NPD September 2015 Prediction and Discussion Thread

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#1  Edited By deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

NPD Coverage: August 2-29, 2015 (4 weeks, July was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: Thursday, September 10th @ 4 p.m. EDT

Notable events in August:

  • XB1 MCC bundle + 40" 1080p TV at Best Buy - $500 (August 9-15) - 7 days (reports of selling 12K the first day of this sale)
  • XB1 Madden 16 bundle - $399 (August 18, 1 week before game release) - 12 days
  • 2DS price drop to $100 announced on Aug. 20 starting Aug 30 - 10 days
  • Buy PS4 and get Madden 16 included at no additional charge (August 25-30) - 5 days
  • Madden 16 PS4/XB1 (August 25) - 5 days

Results for July 2015:

1. PS4 - 218K
2. XB1 - 189K
3. 3DS - 105K
4. WIU - 46K
5. Vita- ???

----

There we have it, folks. The NPD results are coming up (they go live this Thursday) and while I imagine a lot of the drama from the last few months will now not happen, it is still interesting to speculate just which system will pull ahead and why.

This will be the official thread for NPD September 2015 discussion. Keep all NPD discussion here.

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Daious

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#2 Daious
Member since 2013 • 2315 Posts

They will probably win October but I really don't see them winning august or sept.

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Ant_17

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#3 Ant_17
Member since 2005 • 13634 Posts

Wow , i forgot we had these.

Uh , predicting the PS4 will win , and that the sun will rise in the morning.

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#4 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

@daious said:

They will probably win October but I really don't see them winning august or sept.

Who is they...?

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Daious

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#5  Edited By Daious
Member since 2013 • 2315 Posts

@charizard1605 said:
@daious said:

They will probably win October but I really don't see them winning august or sept.

Who is they...?

Lol, I will fill in the blanks when the NPD comes out. I am honestly not really sure about the sale war for Q3.

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Salt_The_Fries

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#6 Salt_The_Fries
Member since 2008 • 12480 Posts

PS4 as always and by default. Nothing will ever change that.

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Ten_Pints

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#7 Ten_Pints
Member since 2014 • 4072 Posts

PS4 will win by default until something like Halo comes out, then Xbone will win by 10k.

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Heil68

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#8  Edited By Heil68
Member since 2004 • 60835 Posts

PS4 will continue the momentum from winning E3 2015 and subsequent NPDs

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deactivated-58ce94803a170

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#9  Edited By deactivated-58ce94803a170
Member since 2015 • 8822 Posts
  • PS4 - 265k
  • Xbox One - 203k
  • 3DS - 160k
  • Wii U - 82k

Splatoon climbs back into top ten software.

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Shewgenja

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#10  Edited By Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

Confused from thread title. Is this August NPD prediction or September?

I predict that August hardware sales will be low across the board. PS4 may win but it won't be a landslide victory if it does.

September, on the other hand, will be an effing bloodbath. With both the MGSV LE and Taken King bundles, PS4 hardware will be moving ridiculous this month.

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#11 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

@Shewgenja said:

Confused from thread title. Is this August NPD prediction or September?

I predict that August hardware sales will be low across the board. PS4 may win but it won't be a landslide victory if it does.

September, on the other hand, will be an effing bloodbath. With both the MGSV LE and Taken King bundles, PS4 hardware will be moving ridiculous this month.

NPD results released in September for the month of August. Should have been clearer lol.

Oh well.

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GrenadeLauncher

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#12 GrenadeLauncher
Member since 2004 • 6843 Posts

I miss the days of TigerSuperman.

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#13 NyaDC
Member since 2014 • 8006 Posts

@GrenadeLauncher said:

I miss the days of TigerSuperman.

What happened to him and ProtossX?

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GrenadeLauncher

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#14 GrenadeLauncher
Member since 2004 • 6843 Posts

@nyadc said:
@GrenadeLauncher said:

I miss the days of TigerSuperman.

What happened to him and ProtossX?

Banned, probably.

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CWEBB04z

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#15 CWEBB04z
Member since 2006 • 4880 Posts

Sony as always,,dominating Microsoft.

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Zero_epyon

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#16 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

PS4 won Amazon by a few positions, so I'm inclined to say PS4 for August.

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lostrib

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#17 lostrib
Member since 2009 • 49999 Posts

@GrenadeLauncher said:
@nyadc said:
@GrenadeLauncher said:

I miss the days of TigerSuperman.

What happened to him and ProtossX?

Banned, probably.

Tiger is definitely perma banned, but i'm sure he's still floating around here

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Legend002

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#18 Legend002
Member since 2007 • 13405 Posts

It's that time again.

Lemmings:

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finalstar2007

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#19 finalstar2007
Member since 2008 • 27952 Posts

Wait September? wouldn't this be the August NPD?

August NPD appears in September, September NPD appears in October, etc

anyways PS4 wins by default, i just want to see Sword Art Online PS4 on top for PSN downloads

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lostrib

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#20 lostrib
Member since 2009 • 49999 Posts

@finalstar2007 said:

Wait September? wouldn't this be the August NPD?

August NPD appears in September, September NPD appears in October, etc

anyways PS4 wins by default, i just want to see Sword Art Online PS4 on top for PSN downloads

why would you want a mediocre game to top the charts?

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Seabas989

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#21 Seabas989
Member since 2009 • 13567 Posts

New game: Who can spot the wild tiger this week?

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#22 QuadKnight
Member since 2015 • 12916 Posts

@Heil68 said:

PS4 will continue the momentum from winning E3 2015 and subsequent NPDs

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#23  Edited By nintendoboy16
Member since 2007 • 42245 Posts

@lostrib said:

Tiger is definitely perma banned, but i'm sure he's still floating around here

And that's sounds like TigerSuperman. He did this in the old Retro forums too. He even calls me a loon (much like Char, Loco, and Conan do today) for calling him out on that (although other users remember him for that too). Although how I didn't catch him with his most recent alt (forgot the title, but Sebas noticed), I'll never know.

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Zero_epyon

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#24 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

@nintendoboy16 said:
@lostrib said:

Tiger is definitely perma banned, but i'm sure he's still floating around here

And that's sounds like TigerSuperman. He did this in the old Retro forums too. He even calls me a loon (much like Char, Loco, and Conan do today) for calling him out on that (although other users remember him for that too). Although how I didn't catch him with his most recent alt (forgot the title, but Sebas noticed), I'll never know.

There's a couple of alts I've noticed.

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Zero_epyon

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#25 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

@Seabas989 said:

New game: Who can spot the wild tiger this week?

I wanna play!

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Nike_Air

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#26 Nike_Air
Member since 2006 • 19737 Posts

Madden Bundle , Best buy TV deal , Gears of War , Rare Replay , Gamescom , cheaper price , and all the good work from nyc , salt, timdog , crapgamer , mooch , nxtgen720 etc on the interwebs will be hard to beat.

All the PS4 had was indies , Until Yawn , higher price , no Gamescom hype , and all the lackluster work from tormentos and the biased media.

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#27 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

@Nike_Air said:

Madden Bundle , Best buy TV deal , Gears of War , Rare Replay , Gamescom , cheaper price , and all the good work from nyc , salt, timdog , crapgamer , mooch , nxtgen720 etc on the interwebs will be hard to beat.

All the PS4 had was indies , Until Yawn , higher price , no Gamescom hype , and all the lackluster work from tormentos and the biased media.

But PS3>Wii60 yet again

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#28 DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 58764 Posts

Since this is September were talking about, it would be interesting to see if Xbox One at least come closer to PS4 sales when games like Halo 5 and Rise of the Tomb Raider are around the corner and the fact that BC is coming soon in November.

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Ant_17

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#29 Ant_17
Member since 2005 • 13634 Posts

@Zero_epyon said:
@nintendoboy16 said:
@lostrib said:

Tiger is definitely perma banned, but i'm sure he's still floating around here

And that's sounds like TigerSuperman. He did this in the old Retro forums too. He even calls me a loon (much like Char, Loco, and Conan do today) for calling him out on that (although other users remember him for that too). Although how I didn't catch him with his most recent alt (forgot the title, but Sebas noticed), I'll never know.

There's a couple of alts I've noticed.

I got only 2 on my radar , dough 1 is acting like a herm , so maybe it's not him.

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Dire_Weasel

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#30 Dire_Weasel
Member since 2002 • 16681 Posts

It's going to be close for August but I think Playstation 4 will have a slight edge.

Amazon monthly seems to indicate that, anyway:

http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2015-08/videogames

You should change the title to "NPD August". :)

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#31  Edited By DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 58764 Posts

@nyadc said:
@GrenadeLauncher said:

I miss the days of TigerSuperman.

What happened to him and ProtossX?

There both Banned. Tiger really flip his shit out on that last NPD thread and Mods had enough of X trolling threads. There alt. are unknown.

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#32 inggrish
Member since 2005 • 10503 Posts

@Nike_Air said:

All the PS4 had was indies , Until Yawn , higher price , no Gamescom hype , and all the lackluster work from tormentos and the biased media.

Seriously? Until Yawn? You have very evidently never played it; that thing will keep you on the edge of your seat more than any other game. Brilliant game.

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Zero_epyon

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#33 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

@_Matt_ said:
@Nike_Air said:

All the PS4 had was indies , Until Yawn , higher price , no Gamescom hype , and all the lackluster work from tormentos and the biased media.

Seriously? Until Yawn? You have very evidently never played it; that thing will keep you on the edge of your seat more than any other game. Brilliant game.

That and what did Xbox One have in August?

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deactivated-58ce94803a170

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#34  Edited By deactivated-58ce94803a170
Member since 2015 • 8822 Posts

@_Matt_: I agree, i watched the whole thing twice on Stream, once on Gamespot and another at Gametrailers, i wasnt bored not one bit and the story actually surprised me. Its a fun one.

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#35 DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 58764 Posts

@Zero_epyon: Rare Replay is a Xbox One exclusive that was release in August, 30 games for $30 was a good purchase and Gears of War: Ultimate Edition was also release in August but however, it's not an Xbox One exclusive, just MS exclusive since Ultimate Edition is coming to PC. Both games were release in August.

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Zero_epyon

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#36 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

@davillain- said:

@Zero_epyon: Rare Replay is a Xbox One exclusive that was release in August, 30 games for $30 was a good purchase and Gears of War: Ultimate Edition was also release in August but however, it's not an Xbox One exclusive, just MS exclusive since Ultimate Edition is coming to PC. Both games were release in August.

I see. So re-release of games from previous gens vs a new IP. I can't see how people would think Xbox had a better month. I'd agree it did if Xbox went up against just indies.

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#37  Edited By DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 58764 Posts

@Zero_epyon said:
@davillain- said:

@Zero_epyon: Rare Replay is a Xbox One exclusive that was release in August, 30 games for $30 was a good purchase and Gears of War: Ultimate Edition was also release in August but however, it's not an Xbox One exclusive, just MS exclusive since Ultimate Edition is coming to PC. Both games were release in August.

I see. So re-release of games from previous gens vs a new IP. I can't see how people would think Xbox had a better month. I'd agree it did if Xbox went up against just indies.

One more thing I forgot to mention, both of these games were also number one on the U.K charts for one week but however, I don't think none of these are a big deal other then Rare Replay with it's great value if you're into retro gaming that is.

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Zero_epyon

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#38 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

@davillain- said:
@Zero_epyon said:
@davillain- said:

@Zero_epyon: Rare Replay is a Xbox One exclusive that was release in August, 30 games for $30 was a good purchase and Gears of War: Ultimate Edition was also release in August but however, it's not an Xbox One exclusive, just MS exclusive since Ultimate Edition is coming to PC. Both games were release in August.

I see. So re-release of games from previous gens vs a new IP. I can't see how people would think Xbox had a better month. I'd agree it did if Xbox went up against just indies.

One more thing I forgot to mention, both of these games were also number one on the U.K charts for one week but however, I don't think none of these are a big deal other then Rare Replay with it's great value if you're into retro gaming that is.

Well that's pretty cool. I wonder what they were going up against?

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lundy86_4

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#39 lundy86_4
Member since 2003 • 62046 Posts

Xbox One is gonna sweep it... It's gonna happen, or my name isn't tigersuperman!

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Zero_epyon

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#40  Edited By Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

@lundy86_4 said:

Xbox One is gonna sweep it... It's gonna happen, or my name isn't tigersuperman!

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chikenfriedrice

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#41 chikenfriedrice
Member since 2006 • 13561 Posts

Going out on a limb and saying the PS4 will take the month

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NyaDC

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#42  Edited By NyaDC
Member since 2014 • 8006 Posts

I have no idea.

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#43  Edited By lamprey263
Member since 2006 • 45499 Posts

Do we really need this? PS4 outselling XBO and MGSV outselling everything else; FACT.

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Zero_epyon

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#44 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

@Seabas989 said:

New game: Who can spot the wild tiger this week?

Spotted him!

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Dire_Weasel

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#45 Dire_Weasel
Member since 2002 • 16681 Posts

@lundy86_4 said:

Xbox One is gonna sweep it... It's gonna happen, or my name isn't tigersuperman!

Not bad, but you need to add a list of dozen "irrefutable reasons" why Xbox One already won, and then have a meltdown.

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#46  Edited By Seabas989
Member since 2009 • 13567 Posts

@Zero_epyon said:
@Seabas989 said:

New game: Who can spot the wild tiger this week?

Spotted him!

Hmm maybe but needs more Walmart and more defending of shit consoles no ones heard of.

Plus more insults.

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Zero_epyon

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#47 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20508 Posts

@Seabas989 said:
@Zero_epyon said:
@Seabas989 said:

New game: Who can spot the wild tiger this week?

Spotted him!

Hmm maybe but needs more Walmart and more defending of shit consoles no ones heard of.

Plus more insults.

Someone just needs to press his buttons. It's a matter of time...

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xxgunslingerxx

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#48 xxgunslingerxx
Member since 2005 • 4275 Posts

@Zero_epyon said:
@_Matt_ said:
@Nike_Air said:

All the PS4 had was indies , Until Yawn , higher price , no Gamescom hype , and all the lackluster work from tormentos and the biased media.

Seriously? Until Yawn? You have very evidently never played it; that thing will keep you on the edge of your seat more than any other game. Brilliant game.

That and what did Xbox One have in August?

they had a crazy tv bundle... the only way they have been getting sales at all this gen

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Ant_17

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#49 Ant_17
Member since 2005 • 13634 Posts

@Dire_Weasel said:
@lundy86_4 said:

Xbox One is gonna sweep it... It's gonna happen, or my name isn't tigersuperman!

Not bad, but you need to add a list of dozen "irrefutable reasons" why Xbox One already won, and then have a meltdown.

"I just talked with every trash collector in the states , and they can confirm , the rise of Xbone boxes in the trash has risen 60% , and the PS4 has gone down by 75%."

*Link here for gamespot or whatever store he shilled"

Sigh:TigerSuperman

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demacabre

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#50  Edited By demacabre
Member since 2015 • 361 Posts

Didn't he imply he used to grill his local gamestop to see what their console sales were, or something to that effect?

I miss Tiger.