GOP: Too Old, Too White, and Too Male?

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TheWalkingGhost

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#201 TheWalkingGhost
Member since 2012 • 6092 Posts

The Republican Party is facing an existential demographic crisis. Of that much, I am absolutely certain. There needs to be quite a deal of introspection. Immediately, the GOP needs re-rethink its stance on immigration and return to where the leaders were some ten years ago - amnesty - and make a serious push. There needs to be an immediate halt on attacking the Federal Reserve, and a return to the fact that "we are all Keynesians now." Attacking senior entitlements is the third rail. DON'T FVCKING TOUCH IT. Tax raises to mitigate budget shortfalls should be on the table. Tax cuts are nice and all, but we don't exactly have a $400 billion surplus to play with anymore. All of this brings the GOP back to where it was a few decades ago, but it is a nice start.

Drop gay marriage opposition from the platform. Loosen drug law enforcement, but from behind closed doors. Stop being so damn loud WRT foreign policy.

There's more, but that's what immediately came to mind.

coolbeans90
You couldn't be more wrong. They can't lose what support they have and your immigration comment would alienate millions of voters of all ages they currently have. They need to sell their platform to more people and moderate parts of it without alienating their current base.
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whipassmt

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#202 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

The Green Party is never going to be particularly relevant. It basically exists to attempt to pull the democrats further left, like the libertarians pull the republicans further right.Abbeten
Maybe they'de do better if they had the Green Goblin and the Jolly Green Giant as their candidates.

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AdamPA1006

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#203 AdamPA1006
Member since 2004 • 6422 Posts

If people do not make enough money to survive, they will not work. $2 an hour is not enough to survive. The natural minimum wage is a wee higher than that - not too far below the legal one, considering the relatively small number of people who make minimum wage.

coolbeans90
A good debate to have is how "liveable" should minimum wage be? Low minimum wage is good for young kids and entry level jobs, if it was too high then kids wouldnt get those starter jobs. I was grateful for mine. Should minimum wage be enough for someone to pay for an apartment and be able to live by themselves? I think the 1% people were mad about minimum wage. I remember the one guy was on hannitys show and hannity offered him a job right there but he said he didnt want it cause it didnt pay enough I dont know what he was expecting
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#204 Abbeten
Member since 2012 • 3140 Posts
do people still throw this around http://davidcard.berkeley.edu/papers/njmin-aer.pdf
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coolbeans90

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#205 coolbeans90
Member since 2009 • 21305 Posts

[QUOTE="coolbeans90"]

The Republican Party is facing an existential demographic crisis. Of that much, I am absolutely certain. There needs to be quite a deal of introspection. Immediately, the GOP needs re-rethink its stance on immigration and return to where the leaders were some ten years ago - amnesty - and make a serious push. There needs to be an immediate halt on attacking the Federal Reserve, and a return to the fact that "we are all Keynesians now." Attacking senior entitlements is the third rail. DON'T FVCKING TOUCH IT. Tax raises to mitigate budget shortfalls should be on the table. Tax cuts are nice and all, but we don't exactly have a $400 billion surplus to play with anymore. All of this brings the GOP back to where it was a few decades ago, but it is a nice start.

Drop gay marriage opposition from the platform. Loosen drug law enforcement, but from behind closed doors. Stop being so damn loud WRT foreign policy.

There's more, but that's what immediately came to mind.

TheWalkingGhost

You couldn't be more wrong. They can't lose what support they have and your immigration comment would alienate millions of voters of all ages they currently have. They need to sell their platform to more people and moderate parts of it without alienating their current base.

It didn't alienate Bush - who, by the way, won the election twice. It was not a coincidence that in '04 he took 20% more of the Hispanic electorate than the nom in '96. It has also fallen substantially since. The GOP has broken its platform in recent history. Part of that has to do with Dem triangulation forcing them right - but the other part is that there isn't a mechanism to prevent the amount of stupid slowly creeping its way into the party platform. It's not a message delivery problem.

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coolbeans90

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#206 coolbeans90
Member since 2009 • 21305 Posts

[QUOTE="coolbeans90"]

If people do not make enough money to survive, they will not work. $2 an hour is not enough to survive. The natural minimum wage is a wee higher than that - not too far below the legal one, considering the relatively small number of people who make minimum wage.

AdamPA1006

A good debate to have is how "liveable" should minimum wage be? Low minimum wage is good for young kids and entry level jobs, if it was too high then kids wouldnt get those starter jobs. I was grateful for mine. Should minimum wage be enough for someone to pay for an apartment and be able to live by themselves? I think the 1% people were mad about minimum wage. I remember the one guy was on hannitys show and hannity offered him a job right there but he said he didnt want it cause it didnt pay enough I dont know what he was expecting

Good point about HS kids' jobs. Not sure how to resolve that. Maybe negative income tax mechanism.

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whipassmt

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#207 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

[QUOTE="TheWalkingGhost"][QUOTE="coolbeans90"]

The Republican Party is facing an existential demographic crisis. Of that much, I am absolutely certain. There needs to be quite a deal of introspection. Immediately, the GOP needs re-rethink its stance on immigration and return to where the leaders were some ten years ago - amnesty - and make a serious push. There needs to be an immediate halt on attacking the Federal Reserve, and a return to the fact that "we are all Keynesians now." Attacking senior entitlements is the third rail. DON'T FVCKING TOUCH IT. Tax raises to mitigate budget shortfalls should be on the table. Tax cuts are nice and all, but we don't exactly have a $400 billion surplus to play with anymore. All of this brings the GOP back to where it was a few decades ago, but it is a nice start.

Drop gay marriage opposition from the platform. Loosen drug law enforcement, but from behind closed doors. Stop being so damn loud WRT foreign policy.

There's more, but that's what immediately came to mind.

coolbeans90

You couldn't be more wrong. They can't lose what support they have and your immigration comment would alienate millions of voters of all ages they currently have. They need to sell their platform to more people and moderate parts of it without alienating their current base.

It didn't alienate Bush - who, by the way, won the election twice. It was not a coincidence that in '04 he took 20% more of the Hispanic electorate than the nom in '96. It has also fallen substantially since. The GOP has broken its platform in recent history. Part of that has to do with Dem triangulation forcing them right - but the other part is that there isn't a mechanism to prevent the amount of stupid slowly creeping its way into the party platform. It's not a message delivery problem.

Yes. Bush was pretty good with Hispanics, and did try to push through immigration reform.

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#208 TheWalkingGhost
Member since 2012 • 6092 Posts

[QUOTE="TheWalkingGhost"][QUOTE="coolbeans90"]

The Republican Party is facing an existential demographic crisis. Of that much, I am absolutely certain. There needs to be quite a deal of introspection. Immediately, the GOP needs re-rethink its stance on immigration and return to where the leaders were some ten years ago - amnesty - and make a serious push. There needs to be an immediate halt on attacking the Federal Reserve, and a return to the fact that "we are all Keynesians now." Attacking senior entitlements is the third rail. DON'T FVCKING TOUCH IT. Tax raises to mitigate budget shortfalls should be on the table. Tax cuts are nice and all, but we don't exactly have a $400 billion surplus to play with anymore. All of this brings the GOP back to where it was a few decades ago, but it is a nice start.

Drop gay marriage opposition from the platform. Loosen drug law enforcement, but from behind closed doors. Stop being so damn loud WRT foreign policy.

There's more, but that's what immediately came to mind.

coolbeans90

You couldn't be more wrong. They can't lose what support they have and your immigration comment would alienate millions of voters of all ages they currently have. They need to sell their platform to more people and moderate parts of it without alienating their current base.

It didn't alienate Bush - who, by the way, won the election twice. It was not a coincidence that in '04 he took 20% more of the Hispanic electorate than the nom in '96. It has also fallen substantially since. The GOP has broken its platform in recent history. Part of that has to do with Dem triangulation forcing them right - but the other part is that there isn't a mechanism to prevent the amount of stupid slowly creeping its way into the party platform. It's not a message delivery problem.

The party is farther to the right now then it was in 2000 and 2004, and I don't mean the candidates but the support base in general. Immigration was an issue in 2000 just not as big as right now, it has grown to be of bigger importance now then it was before. You need to calculate changes in the severity of the issues over the past decade. Meaning, the situation the Republicans find themselves in is not a good one. Most of their base is stricter on immigration which is taking the forefront more now then ever, while Hispanics as a whole are very lax. Go too far to left and it good alienate the right and still be a hard sell on the Hispanics they need. Not a good situation. And it is partly a message delivery problem, as that is one of things that killed Romney. Why do I not like his message? I have no clue what the hell it was...And it seems neither does he. He tends to talk without saying anything.
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Nonstop-Madness

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#209 Nonstop-Madness
Member since 2008 • 12873 Posts
[QUOTE="Nonstop-Madness"]The Republican party does have some severe issues like the Tea Party, Extreme Social Conservatism etc. We seriously need to accept things like same sex marriage, rights to our own body etc. You can't stop civil rights movements, its just a matter of time. jim_shorts
By rights to our own body, do you mean abortion or contraception? I'm fine with contraception, it's abortion I take issue with.

Probably both contraception and abortion, at least to some degree. Can we seriously not accept abortion if it threatens a woman's life or because of rape?
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#210 TheWalkingGhost
Member since 2012 • 6092 Posts

[QUOTE="coolbeans90"]

[QUOTE="TheWalkingGhost"]You couldn't be more wrong. They can't lose what support they have and your immigration comment would alienate millions of voters of all ages they currently have. They need to sell their platform to more people and moderate parts of it without alienating their current base.whipassmt

It didn't alienate Bush - who, by the way, won the election twice. It was not a coincidence that in '04 he took 20% more of the Hispanic electorate than the nom in '96. It has also fallen substantially since. The GOP has broken its platform in recent history. Part of that has to do with Dem triangulation forcing them right - but the other part is that there isn't a mechanism to prevent the amount of stupid slowly creeping its way into the party platform. It's not a message delivery problem.

Yes. Bush was pretty good with Hispanics, and did try to push through immigration reform.

What was his immigration reform?
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#211 coolbeans90
Member since 2009 • 21305 Posts

The party is farther to the right now then it was in 2000 and 2004, and I don't mean the candidates but the support base in general. Immigration was an issue in 2000 just not as big as right now, it has grown to be of bigger importance now then it was before. You need to calculate changes in the severity of the issues over the past decade. Meaning, the situation the Republicans find themselves in is not a good one. Most of their base is stricter on immigration which is taking the forefront more now then ever, while Hispanics as a whole are very lax. Go too far to left and it good alienate the right and still be a hard sell on the Hispanics they need. Not a good situation. And it is partly a message delivery problem, as that is one of things that killed Romney. Why do I not like his message? I have no clue what the hell it was...And it seems neither does he. He tends to talk without saying anything. TheWalkingGhost

The base hasn't changed that much, but you are right that immigration is more important, because if the GOP switch sides it dies - says the simple math. No reason why Jeb Bush couldn't make a push for it and hold the evangelicals. Romney had a supremely clear, one-word message, reiterated over and over ad infinitum: jobs.

The issue is the platform. End of story.

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whipassmt

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#212 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

[QUOTE="whipassmt"]

[QUOTE="coolbeans90"]

It didn't alienate Bush - who, by the way, won the election twice. It was not a coincidence that in '04 he took 20% more of the Hispanic electorate than the nom in '96. It has also fallen substantially since. The GOP has broken its platform in recent history. Part of that has to do with Dem triangulation forcing them right - but the other part is that there isn't a mechanism to prevent the amount of stupid slowly creeping its way into the party platform. It's not a message delivery problem.

TheWalkingGhost

Yes. Bush was pretty good with Hispanics, and did try to push through immigration reform.

What was his immigration reform?

I think it would've provided a path to documentation and secured the borders, but I don't know the details. He tried to pass it in the 2007 but it was voted down in the Senate. the vote was actually bipartisan, Republicans and Democrats both voted against it, and members of both parties voted for it.

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#213 TheWalkingGhost
Member since 2012 • 6092 Posts

[QUOTE="TheWalkingGhost"]The party is farther to the right now then it was in 2000 and 2004, and I don't mean the candidates but the support base in general. Immigration was an issue in 2000 just not as big as right now, it has grown to be of bigger importance now then it was before. You need to calculate changes in the severity of the issues over the past decade. Meaning, the situation the Republicans find themselves in is not a good one. Most of their base is stricter on immigration which is taking the forefront more now then ever, while Hispanics as a whole are very lax. Go too far to left and it good alienate the right and still be a hard sell on the Hispanics they need. Not a good situation. And it is partly a message delivery problem, as that is one of things that killed Romney. Why do I not like his message? I have no clue what the hell it was...And it seems neither does he. He tends to talk without saying anything. coolbeans90

The base hasn't changed that much, but you are right that immigration is more important, because if the GOP switch sides it dies - says the simple math. No reason why Jeb Bush couldn't make a push for it and hold the evangelicals. Romney had a supremely clear, one-word message, reiterated over and over ad infinitum: jobs.

The issue is the platform. End of story.

That's the problem, the GOP may have gotten into the position of where they can't switch. Not enviable. They lost liberals and can't afford to lose Conservatives. The middle is about as much as they can hope for.
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#214 Abbeten
Member since 2012 • 3140 Posts
Bush's immigration bill would have let something like 12 million illegal immigrants stay in the country and obtain citizenship, and a bunch of republicans voted against it
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TheWalkingGhost

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#215 TheWalkingGhost
Member since 2012 • 6092 Posts

[QUOTE="TheWalkingGhost"][QUOTE="whipassmt"] Yes. Bush was pretty good with Hispanics, and did try to push through immigration reform.

whipassmt

What was his immigration reform?

I think it would've provided a path to documentation and secured the borders, but I don't know the details. He tried to pass it in the 2007 but it was voted down in the Senate. the vote was actually bipartisan, Republicans and Democrats both voted against it, and members of both parties voted for it.

I know he tried, I just don't remember the details. I can try t find it.
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#216 TheWalkingGhost
Member since 2012 • 6092 Posts
Bush's immigration bill would have let something like 12 million illegal immigrants stay in the country and obtain citizenship, and a bunch of republicans voted against itAbbeten
Well....That is obvious. Fat chance on selling that to them. Wonder how many have citizenship right now anyway.
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coolbeans90

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#217 coolbeans90
Member since 2009 • 21305 Posts

[QUOTE="coolbeans90"]

[QUOTE="TheWalkingGhost"]The party is farther to the right now then it was in 2000 and 2004, and I don't mean the candidates but the support base in general. Immigration was an issue in 2000 just not as big as right now, it has grown to be of bigger importance now then it was before. You need to calculate changes in the severity of the issues over the past decade. Meaning, the situation the Republicans find themselves in is not a good one. Most of their base is stricter on immigration which is taking the forefront more now then ever, while Hispanics as a whole are very lax. Go too far to left and it good alienate the right and still be a hard sell on the Hispanics they need. Not a good situation. And it is partly a message delivery problem, as that is one of things that killed Romney. Why do I not like his message? I have no clue what the hell it was...And it seems neither does he. He tends to talk without saying anything. TheWalkingGhost

The base hasn't changed that much, but you are right that immigration is more important, because if the GOP switch sides it dies - says the simple math. No reason why Jeb Bush couldn't make a push for it and hold the evangelicals. Romney had a supremely clear, one-word message, reiterated over and over ad infinitum: jobs.

The issue is the platform. End of story.

That's the problem, the GOP may have gotten into the position of where they can't switch. Not enviable. They lost liberals and can't afford to lose Conservatives. The middle is about as much as they can hope for.

They won't lose conservatives over that issue. Raising taxes? Yeah. Banning guns? Yeah. Going pro-choice? Yeah. Fixing the broken immigration system? Nah, that won't hit too close to home for them to jump ship in droves.

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whipassmt

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#218 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

Bush's immigration bill would have let something like 12 million illegal immigrants stay in the country and obtain citizenship, and a bunch of republicans voted against itAbbeten
I think it was voted down by the Senate which was controlled by the Democrats, although many Republicans also abandoned Bush to vote against the bill (McCain and Obama voted for it).

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#219 Former_Slacker
Member since 2009 • 2618 Posts

The Republican Party is facing an existential demographic crisis. Of that much, I am absolutely certain. There needs to be quite a deal of introspection. Immediately, the GOP needs re-rethink its stance on immigration and return to where the leaders were some ten years ago - amnesty - and make a serious push. There needs to be an immediate halt on attacking the Federal Reserve, and a return to the fact that "we are all Keynesians now." Attacking senior entitlements is the third rail. DON'T FVCKING TOUCH IT. Tax raises to mitigate budget shortfalls should be on the table. Tax cuts are nice and all, but we don't exactly have a $400 billion surplus to play with anymore. All of this brings the GOP back to where it was a few decades ago, but it is a nice start.

Drop gay marriage opposition from the platform. Loosen drug law enforcement, but from behind closed doors. Stop being so damn loud WRT foreign policy.

There's more, but that's what immediately came to mind.

coolbeans90

Who are you and what have you done with coolbeans?

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coolbeans90

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#220 coolbeans90
Member since 2009 • 21305 Posts

[QUOTE="coolbeans90"]

The Republican Party is facing an existential demographic crisis. Of that much, I am absolutely certain. There needs to be quite a deal of introspection. Immediately, the GOP needs re-rethink its stance on immigration and return to where the leaders were some ten years ago - amnesty - and make a serious push. There needs to be an immediate halt on attacking the Federal Reserve, and a return to the fact that "we are all Keynesians now." Attacking senior entitlements is the third rail. DON'T FVCKING TOUCH IT. Tax raises to mitigate budget shortfalls should be on the table. Tax cuts are nice and all, but we don't exactly have a $400 billion surplus to play with anymore. All of this brings the GOP back to where it was a few decades ago, but it is a nice start.

Drop gay marriage opposition from the platform. Loosen drug law enforcement, but from behind closed doors. Stop being so damn loud WRT foreign policy.

There's more, but that's what immediately came to mind.

Former_Slacker

Who are you and what have you done with coolbeans?

Hi.

I am beans.

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Abbeten

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#221 Abbeten
Member since 2012 • 3140 Posts

[QUOTE="Abbeten"]Bush's immigration bill would have let something like 12 million illegal immigrants stay in the country and obtain citizenship, and a bunch of republicans voted against itwhipassmt

I think it was voted down by the Senate which was controlled by the Democrats, although many Republicans also abandoned Bush to vote against the bill (McCain and Obama voted for it).

While the Democrats did have a majority in the Senate, they provided 33 of the 46 votes for the bill. 15 Democrats voted against the bill, as did 37 Republicans and an independent.
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#222 coolbeans90
Member since 2009 • 21305 Posts

Eventually the demographic crisis will force their hand. Now seems to be about that time.

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#223 Abbeten
Member since 2012 • 3140 Posts
Which makes me wonder if they'll run Marco Rubio in 2016. Which would be hilarious to watch.
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#224 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

[QUOTE="whipassmt"]

[QUOTE="Abbeten"]Bush's immigration bill would have let something like 12 million illegal immigrants stay in the country and obtain citizenship, and a bunch of republicans voted against itAbbeten

I think it was voted down by the Senate which was controlled by the Democrats, although many Republicans also abandoned Bush to vote against the bill (McCain and Obama voted for it).

While the Democrats did have a majority in the Senate, they provided 33 of the 46 votes for the bill. 15 Democrats voted against the bill, as did 37 Republicans and an independent.

Interesting. Now I wonder, if Obama did try to pass the same bill, would those 15 Democrats (assuming they were still in office during his first term) have essentially guaranteed he wouldn't have been able to get the bill past a filibuster, or would they have voted for cloture but against the bill? Or maybe the bill would've gotten enough Republican support to make up for those Democrats who would vote against it?

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#225 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

Which makes me wonder if they'll run Marco Rubio in 2016. Which would be hilarious to watch. Abbeten
Maybe. Who would the Dems run in 2016? Although usually a party doesn't win three presidential elections in a row, the pattern seems to be two terms of one guy, get tired of him, switch to the other pary.

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coolbeans90

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#226 coolbeans90
Member since 2009 • 21305 Posts

Which makes me wonder if they'll run Marco Rubio in 2016. Which would be hilarious to watch. Abbeten

Which brings us to the other problem: the Tea Party.

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#227 Abbeten
Member since 2012 • 3140 Posts

[QUOTE="Abbeten"][QUOTE="whipassmt"] I think it was voted down by the Senate which was controlled by the Democrats, although many Republicans also abandoned Bush to vote against the bill (McCain and Obama voted for it).

whipassmt

While the Democrats did have a majority in the Senate, they provided 33 of the 46 votes for the bill. 15 Democrats voted against the bill, as did 37 Republicans and an independent.

Interesting. Now I wonder, if Obama did try to pass the same bill, would those 15 Democrats (assuming they were still in office during his first term) have essentially guaranteed he wouldn't have been able to get the bill past a filibuster, or would they have voted for cloture but against the bill? Or maybe the bill would've gotten enough Republican support to make up for those Democrats who would vote against it?

Depends how suicidal they're feeling. I'd bet a good number of those dem senators who voted against the bill got elected in traditionally red states in 2006.
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#228 Abbeten
Member since 2012 • 3140 Posts

[QUOTE="Abbeten"]Which makes me wonder if they'll run Marco Rubio in 2016. Which would be hilarious to watch. whipassmt

Maybe. Who would the Dems run in 2016? Although usually a party doesn't win three presidential elections in a row, the pattern seems to be two terms of one guy, get tired of him, switch to the other pary.

I would assume the natural counter to Rubio would be Castro. A lot can happen in four years though, so I really have no clue.
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#229 Bane_09
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[QUOTE="Abbeten"]Which makes me wonder if they'll run Marco Rubio in 2016. Which would be hilarious to watch. whipassmt

Maybe. Who would the Dems run in 2016? Although usually a party doesn't win three presidential elections in a row, the pattern seems to be two terms of one guy, get tired of him, switch to the other pary.

Julian Castro vs Marco Rubio:

The battle for the Latino Vote

coming in 2016

:P

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#230 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

[QUOTE="whipassmt"]

[QUOTE="Abbeten"]Which makes me wonder if they'll run Marco Rubio in 2016. Which would be hilarious to watch. Bane_09

Maybe. Who would the Dems run in 2016? Although usually a party doesn't win three presidential elections in a row, the pattern seems to be two terms of one guy, get tired of him, switch to the other pary.

Julian Castro vs Marco Rubio:

The battle for the Latino Vote

coming in 2016

:P

oh, Julian Castro, that's who he meant. I thought he was talking about Fidel.

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#231 Bane_09
Member since 2010 • 3394 Posts

[QUOTE="Bane_09"]

[QUOTE="whipassmt"] Maybe. Who would the Dems run in 2016? Although usually a party doesn't win three presidential elections in a row, the pattern seems to be two terms of one guy, get tired of him, switch to the other pary.

whipassmt

Julian Castro vs Marco Rubio:

The battle for the Latino Vote

coming in 2016

:P

oh, Julian Castro, that's who he meant. I thought he was talking about Fidel.

Oh you

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whipassmt

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#232 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

[QUOTE="whipassmt"]

[QUOTE="Abbeten"] While the Democrats did have a majority in the Senate, they provided 33 of the 46 votes for the bill. 15 Democrats voted against the bill, as did 37 Republicans and an independent. Abbeten

Interesting. Now I wonder, if Obama did try to pass the same bill, would those 15 Democrats (assuming they were still in office during his first term) have essentially guaranteed he wouldn't have been able to get the bill past a filibuster, or would they have voted for cloture but against the bill? Or maybe the bill would've gotten enough Republican support to make up for those Democrats who would vote against it?

Depends how suicidal they're feeling. I'd bet a good number of those dem senators who voted against the bill got elected in traditionally red states in 2006.

Good point, Democrats did gain a lot of seats in the Senate in 2006, mostly due to opposition to the Iraq War (interesting how something can go from the main issue to a non-issue in a few years).

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Abbeten

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#233 Abbeten
Member since 2012 • 3140 Posts
I think it would be fitting to run a candidate named 'Castro' after eight years of a Hussein presidency
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whipassmt

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#234 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

[QUOTE="whipassmt"]

[QUOTE="Bane_09"]

Julian Castro vs Marco Rubio:

The battle for the Latino Vote

coming in 2016

:P

Bane_09

oh, Julian Castro, that's who he meant. I thought he was talking about Fidel.

Oh you

ha ha Jill Stein lost.

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#235 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

I think it would be fitting to run a candidate named 'Castro' after eight years of a Hussein presidencyAbbeten
:lol: then who'de be next after Castro, John Khomeini Irydon-Alama?

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Former_Slacker

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#236 Former_Slacker
Member since 2009 • 2618 Posts

[QUOTE="Abbeten"]Which makes me wonder if they'll run Marco Rubio in 2016. Which would be hilarious to watch. whipassmt

Maybe. Who would the Dems run in 2016? Although usually a party doesn't win three presidential elections in a row, the pattern seems to be two terms of one guy, get tired of him, switch to the other pary.

Likely Clinton, Biden, Cuomo and others. Parties usually only win 3 elections in a row if the previous president was extremely popular, as in a transformational president who changes the fabric of the country. Somebody like Reagan, or more appropriately, FDR. Obama could still very well become one. The bailouts, stimulus, health care, Dodd Frank, Bin Laden, Ending the war in Iraq, winning re-election with a clean sweep of all tossups with an unemployment rate above 7.2%, and, presumably, ending the fiscal cliff, reforming the tax code, drawing down the war in Afghanistan, passage of an immigration bill that grants amnesty, and an economy with an unemployment rate below 6% would, combined with the changing demographics, render Obama a transformational president who would significantly change the course of the country for a generation and alter it permanently.

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Bane_09

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#237 Bane_09
Member since 2010 • 3394 Posts

ha ha Jill Stein lost.

whipassmt

She's still a winner in my eyes

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deactivated-5b1e62582e305

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#238 deactivated-5b1e62582e305
Member since 2004 • 30778 Posts

Dems have some possibly good candidates in 2016 like Andrew Cuomo, Joe Biden, and Hillary Clinton. It's way too early for guys like Cory Booker and Julian Castro to run.

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#239 Bane_09
Member since 2010 • 3394 Posts

I think it would be fitting to run a candidate named 'Castro' after eight years of a Hussein presidencyAbbeten

hehe I was just thinking the same thing

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#240 Abbeten
Member since 2012 • 3140 Posts
I seriously doubt Biden or Clinton run.
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deactivated-5b1e62582e305

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#241 deactivated-5b1e62582e305
Member since 2004 • 30778 Posts

I seriously doubt Biden or Clinton run. Abbeten
Both of them would make pretty great candidates. Biden would be old though so who knows.

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#242 AdamPA1006
Member since 2004 • 6422 Posts

Just issue wise I liked Newt the best he seemed like he was 50x smarter than Romney and had a much clearer vision. I liked that he worked with clinton on some issues and both of them did to certain things to foster economic growth and the welfare reform.

Sadly his personal life is messed up no woman would vote for him and I dont blame them

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#243 Abbeten
Member since 2012 • 3140 Posts
Except he shut the government down because Clinton was mean to him on an airplane. Anyway, the fact that Clinton is taking a bunch of heat for Libya makes me think she's also ready to be done. Apparently there are rumors that she's going to retire from Secretary of State
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#244 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

[QUOTE="whipassmt"]

[QUOTE="Abbeten"]Which makes me wonder if they'll run Marco Rubio in 2016. Which would be hilarious to watch. Former_Slacker

Maybe. Who would the Dems run in 2016? Although usually a party doesn't win three presidential elections in a row, the pattern seems to be two terms of one guy, get tired of him, switch to the other pary.

Likely Clinton, Biden, Cuomo and others. Parties usually only win 3 elections in a row if the previous president was extremely popular, as in a transformational president who changes the fabric of the country. Somebody like Reagan, or more appropriately, FDR. Obama could still very well become one. The bailouts, stimulus, health care, Dodd Frank, Bin Laden, Ending the war in Iraq, winning re-election with a clean sweep of all tossups with an unemployment rate above 7.2%, and, presumably, ending the fiscal cliff, reforming the tax code, drawing down the war in Afghanistan, passage of an immigration bill that grants amnesty, and an economy with an unemployment rate below 6% would, combined with the changing demographics, render Obama a transformationalpresident who would significantly change the course of the country for a generation and alter it permanently.

except that Obama didn't really end the Iraq war, the withdrawal date was actually set by Bush in the Status of Forces Agreement of 2008. As far as bin Laden, goes I think it was good for morale, but it looks like overall the situation in the middle east is deteriorating and al Qaeda is strengthening itself. Health-care I doubt is very controversial as would be any immigration change. As far as Dodd-Frank I've heard conflicting views about whether it helps or hurts the economy (maybe it's mixed).

As for Biden he might be too old by then and I think Clinton may be too liberal, plus I think the Benghazi attack weakened her popularity.

As for FDR the situation did change quite quickly with him, the Republicans did gain power soon enough in order to amend the constitution to include term limits.

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#245 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

Except he shut the government down because Clinton was mean to him on an airplane. Anyway, the fact that Clinton is taking a bunch of heat for Libya makes me think she's also ready to be done. Apparently there are rumors that she's going to retire from Secretary of StateAbbeten
I wonder who'de replace her? Maybe Susan Rice, but perhaps Obama would want to have a black lady named Rice as his SecState, otherwise he'll look too much like Bush, but then again he did keep Gates as SecDef.

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#246 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

Dems have some possibly good candidates in 2016 like Andrew Cuomo, Joe Biden, and Hillary Clinton. It's way too early for guys like Cory Booker and Julian Castro to run.

Aljosa23

I wouldn't vote for any of them.

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#247 nocoolnamejim
Member since 2003 • 15136 Posts

[QUOTE="jimkabrhel"]

[QUOTE="whipassmt"] Maybe a better strategy would be for the Republicans to let the Dems keep the blacks and the Hispanics (except of course the Cubans) and concentrate on expanding their hold among whites as well as allying with Asian voters, particularly Chinese and Japanese but also Indians.

whipassmt

Or, each party could appeal to all people.

Impossible, in order to appeal to some people you will alienate others.

As much as I tend to disagree with virtually everything Whip says, he's right on this argument.
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whipassmt

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#248 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

[QUOTE="whipassmt"]

[QUOTE="jimkabrhel"]

Or, each party could appeal to all people.

nocoolnamejim

Impossible, in order to appeal to some people you will alienate others.

As much as I tend to disagree with virtually everything Whip says, he's right on this argument.

Hey you're right for once! You finally admitted I'm right.

I also have a cool name and you don't.

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#250 nocoolnamejim
Member since 2003 • 15136 Posts
[QUOTE="sSubZerOo"]

[QUOTE="Abbeten"] That's an extremely un-nuanced explanation for the existence of poverty. And how strange of you to overlook the jobs-training programs that democrats also support in conjunction with welfare programs. But the fact that you think entitlements are about 'rewarding people for doing nothing' rather than making it suck slightly less for people to live in poverty as they attempt to claw their way out of it is telling. 'Pro-poverty' continues to be a meaningless label. I'm not sure you can find a single politician in either major party who thinks poverty is a good thing or that we could use more of it.

Minimum wage laws are also not responsible for poverty, nor would you suddenly see an explosion of prosperity if we got rid of all of them. Unless you think it would be a good idea for us to compete with China in manufacturing jobs.

Laihendi

Having jobs paying $2 an hour sounds like such a GREAT idea.

$2/hour is better than $0/hour, which is what happens when you refuse to work for what your service is worth. Democrats undeniably benefit from poverty. The democrats dominated American politics throughout the great depression. FDR ran on a socialist platform and won landslide victories 4 times in a row.

In the spirit of OT Democracy, I would like to submit a motion for popular vote. I'd like people not to be able to use the word "socialism" or any of its variables without also linking to a definition of it and explaining how what they're describing applies.