I definitely remember getting in a long, drawn out debate on this. I voted Covenant, and here's why.
Space Pirate tech is superior, on the whole, to what the Covenant have. However, the Space Pirates have much smaller numbers, and they're lacking in the area that's one of the Covenant's greatest strengths: their fleet.
Covenant ships destroy planets. They turn them to glass, destroying all life. They invade and conquer worlds. Although the Space Pirate ground forces are strong (especially if you give them some of the tech they pick up in Prime, which they may or may not have retained for a significant amount of time), they just can't stand up to their air forces. That means that wherever they make a base, wherever they camp, as soon as they are found, they will be anihillated.
Covenant win the war of attrition.
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