[QUOTE="SUD123456"][QUOTE="CajunShooter"] How has the PS3 lost in sales? Last time I checked both systems are still selling. Why is everyone trying to call the winner in the first third of the race. When running a 10 mile race the winner isn't determined by who is in the lead at the 1 mile mark. It is who is first at the end.12345678ew
Because these are consumer products, not marathon runners.
And consumer products follow a well known adoption curve.
The first half of the curve are innovators, early adopoters and the early majority. The back half of the curve is the late majority, latecomers, and laggards. The back half of the curve takes its cue from the front half. This is the effect of word of mouth, solidifying public perception etc.
The PS2 trounced the competition because of its success in 2001, 2002, 2003. What happened in later years was just an extension of the fact that the first half of purchasers had already decided who the winner was going to be. The PS2 was the in thing...the winner....so of course everbody then bought the PS2.
The same thing has happened this generation. The Wii has already won and is unstoppable. Second and third could probably still go either way, but both are going to be distant also rans.
The PS3 is excellent, but over priced, and doesn't deliver much if anything more than the 360, except it has BD. It does offer the most however, and it is Sony...so its worth a looksee. That is the public image of the PS3 and it won't change.
The 360 is excellent, offers essentially the same things as the PS3, except it doesn't have BD. Too bad its a POS from a quality control perspective, but thank goodness it has a warranty. However, it is a lot cheaper, a great deal, and what the heck...it is pretty much the same as the PS3 for less. That is the public image of the 360 and it won't change.
The Wii is the funk. Gotta have it. Not entirely sure why. But what the heck, it doesn't cost a bundle and it seems to entertain a wide range of people. And it is family friendly. That is the public image of the Wii and it won't change.
There are already 100 million consoles sold. By the end of this year we will reach the halfway mark. If the Wii has roughly 50% marketshare now, it will retain that throughout the year, and then throughout the generation. The other 50% will be split by the also rans and that will be close to 50/50 between them regardless of which one eeks out the loss :)
This is because the second half of people are going to buy based upon the public perceptions driven by the first half of people who bought first.
Unless there is some earthshattering event, the current public images are going to move from moist still settlingform to solid need a jackhammer concrete real soon.
the wii is fully stoppable, and in any case not a major competitor. i think the kind of games anybody here on system wars cares about is rather young male dominated, and 80 percent of wii sales were to the elderly, extremely young (under 8) and minor girls. 60 percent of ps3s went to boys under 30, and 75 percent of xbox 360s went to boys under 18. 75 percent of the time statistics can be used to prove either side has a 70 percent chance of being my final statistic on this postDenying reality is not a good way to go through life.
Somehow I don't think MS and Sony are thrilled to see the big N crushing them.
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