While doing some research into the DLC I came across this article.
Next-Gen contacted Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter, who further explained the deal. "What Microsoft did was pay a $50 million advance," he said, much in the same way a big-name author receives a payment in advance of his or her next book.
In other words, Microsoft is confident that Take-Two's portion of the revenue generated by GTA IV content downloads will surpass the $50 million advance paid.
"Microsoft basically said that it's happy to pay [Take-Two] in advance $50 million in revenue that [Take-Two] is going to receive from GTA IV downloads," he said.
Microsoft takes about a 30 percent cut from Xbox Live Marketplace content sales, according to Pachter.
Taking that 70/30 split (publisher/Microsoft) and the $50 million advance into account, Microsoft is apparently confident that GTA IV download revenues over Xbox Live will be at least $70 million.If revenues don't meet that figure, Take-Two will have to return some of the advance, according to Pachter. But he said that there's no reason to believe Take-Two would actually miss that revenue target.
If this is true, then MS did not pay $50 mil for the two episodes but rather advanced T2 the projected earnings from the DLC in exchange for the exclusivity deal. The nature of the deal is still unknown, but given this info and Rockstars history for exclusivity, it seems possible that once the advance is re-payed the episodes may become available for all platforms. Unfortunately, if this is true it might also indicate the size of the DLC is more along the lines of side missions as opposed to additional land area.
room420
rofl, reiterating my prediction and taking all bets! Story arc with sub-missions :P
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