trade partner?

Please stop using WW1 as evidence, it show the lack of historical knowledge, Russia had to withdraw from the war due to having a revolution and a civil war. Britain was getting the most of the uS aid. Don't forget that the SU didn't expect Germany to attack as well, they still were rebuilding the country at the time, and at the end of the war the SU was outproducing all the allies and germany as well. Russia is importing food due to the WTO crap, before this Russia was feeding Europe to the extend that Europe was dependant on Russian grain exports. Belarus alone has enough fertile land to feed Russia if needed, as well as the infrastructure. Getting energy from abroad is much more inefficient, tankers can be sunk by subs or guided missiles. Russians have so many conventional bombs that they can conduct just a bombing campaign until the EU is dust, they have 36k tanks at their disposal, as well as a very large fleet of bombers. Aircraft carriers are sitting sucks these days, and are useful against weaker countries, but a country with a decent air defense system would be worried too much. Russia has plenty of contingencies for many war scenarios, since they are now getting ready to defend their territory and resources. This is mainly because of the oncoming sortages, and a western rhetoric of claiming Russian resources(publicly too). Stop underestimating Russia, and son't just read western sources, they are incredibly biased.

You were the one who brought up "previous attempts at taking Moscow" when the main problems have basically disappeared due to modern logistics, why don't you listen to your own advice? Yes, the Russian Empire had a revolution, and you understand that part of the reason why they had a revolution was that their army was getting its ass beat by just of half the German army right? British dependence on the U.S. is irrelevant, the fact is that the U.S.S.R was only able to produce so many military goods and win the war because the U.S. gave them so much material.

Russia importing food because of free trade hardly makes it better. You understand that this shows Russia's agricultural sector to be uncompetitive with the global market right? Having a tonne of arable land means nothing if you lack the technology and efficiency to get decent yields out of it, a problem that describes agriculture in the entire former U.S.S.R. I also want to see proof that Europe was dependent on Russian food after 1992. Even if they manage to stay food secure their food prices will rise significantly and the average Russian has a far lower income than the average E.U. citizen.

And rofl at the idea of blowing up E.U. tankers with submarines when the E.U.'s brown water navy is the largest in the world.If the Russian fleet actually tried this kind of tactic they would end up at the bottom of the ocean in no time. And no, aircraft carriers are not "sitting ducks", they are so good at sinking other fleets and moving forces around that no country in the world bothers with other types of capital ship any more. As deeliman shows, Europe's tank and airforce is so huge that if Russia tried the "roll over and bomb" strategy you're advocating, they'd lose all their planes and armour in short order.

You are hilarious. You are the one arguing that Russia can beat a group of countries with several times their population, military spending, industrial capacity and existing military power and you dare call other people biased? Pointing out that Russia is going to get crushed in such a situation is not "underestimating them" at all, because that's exactly what would happen if this scenario came about. The main difference between you and me is that I actually understand what determines victory in a large scale land war. You on the other hand seem to have no idea about the sheer amount of force and power that the E.U. can bring to bear if mobilized.

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deeliman

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#216 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

[QUOTE="deeliman"]Russia's arms industry is in steep decline simply because its biggest customers are either turning west or developing their own indigenous capabilities.SciFiRPGfan


Sorry to interrupt again man, but you sure about that?

I just tried to check two important indicators (exports of arms and military expenditures) of health of Russian military industry and at least based on those two, that would not seem to be the case.

As for Russian arms exports, the wiki (I know... meh wiki, but at least they do provide citations, so it should not be completely baseless) would suggest that Russian export of arms is actually growing and looks something like this: 

  2001:        2002:      2003:       2004:      2005:      2006:      2007:       2008:      2009:       2010:       2011:        2012:
$3.7 bn    $4.8 bn   $5.6 bn   $5.8 bn   $6.1 bn   $6.5 bn   $7.4 bn   $8.3 bn   $8.8 bn   $10.0 bn   $13.2 bn   $15.2 bn

As for Russian military expenditures, according to for example this article from Telegraph, they are also growing and in fact, it's the western coiuntries, who are decreasing their military budgets.

Now, I don't want to jump to preliminary conclusions and I am not very familiar with the situation, but if Russian military exports are doing fine and Russian military budget is growing, shouldn't their military industry be also doing fine? Or maybe you meant it relatively in comparison to some other country / ies (i.e. they are not growing / improving as fast as some other countries) ?  

What I ment with dying was that they aren't producing high tech equipment in any significant number, and are unable to do so without foreign help. They aren't moving on the net-centric warfare, which will be the way war will be conducted most effeciently in the 21 century. The Russian's openly admit their Naval ship building bases will close unless they partner with an outside entity, preferably a European one. The military no longer receives the lions share of the funds it once enjoyed. The cost of restructuring the military alone will cost billions, never mind diverting funds to develop 5th & 6th generation products. Time is against Russia simply because the old Eastern block is now looking west, China will develop its own well funded defence industry, and even India is now looking for alternative suppliers. They can still make cheap reliable low tech weapons, but this will not help them catch-up and compete with the likes of Europe, Israel and the US.
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#217 Angie7F
Member since 2011 • 1175 Posts

wow. SO many posts.

I dont have any evidence to back me up, but a string of nations seems to have more money and people than one country.

So I voted EU.

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#218 Rattlesnake_8
Member since 2004 • 18452 Posts
EU wold said EU Russia would say Russia US would say US
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#219 muscleserge
Member since 2005 • 3307 Posts
[QUOTE="muscleserge"][QUOTE="deeliman"]chaplainDMK
Timber is a very valuable resource war or not, plus having the resources at home is vastly better than having to depend on imports. Russia is world's #2 exporter of arms, so I don't think their defense industry is lacking much, in fact it is doing very well, you just don't see it in the west, after all western nations still hold Russia as an adversary, so no good things are ever said about it, in fact facts are skewed in the media in regard to Russia and its affairs all the time. (hence the stereotype) The brain drain was a 90s thing, infact Russia is investing heavily into the tech sector and R&D right now, they even built their own silicon valley. Even under a single leadership, your always going to face issues because those are separate countries, many don't really like each other. One other important fact is that the Russian populace is much more ready for war than the EU, they are generally fitter and due to conscription are much more war ready. Current day Russia still has a deep military tradition, where as the EU countries don't, at least not any more. It is much easier to find someone to sell energy to than to find a good, reliable supplier who won't charge you more due to desperation. Imagine war starts tomorrow, Russia cuts off the energy suppy, by the time the EU gets an new supplier, Russia will be half way done, and if they do it in the winter, even faster, cause the EU will divert some of its energy reserve for heating people's homes. Russian tech you ask? There is a good Russian TV show abou ttheir military kinda like the discovery channel did for the US, let me see if I can find it with subtitles, they show a lot of modern Russian equipment, high tech too. I am not blaming you for the opinion you hold, its just that no one in the west gets any of this and their main source of info is Hollywood or the biased media. But trust me, Russia isn't lacking in that department.

You're still forgetting the fact that the Russian army is mostly armed with late 1970s equipment. And again, Europe has plenty of natural gas and oil reserves to last a long time, North Sea Oil fields ring any bells?

Sure some of the equipment is from the 70s but there is nothing wrong with it, remember the abrams are from the early 80s, the F-16s are from the 60s, the b-52s even before that, the m-16s are also from the 60s. There is nothing wrong with using proven equipment and replacing it with something marginally better isn't efficient or smart. What abou the PAK-FA, the T-90, the s300 and s400 systems, the ak 101/103s, also check out their field hospitals, best in the world, the KA-52s gunship, the sunburn missiles, Peter the great missile cruiser, the tu-160, the su-37, the mig-35, topol-M, the iskandhars, and so on. Russia is producing high tech military equipment that is only rivaled by the US. Also keep in mind the Russian rhetoric when it comes to mil. equipment, it is supposed to be reliable and as simple in design as possible. They prioritize reliability over everything. Is it wrong? no, its just a different approach. Russian jets, missiles, and rifles constantly outperform their western counterparts during war games, when operated by Russian staff, and not some ill-trained 3rd world personnel, who don't even maintain their equipment properly. I remember a while back a Russian official had to go on TV to rant about this as well as CEOs of major defense firms. China is infringing on Russian patents all the time. They would buy a batch of say jets and then just copy them, badly, but still. Having other sources of energy is great, but don't forget this is still a globalized economy and Russia withdrawing energy from the EU would raise prices, and switching supplyers of such an asset isn't as easy as you think, even in wartime. Northern oil fields would be a bad idea since Russia basically controls the north. So the EU would heavily depend on Americans and Canadians. South America would Side with Russia, some OPEC countries too, since they are dependant of Russian exports and aid. Point is, having everything at home is a huuuuuuge advantage. Edit: Also a note on defense spending. You can't just add up individual country's spending, it doesn't take into account variables and inefficiencies of separate budgets and doctrines. Russia spends close to $100 billion of defend and will spend closer to $120 billion after 2014, also take into account that Russia equivalent equipment costs half as much, would bring Russia quite a good bit on par with the EU, and thats not even war mode Russia, where as many EU nations are NATO and have to have budgets like that to meet standards(Iraq, Afghanistan, Africa). But still there is a downward trend in the EU in relations to defense spending, where as the Russian budget increases every year. Edit 2: Russian civilian tech is lacking simply due to capitalism, and an economic concept of comparable advantage (look it up). A capitalist economy shifts all the time especially with globalized trade, and because of this they are shifting resources towards more lucrative ventures such as energy and other "heavy" resources, while importing the civilian crap because its cheaper to do so. Its economics. But Putin is heavily shifting away from this and is developing the Russian civilian tech sector quite aggressively, especially now after the Snowden leaks, since trust in foreing tech fell and for national security reasons they are switching to domestic tech, even if its more expensive. So expect the Russian tech industry to get a very big leap n the coming years. On a side note, the recent "anti gay" law is a product of democracy, the Russian populace is largely conservative when it comes to "family" values", something like 70%, so their representative government had to pass the legislation, and Putin had to sign it. Thats democracy for you.
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Jag85

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#220 Jag85
Member since 2005 • 20695 Posts

[QUOTE="Jag85"]

[QUOTE="deeliman"] The reason NATO is failing is Afghanistan is that they aren't fighting a conventional army, but a guerrilla army, and fighting for people who don't want to be "freed". Lankuus

Yes, but the Soviets were also fighting a guerilla army in Afghanistan, except in their case that guerilla army also received arming & funding from the US and Pakistan. The Afghan guerilla army that NATO is fighting has no such backing.

But yes, the lack of support from the local people has a lot to do with both failures, but the NATO failure comes out looking a lot worse considering the much better odds they had compared to the Soviets.

See, I don't see the mission as a failure. NATOs main objective once they went in was to over throw the Taliban/al Qaeda government in Kabul - success.
Then the next job was to rebuild afghanistans army by providing training, equipment etc - sluggish progress, but progress nevertheless.
Then was to assist the ANA/ANP in creating a stable and safe state - Afghanistan seems to be better than it was but still along way to go

Back to retraining an armed forces, once basic is training is done they will need to test themselves and show the people they are fighting for, they can protect them. What better way to prove to the locals than having somebody to fight? I know it sounds awful to say it but its true. They will get experience and will bond with each other.

Again I know it sounded bad but I believe NATO wanted to weaken Al Qaeda and let the ANA/ANP get rid off the rest.

...Except NATO failed to overthrow the Taliban, since they're still in power across large parts of Afghanistan. In addition, the Taliban's power went on to expand across the border into North-West Pakistan. NATO's mission to overthrow the Taliban has been a failure, so much so that they're now even trying to negotiate with the Taliban...

The Taliban that NATO is facing is nowhere near as tough as the Mujahideen (with US and Pakistan backing) that the Soviets were facing, so it seems clear to me that the Soviets were the better force compared to NATO.

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deeliman

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#221 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

[QUOTE="chaplainDMK"][QUOTE="muscleserge"][QUOTE="deeliman"]muscleserge
Sure some of the equipment is from the 70s but there is nothing wrong with it, remember the abrams are from the early 80s, the F-16s are from the 60s, the b-52s even before that, the m-16s are also from the 60s. There is nothing wrong with using proven equipment and replacing it with something marginally better isn't efficient or smart. Are you daft? All modern western armies are replacing those old things. Dou you think 5th generation fighters are only marginally better? The F-35 which will replace the F-16 in a lot of countries is a huge improvement, and will absolutely obliterate any 4th gen fighter. The EU doesn't use Abrahams, they use Challenger 2's and Leopard 2A6M's and AMX-56 Leclerc's, which are all better than the T-72's or T-90's ( which are only a small improvement over the T-72)

 What abou the PAK-FA, the T-90, the s300 and s400 systems, the ak 101/103s, also check out their field hospitals, best in the world, the KA-52s gunship, the sunburn missiles, Peter the great missile cruiser, the tu-160, the su-37, the mig-35, topol-M, the iskandhars, and so on. Russia is producing high tech military equipment that is only rivaled by the US. Also keep in mind the Russian rhetoric when it comes to mil. equipment, it is supposed to be reliable and as simple in design as possible. They prioritize reliability over everything. Is it wrong? no, its just a different approach.Only rivaled by the US?

  • A400M 
  • ASCOD IFV e
  • Meteor
  • ASRAAM and IRIS-T 
  • Eurofighter Typhoon 
  • Eurocopter Tiger 
  • EH101 & NH90
  • PzH 2000
  • F-100 Class Frigates
  • S-80 class submarine 
  • ATF Dingo
  • Fennek
  • Patria AMV
  • GTK Boxer
  • Horizon class frigate and FREMM multipurpose frigat
  • Rotterdam and Galicia class LPD,
  • Type 212 submarine
  • 7 Provinceën class frigate
  • Horizon Class Destroyers

Name any military hardware, and the EU has multiple state of the art weapons for it.

 

Russian jets, missiles, and rifles constantly outperform their western counterparts during war games, when operated by Russian staff, and not some ill-trained 3rd world personnel, who don't even maintain their equipment properly. I remember a while back a Russian official had to go on TV to rant about this as well as CEOs of major defense firms. China is infringing on Russian patents all the time. They would buy a batch of say jets and then just copy them, badly, but still. Russia doesn't maintain their equipment very well either. They maintain only about half of their MBT's, the rest are in bunkers just rusting away. Same story for pretty much everything in the Russian arsenal. Nukes too for example. That 5 figure number people are always throwing around only exists on paper. The majority of their nuclear arsenal is just scrap on a shelf in some bunker.

Having other sources of energy is great, but don't forget this is still a globalized economy and Russia withdrawing energy from the EU would raise prices, and switching supplyers of such an asset isn't as easy as you think, even in wartime. Northern oil fields would be a bad idea since Russia basically controls the north. So the EU would heavily depend on Americans and Canadians. South America would Side with Russia, some OPEC countries too, since they are dependant of Russian exports and aid. Point is, having everything at home is a huuuuuuge advantage. I wasn't aware that Russia controled the north sea? :roll: 

You have still failed to answer the question of what you think would happen to the Russian economy when a large portion of their income vanishes in thin air.

Edit:

Also a note on defense spending. You can't just add up individual country's spending, it doesn't take into account variables and inefficiencies of separate budgets and doctrines. Russia spends close to $100 billion of defend and will spend closer to $120 billion after 2014, also take into account that Russia equivalent equipment costs half as much, would bring Russia quite a good bit on par with the EU, and thats not even war mode Russia, where as many EU nations are NATO and have to have budgets like that to meet standards(Iraq, Afghanistan, Africa). But still there is a downward trend in the EU in relations to defense spending, where as the Russian budget increases every year. The EU spends about 267,66 billion dollars on defense, are you really suggesting that those small inefficiencies are enough to close that gap? And what do you think Russia will be able to spend on their military during wartime, aside from the fact that both russian and EU's GDP would decrease.  The US used about 50% of their GDP for the military during ww2, so I'll go by that. That would leave Russia with about 1,690 trillion dollars and the EU with about 8,283 trillion dollars. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure that one out.

Edit 2:

Russian civilian tech is lacking simply due to capitalism, and an economic concept of comparable advantage (look it up). I'm going to assume you mean comparative advantage. A capitalist economy shifts all the time especially with globalized trade, and because of this they are shifting resources towards more lucrative ventures such as energy and other "heavy" resources, while importing the civilian crap because its cheaper to do so. Its economics. It's not just easier to do. It is infact impossible for Russia to do the same, they just lack the experience and industrial base. But Putin is heavily shifting away from this and is developing the Russian civilian tech sector quite aggressively, especially now after the Snowden leaks, since trust in foreing tech fell and for national security reasons they are switching to domestic tech, even if its more expensive. It will stiil take decades to catch up to th elikes of the EU, US and Japan.  So expect the Russian tech industry to get a very big leap n the coming years. Wishful thinking at best. Russia doesn't have the means to catch up to the EU and that won't change for a while.

On a side note, the recent "anti gay" law is a product of democracy, the Russian populace is largely conservative when it comes to "family" values", something like 70%, so their representative government had to pass the legislation, and Putin had to sign it. Thats democracy for you. They didn't "have to". People in a democracy (the one commen in the world now, not the ancient greek version) only get to choose people who will represent them and make the decisions for them, they don't get too choose which law passes and which doesn't.

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deeliman

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#222 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

[QUOTE="Lankuus"][QUOTE="Jag85"]

Yes, but the Soviets were also fighting a guerilla army in Afghanistan, except in their case that guerilla army also received arming & funding from the US and Pakistan. The Afghan guerilla army that NATO is fighting has no such backing.

But yes, the lack of support from the local people has a lot to do with both failures, but the NATO failure comes out looking a lot worse considering the much better odds they had compared to the Soviets.

Jag85

See, I don't see the mission as a failure. NATOs main objective once they went in was to over throw the Taliban/al Qaeda government in Kabul - success.
Then the next job was to rebuild afghanistans army by providing training, equipment etc - sluggish progress, but progress nevertheless.
Then was to assist the ANA/ANP in creating a stable and safe state - Afghanistan seems to be better than it was but still along way to go

Back to retraining an armed forces, once basic is training is done they will need to test themselves and show the people they are fighting for, they can protect them. What better way to prove to the locals than having somebody to fight? I know it sounds awful to say it but its true. They will get experience and will bond with each other.

Again I know it sounded bad but I believe NATO wanted to weaken Al Qaeda and let the ANA/ANP get rid off the rest.

...Except NATO failed to overthrow the Taliban, since they're still in power across large parts of Afghanistan. In addition, the Taliban's power went on to expand across the border into North-West Pakistan. NATO's mission to overthrow the Taliban has been a failure, so much so that they're now even trying to negotiate with the Taliban...

The Taliban that NATO is facing is nowhere near as tough as the Mujahideen (with US and Pakistan backing) that the Soviets were facing, so it seems clear to me that the Soviets were the better force compared to NATO.

The objectives of the USSR and NATO today are different though, so you can't really compare them.
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muscleserge

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#223 muscleserge
Member since 2005 • 3307 Posts

[QUOTE="muscleserge"][QUOTE="chaplainDMK"][QUOTE="muscleserge"][QUOTE="deeliman"]deeliman

Sure some of the equipment is from the 70s but there is nothing wrong with it, remember the abrams are from the early 80s, the F-16s are from the 60s, the b-52s even before that, the m-16s are also from the 60s. There is nothing wrong with using proven equipment and replacing it with something marginally better isn't efficient or smart. Are you daft? All modern western armies are replacing those old things. Dou you think 5th generation fighters are only marginally better? The F-35 which will replace the F-16 in a lot of countries is a huge improvement, and will absolutely obliterate any 4th gen fighter. The EU doesn't use Abrahams, they use Challenger 2's and Leopard 2A6M's and AMX-56 Leclerc's, which are all better than the T-72's or T-90's ( which are only a small improvement over the T-72)

 What abou the PAK-FA, the T-90, the s300 and s400 systems, the ak 101/103s, also check out their field hospitals, best in the world, the KA-52s gunship, the sunburn missiles, Peter the great missile cruiser, the tu-160, the su-37, the mig-35, topol-M, the iskandhars, and so on. Russia is producing high tech military equipment that is only rivaled by the US. Also keep in mind the Russian rhetoric when it comes to mil. equipment, it is supposed to be reliable and as simple in design as possible. They prioritize reliability over everything. Is it wrong? no, its just a different approach.Only rivaled by the US?

  • A400M 
  • ASCOD IFV e
  • Meteor
  • ASRAAM and IRIS-T 
  • Eurofighter Typhoon 
  • Eurocopter Tiger 
  • EH101 & NH90
  • PzH 2000
  • F-100 Class Frigates
  • S-80 class submarine 
  • ATF Dingo
  • Fennek
  • Patria AMV
  • GTK Boxer
  • Horizon class frigate and FREMM multipurpose frigat
  • Rotterdam and Galicia class LPD,
  • Type 212 submarine
  • 7 Provinceën class frigate
  • Horizon Class Destroyers

Name any military hardware, and the EU has multiple state of the art weapons for it.

 

Russian jets, missiles, and rifles constantly outperform their western counterparts during war games, when operated by Russian staff, and not some ill-trained 3rd world personnel, who don't even maintain their equipment properly. I remember a while back a Russian official had to go on TV to rant about this as well as CEOs of major defense firms. China is infringing on Russian patents all the time. They would buy a batch of say jets and then just copy them, badly, but still. Russia doesn't maintain their equipment very well either. They maintain only about half of their MBT's, the rest are in bunkers just rusting away. Same story for pretty much everything in the Russian arsenal. Nukes too for example. That 5 figure number people are always throwing around only exists on paper. The majority of their nuclear arsenal is just scrap on a shelf in some bunker.

Having other sources of energy is great, but don't forget this is still a globalized economy and Russia withdrawing energy from the EU would raise prices, and switching supplyers of such an asset isn't as easy as you think, even in wartime. Northern oil fields would be a bad idea since Russia basically controls the north. So the EU would heavily depend on Americans and Canadians. South America would Side with Russia, some OPEC countries too, since they are dependant of Russian exports and aid. Point is, having everything at home is a huuuuuuge advantage. I wasn't aware that Russia controled the north sea? :roll: 

You have still failed to answer the question of what you think would happen to the Russian economy when a large portion of their income vanishes in thin air.

Edit:

Also a note on defense spending. You can't just add up individual country's spending, it doesn't take into account variables and inefficiencies of separate budgets and doctrines. Russia spends close to $100 billion of defend and will spend closer to $120 billion after 2014, also take into account that Russia equivalent equipment costs half as much, would bring Russia quite a good bit on par with the EU, and thats not even war mode Russia, where as many EU nations are NATO and have to have budgets like that to meet standards(Iraq, Afghanistan, Africa). But still there is a downward trend in the EU in relations to defense spending, where as the Russian budget increases every year. The EU spends about 267,66 billion dollars on defense, are you really suggesting that those small inefficiencies are enough to close that gap? And what do you think Russia will be able to spend on their military during wartime, aside from the fact that both russian and EU's GDP would decrease.  The US used about 50% of their GDP for the military during ww2, so I'll go by that. That would leave Russia with about 1,690 trillion dollars and the EU with about 8,283 trillion dollars. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure that one out.

Edit 2:

Russian civilian tech is lacking simply due to capitalism, and an economic concept of comparable advantage (look it up). I'm going to assume you mean comparative advantage. A capitalist economy shifts all the time especially with globalized trade, and because of this they are shifting resources towards more lucrative ventures such as energy and other "heavy" resources, while importing the civilian crap because its cheaper to do so. Its economics. It's not just easier to do. It is infact impossible for Russia to do the same, they just lack the experience and industrial base. But Putin is heavily shifting away from this and is developing the Russian civilian tech sector quite aggressively, especially now after the Snowden leaks, since trust in foreing tech fell and for national security reasons they are switching to domestic tech, even if its more expensive. It will stiil take decades to catch up to th elikes of the EU, US and Japan.  So expect the Russian tech industry to get a very big leap n the coming years. Wishful thinking at best. Russia doesn't have the means to catch up to the EU and that won't change for a while.

On a side note, the recent "anti gay" law is a product of democracy, the Russian populace is largely conservative when it comes to "family" values", something like 70%, so their representative government had to pass the legislation, and Putin had to sign it. Thats democracy for you. They didn't "have to". People in a democracy (the one commen in the world now, not the ancient greek version) only get to choose people who will represent them and make the decisions for them, they don't get too choose which law passes and which doesn't.

All those weapons you listed, how much do they go for these days? Many are build in multiple countries and assembled in an another, how long would it take to produce. Does the EU have anything equivalent to the PAK-FA/F-22? Remember technology isn't always an advantage, on the battlefield reliability is more important. The more crap that is put into a weapon is more crap to go wrong. Russians favor simplicity and reliability, and its working for them just fine. A good example of this difference is when the Americans captured a top secret Russian fighter, I believe it had to land in japan due to a malfunction, and when they took it apart, they found lamps instead of transistors. Obviously everyone was loling hard, until the engineers in charge figured why they had lamps and not transistors(the SU had transistors at the time) It was due to the fact that the Russians were expecting and preparing for nuclear war, and nuke blasts cause EMP waves, which blow out transistors (used in NATO jets at the time). Basically until that time, if war were to break out, NATO planes would fall out of the sky, while the Russian ones would still operate. To western eyes and western tech rhetoric aren't compatible with Russian equivalents since the Russians use a vastly different design philosophy. Just look at the innovations that the Russian defense industry came up with during the past 100 years, there is no justification in saying Russia is behind in military tech period. Russia is stuck with an image that was placed on them during the cold war, and this thread is prime example of this, if you are really interested, i can dig up websites with all sorts of high tech weaponry Russia produces. The comment about the nukes is also not true, the vast majority or warheads are maintained, and stockpiled. Russia is a country that prides itself on its nuclear arsenal, and its their major deterrent against their enemies, they are maintaining it very well. Their military doctrine is built around nukes. Yes, I meant comparative advantage, my phone outo-corrects things so I missed it when I was reading through my post. Russia is notorious for not trusting anyone, and for crucial national security matters they always use their own tech, and for some reason they never use military innovations in the civilian sector for fear of spying. Thats why they can have something like the PAK-FA or the S400, top notch equipment, while their civilian tech is crap. It was like this during the SU days, and it is the same now. Again that 120 bil goes much further in Russia than the EU, for the price of a Eurofighter Russia can buy 3 SU-37s, so comparing defense budgets as apples to apples is pointless. This closes the gap, the other point I made is just to keep under consideration for comparison sake. Russia will find customers for their energy exports faster than the EU will find suppliers. Energy is a highly demanded commodity, period. So the EU will have a longer time of stagnation in that regard, plain and simple. Elected officials have to represent the people they elected, so if a member of the State Duma was elected by a region that is mostly made up of homosexuals, then he will represent their opinion, thats how its supposed to be, and thats how it is. Whats the point of electing officials if they'll just do whatever they want. And I never said that people elect to pass laws, the people's opinion is represented by their elected officials. Let me ask you this, if the same law were to be drafted in teh US, how would you expect say Kentucky, of Georgia representatives to vote? Please stop buying into these stereotypes. Russia isn't some 3rd world shiiii11thole many are led to believe. http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2013/05/russian-surveillance-technologies/ a quick google search for simple terms yeilded this link, and thats just what the west uses. Sources and stereotypes aside, thinking logically, how can anyone claim that Russia can't produce high tech equipment if it builds some of the best weapons in the world, have the best track record when it comes to space, and if you search around for all the tech innovations that came out of Russia, you'll see that it by no means lack in that department. Only in civilian applications and even that isn't for very long. If you really want to learn more about Russia, just find some Russian news outlets, many of then translate their stuff into english. Don't just base your opinion on what you see in the west, as I said before, western media never portrays Russia in a good or positive way. Hence the public opinion that can be very well seen ITT.
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deeliman

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#224 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

[QUOTE="deeliman"]

[QUOTE="muscleserge"]Sure some of the equipment is from the 70s but there is nothing wrong with it, remember the abrams are from the early 80s, the F-16s are from the 60s, the b-52s even before that, the m-16s are also from the 60s. There is nothing wrong with using proven equipment and replacing it with something marginally better isn't efficient or smart. Are you daft? All modern western armies are replacing those old things. Dou you think 5th generation fighters are only marginally better? The F-35 which will replace the F-16 in a lot of countries is a huge improvement, and will absolutely obliterate any 4th gen fighter. The EU doesn't use Abrahams, they use Challenger 2's and Leopard 2A6M's and AMX-56 Leclerc's, which are all better than the T-72's or T-90's ( which are only a small improvement over the T-72)

 What abou the PAK-FA, the T-90, the s300 and s400 systems, the ak 101/103s, also check out their field hospitals, best in the world, the KA-52s gunship, the sunburn missiles, Peter the great missile cruiser, the tu-160, the su-37, the mig-35, topol-M, the iskandhars, and so on. Russia is producing high tech military equipment that is only rivaled by the US. Also keep in mind the Russian rhetoric when it comes to mil. equipment, it is supposed to be reliable and as simple in design as possible. They prioritize reliability over everything. Is it wrong? no, its just a different approach.Only rivaled by the US?

  • A400M 
  • ASCOD IFV e
  • Meteor
  • ASRAAM and IRIS-T 
  • Eurofighter Typhoon 
  • Eurocopter Tiger 
  • EH101 & NH90
  • PzH 2000
  • F-100 Class Frigates
  • S-80 class submarine 
  • ATF Dingo
  • Fennek
  • Patria AMV
  • GTK Boxer
  • Horizon class frigate and FREMM multipurpose frigat
  • Rotterdam and Galicia class LPD,
  • Type 212 submarine
  • 7 Provinceën class frigate
  • Horizon Class Destroyers

Name any military hardware, and the EU has multiple state of the art weapons for it.

 

Russian jets, missiles, and rifles constantly outperform their western counterparts during war games, when operated by Russian staff, and not some ill-trained 3rd world personnel, who don't even maintain their equipment properly. I remember a while back a Russian official had to go on TV to rant about this as well as CEOs of major defense firms. China is infringing on Russian patents all the time. They would buy a batch of say jets and then just copy them, badly, but still. Russia doesn't maintain their equipment very well either. They maintain only about half of their MBT's, the rest are in bunkers just rusting away. Same story for pretty much everything in the Russian arsenal. Nukes too for example. That 5 figure number people are always throwing around only exists on paper. The majority of their nuclear arsenal is just scrap on a shelf in some bunker.

Having other sources of energy is great, but don't forget this is still a globalized economy and Russia withdrawing energy from the EU would raise prices, and switching supplyers of such an asset isn't as easy as you think, even in wartime. Northern oil fields would be a bad idea since Russia basically controls the north. So the EU would heavily depend on Americans and Canadians. South America would Side with Russia, some OPEC countries too, since they are dependant of Russian exports and aid. Point is, having everything at home is a huuuuuuge advantage. I wasn't aware that Russia controled the north sea? :roll: 

You have still failed to answer the question of what you think would happen to the Russian economy when a large portion of their income vanishes in thin air.

Edit:

Also a note on defense spending. You can't just add up individual country's spending, it doesn't take into account variables and inefficiencies of separate budgets and doctrines. Russia spends close to $100 billion of defend and will spend closer to $120 billion after 2014, also take into account that Russia equivalent equipment costs half as much, would bring Russia quite a good bit on par with the EU, and thats not even war mode Russia, where as many EU nations are NATO and have to have budgets like that to meet standards(Iraq, Afghanistan, Africa). But still there is a downward trend in the EU in relations to defense spending, where as the Russian budget increases every year. The EU spends about 267,66 billion dollars on defense, are you really suggesting that those small inefficiencies are enough to close that gap? And what do you think Russia will be able to spend on their military during wartime, aside from the fact that both russian and EU's GDP would decrease.  The US used about 50% of their GDP for the military during ww2, so I'll go by that. That would leave Russia with about 1,690 trillion dollars and the EU with about 8,283 trillion dollars. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure that one out.

Edit 2:

Russian civilian tech is lacking simply due to capitalism, and an economic concept of comparable advantage (look it up). I'm going to assume you mean comparative advantage. A capitalist economy shifts all the time especially with globalized trade, and because of this they are shifting resources towards more lucrative ventures such as energy and other "heavy" resources, while importing the civilian crap because its cheaper to do so. Its economics. It's not just easier to do. It is infact impossible for Russia to do the same, they just lack the experience and industrial base. But Putin is heavily shifting away from this and is developing the Russian civilian tech sector quite aggressively, especially now after the Snowden leaks, since trust in foreing tech fell and for national security reasons they are switching to domestic tech, even if its more expensive. It will stiil take decades to catch up to th elikes of the EU, US and Japan.  So expect the Russian tech industry to get a very big leap n the coming years. Wishful thinking at best. Russia doesn't have the means to catch up to the EU and that won't change for a while.

On a side note, the recent "anti gay" law is a product of democracy, the Russian populace is largely conservative when it comes to "family" values", something like 70%, so their representative government had to pass the legislation, and Putin had to sign it. Thats democracy for you. They didn't "have to". People in a democracy (the one commen in the world now, not the ancient greek version) only get to choose people who will represent them and make the decisions for them, they don't get too choose which law passes and which doesn't.

muscleserge

All those weapons you listed, how much do they go for these days? Many are build in multiple countries and assembled in an another, how long would it take to produce. Not much longer than their russian counterparts, probably even quicker considering the massive inudstrial base of the EU Does the EU have anything equivalent to the PAK-FA/F-22? The PAK_FA is still in develment, and many EU countries will get the F-35, for now the most advanced jet they have is the Eurofighter. Remember technology isn't always an advantage, on the battlefield reliability is more important. Yes, we should all just use stones ti throw at eachother, much more reliabel than all that technology people use nowadays /end sarcasm. That something is high tech and state of the art doesn't at all mean that it's unreliable, I don't know why you think that.  The more crap that is put into a weapon is more crap to go wrong. Russians favor simplicity and reliability, and its working for them just fine. A good example of this difference is when the Americans captured a top secret Russian fighter, I believe it had to land in japan due to a malfunction, and when they took it apart, they found lamps instead of transistors. Obviously everyone was loling hard, until the engineers in charge figured why they had lamps and not transistors(the SU had transistors at the time) It was due to the fact that the Russians were expecting and preparing for nuclear war, and nuke blasts cause EMP waves, which blow out transistors (used in NATO jets at the time). Basically until that time, if war were to break out, NATO planes would fall out of the sky, while the Russian ones would still operate. If nukes were used to would just have blown eachother up, that wouldn't have mattered. To western eyes and western tech rhetoric aren't compatible with Russian equivalents since the Russians use a vastly different design philosophy.
Just look at the innovations that the Russian defense industry came up with during the past 100 years, there is no justification in saying Russia is behind in military tech period. What russia invented 100 years ago is not relevant now, and russia has not made any new military hardware fit for 21st century warfare. Russia is stuck with an image that was placed on them during the cold war, and this thread is prime example of this, if you are really interested, i can dig up websites with all sorts of high tech weaponry Russia produces.

The comment about the nukes is also not true, the vast majority or warheads are maintained, and stockpiled. This is not true, they don't maintain a lot of their nukes anymore because they simply do not have the funds to do it anymore. Russia is a country that prides itself on its nuclear arsenal, and its their major deterrent against their enemies, they are maintaining it very well. Their military doctrine is built around nukes.

Yes, I meant comparative advantage, my phone outo-corrects things so I missed it when I was reading through my post.

Russia is notorious for not trusting anyone, and for crucial national security matters they always use their own tech, and for some reason they never use military innovations in the civilian sector for fear of spying. Thats why they can have something like the PAK-FA or the S400, top notch equipment, while their civilian tech is crap. It was like this during the SU days, and it is the same now. That still gives then a big disadvantage, considering a lot of civillian tech is now incorporated in modern armies.

Again that 120 bil goes much further in Russia than the EU, for the price of a Eurofighter Russia can buy 3 SU-37s, so comparing defense budgets as apples to apples is pointless. The SU-37 was discontinued, and the costs are classified, so how exactly do you know you can buy 3 of those for 1 Euro fighter? This closes the gap, the other point I made is just to keep under consideration for comparison sake. That Russia uses a lot of cheap, low tech weapons doesn't close the gap at all.

Russia will find customers for their energy exports faster than the EU will find suppliers. Energy is a highly demanded commodity, period. So the EU will have a longer time of stagnation in that regard, plain and simple. To who are they going to sell 2.971.485 barrels of oil a day to? And to who are they going to sell 132.068.400.000 cubic metres of gas to? The EU is a huge market, they're not going to find anyone willing/able to buy that huge amount of oil and gas.


Elected officials have to represent the people they elected, so if a member of the State Duma was elected by a region that is mostly made up of homosexuals, then he will represent their opinion, thats how its supposed to be, and thats how it is. Whats the point of electing officials if they'll just do whatever they want. Tell that to every politician ever And I never said that people elect to pass laws, the people's opinion is represented by their elected officials. Let me ask you this, if the same law were to be drafted in teh US, how would you expect say Kentucky, of Georgia representatives to vote? I'm assuming these are redneck/conservative states? Then yes, I would expect them to vote the same way. But answer me this. Is it justified to take away the rights of a group in a society because a majority wants that to happen? Please stop buying into these stereotypes. Russia isn't some 3rd world shiiii11thole many are led to believe. I never said Russia was a third world country

http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2013/05/russian-surveillance-technologies/

a quick google search for simple terms yeilded this link, and thats just what the west uses. Sources and stereotypes aside, thinking logically, how can anyone claim that Russia can't produce high tech equipment if it builds some of the best weapons in the world, Russia doesn't produce the best weapons in the world have the best track record when it comes to space, When was the last Russian space mission? and if you search around for all the tech innovations that came out of Russia, you'll see that it by no means lack in that department. Compare the tech innovations that came out of russia and out of the EU in the last 10 years and tell me which list  is way longer and more impressive. Only in civilian applications and even that isn't for very long. If a couple of decades isn't long to you. If you really want to learn more about Russia, just find some Russian news outlets, many of then translate their stuff into english. Don't just base your opinion on what you see in the west, as I said before, western media never portrays Russia in a good or positive way. And Russian media is all unbiased, yes? Hence the public opinion that can be very well seen ITT.

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Barbariser

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#225 Barbariser
Member since 2009 • 6785 Posts

Russia will find customers for their energy exports faster than the EU will find suppliers. Energy is a highly demanded commodity, period. So the EU will have a longer time of stagnation in that regard, plain and simple. To who are they going to sell 2.971.485 barrels of oil a day to? And to who are they going to sell 132.068.400.000 cubic metres of gas to? The EU is a huge market, they're not going to find anyone willing/able to buy that huge amount of oil and gas.deeliman
Don't be silly, obviously the European Union and its ginormous economy won't be able to persuade any of their numerous oil-rich neighbours or friends to sell them oil at inflated prices. Anyone who tries to sell to them will get their tankers sunk by Russian subs despite Russia's strategic inability to access the Mediterranean or even get out of the Baltic Sea, and the E.U.'s giant navy somehow won't be able to defend crucial resources and supplies coming in through a sea that Russia has almost no influence in.

On the other hand, Russia will effortlessly find vast amounts of new demand in the form of their neighbors - impoverished and under-industrialized but similarly oil rich Central Asian states! Everyone knows that poor countries love to buy expensive commodities that they are naturally well endowed with. They can also just build more 10, 000 km long fuel pipes to China and Vladivostok quick and easy and somehow this massive engineering project will not in any way damage their manufacturing capacity (roughly 1/5 the power of the E.U.'s!) for military goods. :roll:

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#226 chaplainDMK
Member since 2008 • 7004 Posts

[QUOTE="deeliman"]Russia will find customers for their energy exports faster than the EU will find suppliers. Energy is a highly demanded commodity, period. So the EU will have a longer time of stagnation in that regard, plain and simple. To who are they going to sell 2.971.485 barrels of oil a day to? And to who are they going to sell 132.068.400.000 cubic metres of gas to? The EU is a huge market, they're not going to find anyone willing/able to buy that huge amount of oil and gas.Barbariser

Don't be silly, obviously the European Union and its ginormous economy won't be able to persuade any of their numerous oil-rich neighbours or friends to sell them oil at inflated prices. Anyone who tries to sell to them will get their tankers sunk by Russian subs despite Russia's strategic inability to access the Mediterranean or even get out of the Baltic Sea, and the E.U.'s giant navy somehow won't be able to defend crucial resources and supplies coming in through a sea that Russia has almost no influence in.

On the other hand, Russia will effortlessly find vast amounts of new demand in the form of their neighbors - impoverished and under-industrialized but similarly oil rich Central Asian states! Everyone knows that poor countries love to buy expensive commodities that they are naturally well endowed with. They can also just build more 10, 000 km long fuel pipes to China and Vladivostok quick and easy and somehow this massive engineering project will not in any way damage their manufacturing capacity (roughly 1/5 the power of the E.U.'s!) for military goods. :roll:

Don't forget how their massive numbers of highly advanced (700 T-90s and 1100 T-80s) MBT's will roll over the puny amount of MBT's Europe can put together (500 Challenger 2's, thousands of Leopard 2s, 800 AMX-56 Leclerc's etc.)
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deeliman

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#227 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

[QUOTE="deeliman"]Russia will find customers for their energy exports faster than the EU will find suppliers. Energy is a highly demanded commodity, period. So the EU will have a longer time of stagnation in that regard, plain and simple. To who are they going to sell 2.971.485 barrels of oil a day to? And to who are they going to sell 132.068.400.000 cubic metres of gas to? The EU is a huge market, they're not going to find anyone willing/able to buy that huge amount of oil and gas.Barbariser

Don't be silly, obviously the European Union and its ginormous economy won't be able to persuade any of their numerous oil-rich neighbours or friends to sell them oil at inflated prices. Anyone who tries to sell to them will get their tankers sunk by Russian subs despite Russia's strategic inability to access the Mediterranean or even get out of the Baltic Sea, and the E.U.'s giant navy somehow won't be able to defend crucial resources and supplies coming in through a sea that Russia has almost no influence in.

On the other hand, Russia will effortlessly find vast amounts of new demand in the form of their neighbors - impoverished and under-industrialized but similarly oil rich Central Asian states! Everyone knows that poor countries love to buy expensive commodities that they are naturally well endowed with. They can also just build more 10, 000 km long fuel pipes to China and Vladivostok quick and easy and somehow this massive engineering project will not in any way damage their manufacturing capacity (roughly 1/5 the power of the E.U.'s!) for military goods. :roll:

You made it look like I said those things :P Anyways good post, it gave me a chuckle.
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#228 SciFiRPGfan
Member since 2010 • 694 Posts

Russia the Union's largest energy resources importer (2009)

  • 36% of the EUs total gas imports originate from Russia
  • 31% of the EU's total crude oil imports originate from Russia
  • 30% of the EU's coal imports originate from Russia

The EU Russia's largest trade partner for energy goods

  • 80% of all Russian oil exports go to the EU
  • 70% of all Russian gas exports go to the EU
  • 50% of all Russian coal exports go to the EU


From ec.europa.eu.

Hmm. I guess the pro EU guys might be right on this one. I mean losing more than 1/3 of supplies must be brutal but losing up to 80% of your market might be even more brutal. Although, I am not sure how the economies work during war time.

That said, I don't know how the fact that EU is not a single state but a whole group of states with different positions would play out. That 1/3 means that EU states are 30 + % dependant on Russia on average but there are states which are far more dependant. E.g. Russian gas deliveries to some of the EU states:

Estonia 100%
Finland 100%
Latvia 100%
Lithuania 100%
Slovakia 98%
Bulgaria 92%
Czech Republic 77.6%
Greece 76%
Hungary 60%
Slovenia 52%
Austria 49%
Poland 48.15%


OTOH, that means that some other states and more importantly the stronger ones (GB, France, Italy) should be even more fine. But how would that all play out... would EU give up on the problematic states or could Russia use them somehow as bargaining chips?

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#229 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

Russia the Union's largest energy resources importer (2009)

  • 36% of the EUs total gas imports originate from Russia
  • 31% of the EU's total crude oil imports originate from Russia
  • 30% of the EU's coal imports originate from Russia

The EU Russia's largest trade partner for energy goods

  • 80% of all Russian oil exports go to the EU
  • 70% of all Russian gas exports go to the EU
  • 50% of all Russian coal exports go to the EU

SciFiRPGfan


From ec.europa.eu.

Hmm. I guess the pro EU guys might be right on this one. I mean losing more than 1/3 of supplies must be brutal but losing up to 80% of your market might be even more brutal. Although, I am not sure how the economies work during war time.

That said, I don't know how the fact that EU is not a single state but a whole group of states with different positions would play out. That 1/3 means that EU states are 30 + % dependant on Russia on average but there are states which are far more dependant. E.g. Russian gas deliveries to some of the EU states:

Estonia 100%
Finland 100%
Latvia 100%
Lithuania 100%
Slovakia 98%
Bulgaria 92%
Czech Republic 77.6%
Greece 76%
Hungary 60%
Slovenia 52%
Austria 49%
Poland 48.15%


OTOH, that means that some other states and more importantly the stronger ones (GB, France, Italy) should be even more fine. But how would that all play out... would EU give up on the problematic states or could Russia use them somehow as bargaining chips?

All EU countries have reserves for times like that, most of them have enough to keep soeciety running for about 100 days, plenty of time to look for new ways to acquire oil/gas.
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#230 SciFiRPGfan
Member since 2010 • 694 Posts

All EU countries have reserves for times like that, most of them have enough to keep soeciety running for about 100 days, plenty of time to look for new ways to acquire oil/gas.deeliman

I know. As for whether it would be enough time to minize the effect on society or not, that would most likely depend on whether those countries have the infrastructure necessary to receive those resources from alternative suppliers in place or not. I admit I haven't checked that out (and for now don't plan to).

Although with Russia being that close to some of them, whether they would fight or give up would probably depend more on results of military operations anyway.
 

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#231 chaplainDMK
Member since 2008 • 7004 Posts

[QUOTE="deeliman"]All EU countries have reserves for times like that, most of them have enough to keep soeciety running for about 100 days, plenty of time to look for new ways to acquire oil/gas.SciFiRPGfan


I know. As for whether it would be enough time to minize the effect on society or not, that would most likely depend on whether those countries have the infrastructure necessary to receive those resources from alternative suppliers in place or not. I admit I haven't checked that out (and for now don't plan to).

Although with Russia being that close to some of them, whether they would fight or give up would probably depend more on results of military operations anyway.
 

Almost certainly rationing would be in place so the 100 days figure could increase, of course in the event of a war a lot of fuel would be diverted to support military operations which would take a toll again. Generally I'd say it would work since oil is mainly still transported via tankers and the EU has a very well developed highway and railway system so that wouldn't be a problem. You also have major ports in Trieste, Rijeka and Koper that are relatively close to the border states which could be used to supply them. Also the smaller states don't really hold much importance militarily, so them giving up would really hold very little importance apart from morale reasons.

The UK, France and Germany are the main industrial powers, which are a long way from Russia. Poland, Spain, Italy, Austria and the Scandinavian countries would make up the second most powerful group, and most certainly the majority of fighting would take place in Poland and Finalnd.

Two less probable axis' of attack are through Romania and Bulgaria towards Greece and through Hungary and via Austria towards Germany or Italy. Greece would be the hardest for the EU to defend because of it's position - supplies would mostly have to be delivered via ships into a peninsula that would be more or less cut off from the rest of the Union via land. Though I still would say the main thrust would come through Poland since Russias military priority would almost certainly be to knock out Germany as fast as possible. Attacking through Hungary and via Austria into Germany would be hindered by geography (rather mountainous terrain) and would also leave Poland to push either into the bulge or counterattack into Russian territory. All this is basically speculating that Russia somehow allies with/takes over Belarus and Ukraine, politically or militarily.

If Belarus and Ukraine oppose Russia I see very little chance of them even denting the EU.

But war would mean that everything is uncertain and a massive toll would befall on the bordering states in any case, weather EU totally dominates Russia or not.

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#232 chaplainDMK
Member since 2008 • 7004 Posts
Also, just gonna throw this in for everyone to chew on:
Aging weapons, poor maintenance and 'rank-and-file officers who don't want to do anything' mean the Russian military was on the verge of a 'catastrophic crisis' and if forced into action would most probably have to rely on the use of strategic nuclear weapons, which seem to be the only ones still fully operational. Such a somber assessment came recently not from a junior coop-seeking reporter, but from the top itself, none other that Russian Chief of the General Staff and First Deputy Defense Minister Army-General Nikolai Makarov. The General warned, among others, that the Russian air force is not procuring sufficient numbers of new modern aircraft and has fewer serviceable aircraft, manned by insufficiently combat-trained pilots, which are incapable of conducting modern era combat operations.Defense Update
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#233 consoletroll
Member since 2013 • 416 Posts

First of all , some E.U countries would back Russia. Especially former soviet states. Second, Russian Hardware is far from obsolete. Russia probably has a larger force than most of europe combined.( Not that its huge, but european militaries are  small) Not to mention the horrible economic state of the E.U.

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#234 Barbariser
Member since 2009 • 6785 Posts

First of all , some E.U countries would back Russia. Especially former soviet states. Second, Russian Hardware is far from obsolete. Russia probably has a larger force than most of europe combined.( Not that its huge, but european militaries are  small) Not to mention the horrible economic state of the E.U.

consoletroll


Yes I'm sure Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Croatia and Slovenia all want to return to the Eastern Bloc and side with their former communist oppressors. That is, after all, why they all joined the Russian-dominated N.A.T.O. shortly after the Soviet Union fell. It wasn't as if there was a cacophony of demonstrations and protests in this region demanding independence from the Warsaw Pact. We all know that being in recession cripples a country's ability to fight a war. After all, the Great Depression is why the United States lost World War II to Germany, which entered the war with a booming economy.

[QUOTE="SciFiRPGfan"]

[QUOTE="deeliman"]All EU countries have reserves for times like that, most of them have enough to keep soeciety running for about 100 days, plenty of time to look for new ways to acquire oil/gas.chaplainDMK


I know. As for whether it would be enough time to minize the effect on society or not, that would most likely depend on whether those countries have the infrastructure necessary to receive those resources from alternative suppliers in place or not. I admit I haven't checked that out (and for now don't plan to).

Although with Russia being that close to some of them, whether they would fight or give up would probably depend more on results of military operations anyway.
 

Almost certainly rationing would be in place so the 100 days figure could increase, of course in the event of a war a lot of fuel would be diverted to support military operations which would take a toll again. Generally I'd say it would work since oil is mainly still transported via tankers and the EU has a very well developed highway and railway system so that wouldn't be a problem. You also have major ports in Trieste, Rijeka and Koper that are relatively close to the border states which could be used to supply them. Also the smaller states don't really hold much importance militarily, so them giving up would really hold very little importance apart from morale reasons.

The UK, France and Germany are the main industrial powers, which are a long way from Russia. Poland, Spain, Italy, Austria and the Scandinavian countries would make up the second most powerful group, and most certainly the majority of fighting would take place in Poland and Finalnd.

Two less probable axis' of attack are through Romania and Bulgaria towards Greece and through Hungary and via Austria towards Germany or Italy. Greece would be the hardest for the EU to defend because of it's position - supplies would mostly have to be delivered via ships into a peninsula that would be more or less cut off from the rest of the Union via land. Though I still would say the main thrust would come through Poland since Russias military priority would almost certainly be to knock out Germany as fast as possible. Attacking through Hungary and via Austria into Germany would be hindered by geography (rather mountainous terrain) and would also leave Poland to push either into the bulge or counterattack into Russian territory. All this is basically speculating that Russia somehow allies with/takes over Belarus and Ukraine, politically or militarily.

If Belarus and Ukraine oppose Russia I see very little chance of them even denting the EU.

But war would mean that everything is uncertain and a massive toll would befall on the bordering states in any case, weather EU totally dominates Russia or not.



The most likely countries to fall are the three Baltic states, they're too tiny to resist and have no strategic depth, plus they add a lot of access to the Baltic Sea for the Russians. If Russia tried to spend a fairly big chunk of its force in conquering the weak and insignificant Balkans states, they'd just be asking for the E.U. to steamroll them in Poland/Belarus.

I strongly doubt that the Ukraine would side with Russia. Their modern history paints a picture of increased cooperation with the European Union whether Russia likes it or not. Would not be surprised at all if the Ukraine (and even more likely, Turkey) try and help the Euros as much as possible to gain Euro membership points, up to and including allying with the Euros against Russia. Belarus might go Russian because it's basically a tiny puppet state and everyone hates it.
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#235 consoletroll
Member since 2013 • 416 Posts

Barbariser, Notice I said SOME?I was generally speaking about the russian speaking states. If the choice was to be at war with russia, or along side it , which one would they choose? No doubt their governments want independence, however many feel life was better under the soviets ( true is some cases). Belarus is like China's North Korea in the sense that they are used for dirty work. It seems to me you underestimate Russian Influence.

I seriously doubt turkey would ever make it into the E.U.

Heck the chances of the E.U ending seem pretty high. 

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#236 Barbariser
Member since 2009 • 6785 Posts

Barbariser, Notice I said SOME?I was generally speaking about the russian speaking states. If the choice was to be at war with russia, or along side it , which one would they choose? No doubt their governments want independence, however many feel life was better under the soviets ( true is some cases). Belarus is like China's North Korea in the sense that they are used for dirty work. It seems to me you underestimate Russian Influence.

I seriously doubt turkey would ever make it into the E.U.

Heck the chances of the E.U ending seem pretty high. 

consoletroll
You mean those three tiny Baltic States that were forcefully annexed by the U.S.S.R. prior to World War II, two of which don't legally consider ethnic Russians to be citizens? What fantastically poor candidates for defection. Russia's influence on European countries is derived from its cheap natural resources, military power and nuclear weapons. Entering a solely conventional war against the vastly militarily stronger European Union will wipe out any diplomatic leverage that Russia gains from these assets.
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ZomBViperKing

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#237 ZomBViperKing
Member since 2013 • 100 Posts
The EU would defeat Russia but I would feel that it would be a long drawn out war.
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deeliman

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#238 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts
The EU would defeat Russia but I would feel that it would be a long drawn out war.ZomBViperKing
I agree that it wouldn't be something any Russian or European should hope for.
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#239 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

First of all , some E.U countries would back Russia. Especially former soviet states. Second, Russian Hardware is far from obsolete. Russia probably has a larger force than most of europe combined.( Not that its huge, but european militaries are  small) Not to mention the horrible economic state of the E.U.

consoletroll
Absolutely nothing that you said in your post was factual.
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#240 muscleserge
Member since 2005 • 3307 Posts
Also, just gonna throw this in for everyone to chew on: [QUOTE="Defense Update"]Aging weapons, poor maintenance and 'rank-and-file officers who don't want to do anything' mean the Russian military was on the verge of a 'catastrophic crisis' and if forced into action would most probably have to rely on the use of strategic nuclear weapons, which seem to be the only ones still fully operational. Such a somber assessment came recently not from a junior coop-seeking reporter, but from the top itself, none other that Russian Chief of the General Staff and First Deputy Defense Minister Army-General Nikolai Makarov. The General warned, among others, that the Russian air force is not procuring sufficient numbers of new modern aircraft and has fewer serviceable aircraft, manned by insufficiently combat-trained pilots, which are incapable of conducting modern era combat operations.chaplainDMK

Can you source that, cause the words from Putin's mouth are quite different. The above statement would be correct about 15 years ago, today is a whole different story. Also consider the fact that Europe and its countries have a long history together, and any European knows not to fvk with Russia. The EU isn't a military force some people make it out to be, many countries have 0 military experiance, and Europe was a stomping ground for a conflict between the Americans and the SU for a long time and even the Americans knew/know now that Europe won't stand a chance in a Russian Invasion, in fact NATO is still trying to encircle Russia, if the EU could stand up to the Russians on their own, they wouldn't be kissing American ass for about 70 years now.
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#241 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts

[QUOTE="chaplainDMK"]Also, just gonna throw this in for everyone to chew on: [QUOTE="Defense Update"]Aging weapons, poor maintenance and 'rank-and-file officers who don't want to do anything' mean the Russian military was on the verge of a 'catastrophic crisis' and if forced into action would most probably have to rely on the use of strategic nuclear weapons, which seem to be the only ones still fully operational. Such a somber assessment came recently not from a junior coop-seeking reporter, but from the top itself, none other that Russian Chief of the General Staff and First Deputy Defense Minister Army-General Nikolai Makarov. The General warned, among others, that the Russian air force is not procuring sufficient numbers of new modern aircraft and has fewer serviceable aircraft, manned by insufficiently combat-trained pilots, which are incapable of conducting modern era combat operations.muscleserge

Can you source that, cause the words from Putin's mouth are quite different. The above statement would be correct about 15 years ago, today is a whole different story. http://politicom.moldova.org/news/russia-implements-its-most-radical-military-reform-in-200-years-201380-eng.html Still a fairly recent quote.

Also consider the fact that Europe and its countries have a long history together, and any European knows not to fvk with Russia. 

The EU isn't a military force some people make it out to be, many countries have 0 military experiance, Please tell me about all the recent military experience that the Russian army has. and Europe was a stomping ground for a conflict between the Americans and the SU for a long time and even the Americans knew/know now that Europe won't stand a chance in a Russian Invasion, That might have been true in the cold war, but not today. in fact NATO is still trying to encircle Russia, NATO hasn't really been afraid of Russia for quite some time now. if the EU could stand up to the Russians on their own, they wouldn't be kissing American ass for about 70 years now. Any examples of recent butkissing of the Europeans?

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#242 consoletroll
Member since 2013 • 416 Posts
[QUOTE="consoletroll"]

First of all , some E.U countries would back Russia. Especially former soviet states. Second, Russian Hardware is far from obsolete. Russia probably has a larger force than most of europe combined.( Not that its huge, but european militaries are  small) Not to mention the horrible economic state of the E.U.

deeliman
Absolutely nothing that you said in your post was factual.

E.U will dissolve in less than 10 years. E.U. is not united - rich nations hate the poor ones who are dragging down the euro and bringing legions of poor people. Germany and Uk are the only countries with a sizeable force. You know nothing of Russian military capabilities.
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#243 deeliman
Member since 2013 • 4027 Posts
[QUOTE="deeliman"][QUOTE="consoletroll"]

First of all , some E.U countries would back Russia. Especially former soviet states. Second, Russian Hardware is far from obsolete. Russia probably has a larger force than most of europe combined.( Not that its huge, but european militaries are  small) Not to mention the horrible economic state of the E.U.

consoletroll
Absolutely nothing that you said in your post was factual.

E.U will dissolve in less than 10 years. E.U. is not united - rich nations hate the poor ones who are dragging down the euro and bringing legions of poor people. Germany and Uk are the only countries with a sizeable force. You know nothing of Russian military capabilities.

Again, nothing you say is factual.
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#244 muscleserge
Member since 2005 • 3307 Posts

[QUOTE="muscleserge"][QUOTE="chaplainDMK"]deeliman

Can you source that, cause the words from Putin's mouth are quite different. The above statement would be correct about 15 years ago, today is a whole different story. http://politicom.moldova.org/news/russia-implements-its-most-radical-military-reform-in-200-years-201380-eng.html Still a fairly recent quote.

Also consider the fact that Europe and its countries have a long history together, and any European knows not to fvk with Russia. 

The EU isn't a military force some people make it out to be, many countries have 0 military experiance, Please tell me about all the recent military experience that the Russian army has. and Europe was a stomping ground for a conflict between the Americans and the SU for a long time and even the Americans knew/know now that Europe won't stand a chance in a Russian Invasion, That might have been true in the cold war, but not today. in fact NATO is still trying to encircle Russia, NATO hasn't really been afraid of Russia for quite some time now. if the EU could stand up to the Russians on their own, they wouldn't be kissing American ass for about 70 years now. Any examples of recent butkissing of the Europeans?

The quote sound more like counter-intel and mis-information for which the Russians are very well known for. Think about it, why would any self-respecting world power let something like this slip into the mass media. Recent Russian military experience? How about Afghanistan, Chechen Wars, Kosovo, Georgia, etc. Even if you lose you still learn from the experience and improve, plus all the wars listed apart from Georgia were unconventional wars, with lots of foreign funding. Russia learned all too well from the experience, experience which the EU countries lack. How do you figure that NATO isn't afraid of Russia, all evidence points to the opposite. In fact Georgia suffered because of this. Are you seriously asking me of examples of the EU kissing American ass? Ok, how about the most recent one, the Bolivian President's trip back home, this is an example of EU countries not kissing ass, but bending over and taking one up with a smile, shows whos really the boss doesn't it. Or how about the whole UK foreign policy, it might as well say, listen to the master in big bold letters.
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#245 curono
Member since 2005 • 7722 Posts
The rest of the world.
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#247 Barbariser
Member since 2009 • 6785 Posts

Also consider the fact that Europe and its countries have a long history together, and any European knows not to fvk with Russia.muscleserge


Based on what? All those times when Russia was getting badly roughed up by a few European countries with much smaller populations and only won after a bazillion allies came in to help out?

The EU isn't a military force some people make it out to be, many countries have 0 military experiance, and Europe was a stomping ground for a conflict between the Americans and the SU for a long time and even the Americans knew/know now that Europe won't stand a chance in a Russian Invasion, in fact NATO is still trying to encircle Russia, if the EU could stand up to the Russians on their own, they wouldn't be kissing American ass for about 70 years now.muscleserge


This nonsense again? You ever took a look at a map of the Warsaw Pact and Cold War NATO or are you being dishonest on purpose? Comparing the Cold War geopolitical situation to modern Europe is completely irrelevant because practically all of the Warsaw Pact countries outside the U.S.S.R. are now European Union members which takes a ginormous chunk of the Warsaw Pact's military power and hands it to the E.U.. Russia itself is far less powerful than the U.S.S.R. ever was. Your idiotic logic of "ooh Russia is super scary because of the Warsaw Pact" is like saying that the U.K. could conquer India because they owned it in 1947.

When did the modern E.U. "kiss American ass" again? I seem to recall a large number of European NATO members telling the U.S. to piss off after they were asked to join the Iraq War. The E.U. is only dependent on the U.S. for naval operations and that is completely irrelevant because it's not like there's a sea separating Poland and Russia. Although I wouldn't expect you to know that given how little knowledge of basic geography you've displayed so far.
[QUOTE="deeliman"][QUOTE="consoletroll"]

First of all , some E.U countries would back Russia. Especially former soviet states. Second, Russian Hardware is far from obsolete. Russia probably has a larger force than most of europe combined.( Not that its huge, but european militaries are  small) Not to mention the horrible economic state of the E.U.

consoletroll

Absolutely nothing that you said in your post was factual.



E.U will dissolve in less than 10 years. E.U. is not united - rich nations hate the poor ones who are dragging down the euro and bringing legions of poor people. Germany and Uk are the only countries with a sizeable force. You know nothing of Russian military capabilities.



You know nothing about anything, period. For one thing, the primary benefactors of a weak Euro and cheap labour? Those rich nations you just mentioned. Germany's military is actually smaller and weaker than France and the total military force of the European Union greatly exceeds that of Russia. Also, rofl at the idea that any E.U. nation is going to run into the arms of Russia, a nation well-known for being a huge bully towards less powerful countries.
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consoletroll

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#248 consoletroll
Member since 2013 • 416 Posts

there already is a growing movement to get out of the E.U. and drop the Euro. All it takes is a few more greece's . Believe whatever you want.

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Jacanuk

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#249 Jacanuk
Member since 2011 • 20281 Posts

Let's assume that there will be no nuclear weapons involved in this conflict for reasons I am to lazy to come up with. Tensions between the two entities have caused both of them to declare war upon eachother. The US has decided to sit back and watch what happens (and maybe if the EU is close to victory join the fight at the last moment and claim they won all by themselves(jk)). China doesn't get involved in the war either, but does still trade with both of them. The EU has formed a counsel of high ranking military personnel from all the EU countries to make the decisions, and Putin and the russian generals will make the decisions for Russia.

Who would win in this war?

deeliman
That would all depend on Russia and if they are alone, the problem with Russia is they have one of the biggest armies in the world and therefore can stand to loose a lot more before they crumbled. Also the winter in Russia is deadly and throughout history everyone who have tried to conquer russia have failed because they are a not prepared for how harsh the winter is. But a global war today would never be fought without nuclear weapons so the one loosing would be Earth if Nato/US went to war against Russia, who by the way also wouldn´t be alone, they would most likely get help from China, Vietnam and other "communist" countries.
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carlisledavid79

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#250 carlisledavid79
Member since 2006 • 10522 Posts
The only winning move is not to play