Michael Pachter's predictions -
- [360] 45K
- [3DS] 105K
- [PS3] 50K
- [PS4] 225K
- [WIU] 47.5K
- [XB1] 130K
if x1 sells 130k its a wiiu level disaster. i dont think they would even wait till e3 before dropping the price
This topic is locked from further discussion.
Michael Pachter's predictions -
if x1 sells 130k its a wiiu level disaster. i dont think they would even wait till e3 before dropping the price
Expecting Xbox One to be very low, something must have gone off for Microsoft to push that bundle out so fast.
I think PS4 will still be on top. Even with Titanfall bundle for xbox one, PS4 being at a lower price point will trump the xbox one. I just think the titanfall bundle will be miniscule since your still shelling out 500. Software wise I bet microsoft got a huge jump but xbox one sales will probably be low.
My NPD prediction is this...
The NPD thread will not make it past the first page without a Lem proclaiming that March's NPD matters way more.
It wont matter more. You however cant deny that it will be interesting to see what Titanfall will do for the xbox one.
The march NDP thread is going to be a mess no matter what the results will be. That's a prediction you can rely on.
@jsmoke03: You could be right, but it would only be a one month jump. I say it won't happen though based on what we've seen so far in March.
yea i dont think titanfall would be sustainable since its mp only game but i think it will sell at least 3-5mil on the bone in a year
whats been going on soo far that would lead you to believe that titanfall isnt selling xbox1? i havent seen anything other than tormentos posting gamestop top 10 products list
@jsmoke03: You could be right, but it would only be a one month jump. I say it won't happen though based on what we've seen so far in March.
yea i dont think titanfall would be sustainable since its mp only game but i think it will sell at least 3-5mil on the bone in a year
whats been going on soo far that would lead you to believe that titanfall isnt selling xbox1? i havent seen anything other than tormentos posting gamestop top 10 products list
its not just gamestop though. initially i thought the game would sell really well but here in amazon uk ps4 console has sold more this month than titanfall game and console bundle. its a similar story in us, the ps4 is outselling the bundle accross all major websites. i still think the game will sell well (m$ hasnt announced any day 1 sales yet so i doubt it was amazing figures) but no where near m$ expectation.
people keep thinking ea got screwed but what about m$? they put a sh$t load of marketing behind this game and paid alot of money to keep it off sony consoles so if the x1 still doesnt pick up steam they will have to cut the price and believe me they dont want to do that this early but they will have to. i said it months ago and i wil say it again, dont be surprised if infamous out sells titanfall x1 version.
@jsmoke03: You could be right, but it would only be a one month jump. I say it won't happen though based on what we've seen so far in March.
yea i dont think titanfall would be sustainable since its mp only game but i think it will sell at least 3-5mil on the bone in a year
whats been going on soo far that would lead you to believe that titanfall isnt selling xbox1? i havent seen anything other than tormentos posting gamestop top 10 products list
its not just gamestop though. initially i thought the game would sell really well but here in amazon uk ps4 console has sold more this month than titanfall game and console bundle. its a similar story in us, the ps4 is outselling the bundle accross all major websites. i still think the game will sell well (m$ hasnt announced any day 1 sales yet so i doubt it was amazing figures) but no where near m$ expectation.
people keep thinking ea got screwed but what about m$? they put a sh$t load of marketing behind this game and paid alot of money to keep it off sony consoles so if the x1 still doesnt pick up steam they will have to cut the price and believe me they dont want to do that this early but they will have to. i said it months ago and i wil say it again, dont be surprised if infamous out sells titanfall x1 version.
EA and Respawn didn't get screwed.
If titanfall was on the playstation platform, no one would be hyping it, because it's one of the worst FPS games to have come out this gen. It makes KIllzone look as good as Halo: CE.
It's because it's only on the Xbox and PC that it's selling somewhat decently.
Do we just carry on this thread or make a new one when they finally drop? I wonder how many people will be dining on crow tonight.
@chikenfriedrice: So far PS4 is stomping Xflop in March if Gamestop and Amazon sales are good indicators.
@jsmoke03: You could be right, but it would only be a one month jump. I say it won't happen though based on what we've seen so far in March.
yea i dont think titanfall would be sustainable since its mp only game but i think it will sell at least 3-5mil on the bone in a year
whats been going on soo far that would lead you to believe that titanfall isnt selling xbox1? i havent seen anything other than tormentos posting gamestop top 10 products list
its not just gamestop though. initially i thought the game would sell really well but here in amazon uk ps4 console has sold more this month than titanfall game and console bundle. its a similar story in us, the ps4 is outselling the bundle accross all major websites. i still think the game will sell well (m$ hasnt announced any day 1 sales yet so i doubt it was amazing figures) but no where near m$ expectation.
people keep thinking ea got screwed but what about m$? they put a sh$t load of marketing behind this game and paid alot of money to keep it off sony consoles so if the x1 still doesnt pick up steam they will have to cut the price and believe me they dont want to do that this early but they will have to. i said it months ago and i wil say it again, dont be surprised if infamous out sells titanfall x1 version.
EA and Respawn didn't get screwed.
If titanfall was on the playstation platform, no one would be hyping it, because it's one of the worst FPS games to have come out this gen. It makes KIllzone look as good as Halo: CE.
It's because it's only on the Xbox and PC that it's selling somewhat decently.
im not sure about that. the amount of hate it got is enough of a hype. its like saying ac games arent hyped but yet sell more than 5+ million copies or cod is not hyped.
and one of the worst games to have come out this gen....in 5 months....k seems legit.
@Shewgenja: PS4 is gonna win March too. Titanfall is selling, but it isn't pushing Xbone ahead of PS4 at the major retailers.
@KBFloYd: Your 3DS prediction is very wishful thinking. I would put it around 225K at the absolute most.
Do we just carry on this thread or make a new one when they finally drop? I wonder how many people will be dining on crow tonight.
im gona update this one when results are out
@KBFloYd: Your 3DS prediction is very wishful thinking. I would put it around 225K at the absolute most.
even that is wishful thinking. its sales seem to be slowing down quite dramatically
Do we just carry on this thread or make a new one when they finally drop? I wonder how many people will be dining on crow tonight.
im gona update this one when results are out
@KBFloYd: Your 3DS prediction is very wishful thinking. I would put it around 225K at the absolute most.
even that is wishful thinking. its sales seem to be slowing down quite dramatically
I'm so ready for this. Everyone should have the gaf thread on another tab too when it drops. Their NPD threads are amazing, although March will be a bit more exciting. PS4 winning all the time is getting predictable lol.
@misterpmedia: NPD is really funny now because America is all lems care about in sales and now that has been lost too.
@chikenfriedrice: So far PS4 is stomping Xflop in March if Gamestop and Amazon sales are good indicators.
They are not
My prediction is that Sony will still be stomping on MS, despite the upcoming Titanfall. Will gladly eat crow if wrong.
Well you wouldn't see any Titanfall sales in Feb sales figures anyways. You won't see that until March's NPD report. I don't have any idea what the sales will be like. With the lack of games being released for next-gen consoles and shortages for the PS4 every other week, don't know how this will turn out. At least we have South Park, Titanfall & Dark Souls 2 to play now.
******************************************************************
I'm just curious to see what was the weight of TitanFall in the Xone sales... or is that just next month?
Both
You won't see Titanfall sales at all in this Feb NPD. Titanfall went on sale March 11. You won't even see SouthPark sales which was Mar 4th.
My prediction is that Sony will still be stomping on MS, despite the upcoming Titanfall. Will gladly eat crow if wrong.
Well you wouldn't see any Titanfall sales in Feb sales figures anyways. You won't see that until March's NPD report. I don't have any idea what the sales will be like. With the lack of games being released for next-gen consoles and shortages for the PS4 every other week, don't know how this will turn out. At least we have South Park, Titanfall & Dark Souls 2 to play now.
******************************************************************
I'm just curious to see what was the weight of TitanFall in the Xone sales... or is that just next month?
Both
You won't see Titanfall sales at all in this Feb NPD. Titanfall went on sale March 11. You won't even see SouthPark sales which was Mar 4th.
I'm aware. But like I said to the other person who replied similar, knowing it's out next month should have generated hype anyway and a great influx of Xbone sales regardless it coming out in march. People don't wait around if they want something.
My prediction is that Sony will still be stomping on MS, despite the upcoming Titanfall. Will gladly eat crow if wrong.
Well you wouldn't see any Titanfall sales in Feb sales figures anyways. You won't see that until March's NPD report. I don't have any idea what the sales will be like. With the lack of games being released for next-gen consoles and shortages for the PS4 every other week, don't know how this will turn out. At least we have South Park, Titanfall & Dark Souls 2 to play now.
******************************************************************
I'm just curious to see what was the weight of TitanFall in the Xone sales... or is that just next month?
Both
You won't see Titanfall sales at all in this Feb NPD. Titanfall went on sale March 11. You won't even see SouthPark sales which was Mar 4th.
I'm aware. But like I said to the other person who replied similar, knowing it's out next month should have generated hype anyway and a great influx of Xbone sales regardless it coming out in march. People don't wait around if they want something.
If they are excited for Titanfall, they would just get the bundle and not buy an XB1 in advance of Titanfall bundle. That's just stupid. Smart gamers would just wait for the bundle and get the FREE Titanfall game with it. A Titanfall bundle was rumored over 2 months ago.
My prediction is that Sony will still be stomping on MS, despite the upcoming Titanfall. Will gladly eat crow if wrong.
Well you wouldn't see any Titanfall sales in Feb sales figures anyways. You won't see that until March's NPD report. I don't have any idea what the sales will be like. With the lack of games being released for next-gen consoles and shortages for the PS4 every other week, don't know how this will turn out. At least we have South Park, Titanfall & Dark Souls 2 to play now.
******************************************************************
I'm just curious to see what was the weight of TitanFall in the Xone sales... or is that just next month?
Both
You won't see Titanfall sales at all in this Feb NPD. Titanfall went on sale March 11. You won't even see SouthPark sales which was Mar 4th.
I'm aware. But like I said to the other person who replied similar, knowing it's out next month should have generated hype anyway and a great influx of Xbone sales regardless it coming out in march. People don't wait around if they want something.
If they are excited for Titanfall, they would just get the bundle and not buy an XB1 in advance of Titanfall bundle. That's just stupid. Smart gamers would just wait for the bundle and get the FREE Titanfall game with it. A Titanfall bundle was rumored over 2 months ago.
Are we assuming every gamer is a smart gamer here? lol. Not everyone will believe a rumoured bundle. If they know Titanfall is coming out in March and need an Xbone to play it(which technically they don't) then they will pick one up in feb if the game comes out in march. If they miss out on the bundle the so be it, that's on them. February should mark the start of a high increase in Xbone sales, especially with a high profile game dropping the month after.
My prediction is that Sony will still be stomping on MS, despite the upcoming Titanfall. Will gladly eat crow if wrong.
Well you wouldn't see any Titanfall sales in Feb sales figures anyways. You won't see that until March's NPD report. I don't have any idea what the sales will be like. With the lack of games being released for next-gen consoles and shortages for the PS4 every other week, don't know how this will turn out. At least we have South Park, Titanfall & Dark Souls 2 to play now.
******************************************************************
I'm just curious to see what was the weight of TitanFall in the Xone sales... or is that just next month?
Both
You won't see Titanfall sales at all in this Feb NPD. Titanfall went on sale March 11. You won't even see SouthPark sales which was Mar 4th.
I'm aware. But like I said to the other person who replied similar, knowing it's out next month should have generated hype anyway and a great influx of Xbone sales regardless it coming out in march. People don't wait around if they want something.
If they are excited for Titanfall, they would just get the bundle and not buy an XB1 in advance of Titanfall bundle. That's just stupid. Smart gamers would just wait for the bundle and get the FREE Titanfall game with it. A Titanfall bundle was rumored over 2 months ago.
Are we assuming every gamer is a smart gamer here? lol. Not everyone will believe a rumoured bundle. If they know Titanfall is coming out in March and need an Xbone to play it(which technically they don't) then they will pick one up in feb if the game comes out in march. If they miss out on the bundle the so be it, that's on them. February should mark the start of a high increase in Xbone sales, especially with a high profile game dropping the month after.
I don't think so. Anyone who is getting an XB1 to play Titanfall isn't going to buy a system weeks in advance to play nothing on it. lol!! I know I wouldn't. If a gamer is interested in other XB1 games as well, sure they might get the system in advance if they aren't aware of the bundle, but anyone just thinking about TF itself will definitely wait, especially since there aren't any shortages of XB1. Many retailer would definitely be telling consumers about the Titanfall bundle. Whatever increase you're thinking of wouldn't be anywhere as large as the bundled sales increase. There's no doubt March sales will be greater then February's mostly do to the Titanfall bundle. I know how these trends work. Been following them for over 15yrs.
My prediction is that Sony will still be stomping on MS, despite the upcoming Titanfall. Will gladly eat crow if wrong.
Well you wouldn't see any Titanfall sales in Feb sales figures anyways. You won't see that until March's NPD report. I don't have any idea what the sales will be like. With the lack of games being released for next-gen consoles and shortages for the PS4 every other week, don't know how this will turn out. At least we have South Park, Titanfall & Dark Souls 2 to play now.
******************************************************************
I'm just curious to see what was the weight of TitanFall in the Xone sales... or is that just next month?
Both
You won't see Titanfall sales at all in this Feb NPD. Titanfall went on sale March 11. You won't even see SouthPark sales which was Mar 4th.
I'm aware. But like I said to the other person who replied similar, knowing it's out next month should have generated hype anyway and a great influx of Xbone sales regardless it coming out in march. People don't wait around if they want something.
If they are excited for Titanfall, they would just get the bundle and not buy an XB1 in advance of Titanfall bundle. That's just stupid. Smart gamers would just wait for the bundle and get the FREE Titanfall game with it. A Titanfall bundle was rumored over 2 months ago.
Are we assuming every gamer is a smart gamer here? lol. Not everyone will believe a rumoured bundle. If they know Titanfall is coming out in March and need an Xbone to play it(which technically they don't) then they will pick one up in feb if the game comes out in march. If they miss out on the bundle the so be it, that's on them. February should mark the start of a high increase in Xbone sales, especially with a high profile game dropping the month after.
Thats irrelevant. Only next month NPD will count as it was the release month and the hype surrounding the game is at its pike. Nevermind the people that were wainting for reviews to buy Titanfall. Since the game was well received I bet TitanFall will push some consoles. If it'll be enough to surpass the PS4 is what I want to see. However, only the next month NPD will give me that information.
Should be interesting.
I want to thank you @ghostwarrior786 for being so on the ball with these threads every single month :)
My prediction is that Sony will still be stomping on MS, despite the upcoming Titanfall. Will gladly eat crow if wrong.
Well you wouldn't see any Titanfall sales in Feb sales figures anyways. You won't see that until March's NPD report. I don't have any idea what the sales will be like. With the lack of games being released for next-gen consoles and shortages for the PS4 every other week, don't know how this will turn out. At least we have South Park, Titanfall & Dark Souls 2 to play now.
******************************************************************
I'm just curious to see what was the weight of TitanFall in the Xone sales... or is that just next month?
Both
You won't see Titanfall sales at all in this Feb NPD. Titanfall went on sale March 11. You won't even see SouthPark sales which was Mar 4th.
I'm aware. But like I said to the other person who replied similar, knowing it's out next month should have generated hype anyway and a great influx of Xbone sales regardless it coming out in march. People don't wait around if they want something.
If they are excited for Titanfall, they would just get the bundle and not buy an XB1 in advance of Titanfall bundle. That's just stupid. Smart gamers would just wait for the bundle and get the FREE Titanfall game with it. A Titanfall bundle was rumored over 2 months ago.
Are we assuming every gamer is a smart gamer here? lol. Not everyone will believe a rumoured bundle. If they know Titanfall is coming out in March and need an Xbone to play it(which technically they don't) then they will pick one up in feb if the game comes out in march. If they miss out on the bundle the so be it, that's on them. February should mark the start of a high increase in Xbone sales, especially with a high profile game dropping the month after.
I don't think so. Anyone who is getting an XB1 to play Titanfall isn't going to buy a system weeks in advance to play nothing on it. lol!! I know I wouldn't. If a gamer is interested in other XB1 games as well, sure they might get the system in advance if they aren't aware of the bundle, but anyone just thinking about TF itself will definitely wait, especially since there aren't any shortages of XB1. Many retailer would definitely be telling consumers about the Titanfall bundle. Whatever increase you're thinking of wouldn't be anywhere as large as the bundled sales increase. There's no doubt March sales will be greater then February's mostly do to the Titanfall bundle. I know how these trends work. Been following them for over 15yrs.
I still think that as the release date closes in for a high profile game even from a month out people will definitely be thinking about getting the system, bundle or not. People like to be prepared. It's not like they're buying it JUST for that either, they could buy other things to pass the time, like any of the other launch games. Very plausible. January maybe not..well as we saw anyway. But February the month before the month of Titanfall I expect them to be much higher. Not groundbreaking but a steep increase. March will be bigger I agree but Feb should be bigger than January, no excuses. If MS did their marketing right then Feb shouldn't be as bad as Jan, and that will be because of Titanfall.
Should be interesting.
I want to thank you @ghostwarrior786 for being so on the ball with these threads every single month :)
i wouldnt miss trolling lems for nothing
Some early inside comments on NeoGaf are saying the X1 did (and I quote) "much, much better than 100k".
Interesting... take it as you will, but this month might actually be (unexpectedly) fun! :D
if its done 200k i would be very suprised. 150k is kind of expected
Nintendo PR:
Strong new releases helped sales of Wii U software and Nintendo 3DS software in February increase by more than 180 percent and more than 25 percent, respectively, over the same month last year. Wii U software sales were driven by the Feb. 21 launch of Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze, which sold more than 130,000 combined physical and digital units in its first eight days on the market. This helped sales of Wii U hardware increase by nearly 25 percent over the same month last year.
In early 2013, Fire Emblem Awakening launched for Nintendo 3DS and became one of the surprise hits of the year. Bravely Default, which launched for Nintendo 3DS on Feb. 7, improved on the launch of Fire Emblem Awakening by more than 10 percent, selling more than 200,000 combined units in just over three weeks.
Other sales milestones achieved by Nintendo in February include:
Bravely Default and Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze finished as the No. 2 and No. 4 best-selling software SKUs for the month of February.
Pokémon X and Pokémon Y for the Nintendo 3DS system sold more than 130,000 combined units in their fifth month on the market. This brought the life-to-date total to more than 3.4 million combined units in the United States alone.
Over the next few months, Nintendo will launch a series of games from fan-favorite franchises including Yoshi’s New Island (Nintendo 3DS, March 14), Disney Magical World (Nintendo 3DS, April 11), Mario Golf: World Tour (Nintendo 3DS, May 2), Kirby: Triple Deluxe (Nintendo 3DS, May 2) and Mario Kart 8 (Wii U, May 30).
Bravely Default was the #2 game on the charts this month. Donkey Kong was #4. Amazing performance on both fronts, really.
Wii U sold 82,000 units, which is also unexpectedly good performance.
Feel free to put this stuff in the OP, ghostwarrior.
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