[QUOTE="2Chalupas"][QUOTE="DarkLink77"] There are 7 other scores on MC that are below an 8.0, and the game doesn't even have 30 reviews yet. That's a pretty big chunk. It's going to go down. DarkLink77
30 is a good sample size even from fairly large datasets. So if it had 30 random reviews (i.e. not all "Playstation Lifestyle) that would pretty much be 99% indicative of what the scores would end up at.
If it has 22 relatively random reviews, that is also a pretty fair "sample" size since the whole population of reviews will probably barely be 30 anyway. It could easily move a few points up or down, but Gamespot's review will obviously be much lower than the average. A bunch of websites would have to review 4.0's to bring it all the way down to Gamespot's number, which is unlikely to happen.
It's also pretty funny people rely so much on Gamespot scores, comparing Fable The Journey is actually a perfectly illustration of why it's silly to compare 1 reviewers opinion of one game, to a completely different reviewers take on another completely unique game. Gamespot has been all over the radar lately.
Fable The Journey: 8.0 gamespot, 62 Metacritic, 56 user score. (gamespot +19 to the mean)
Unfinished Swan 6.5 gamespot, 81 metracritic, NA user score (not enough data yet). (gamespot -16 to the mean)
About the only useful information is that Fable the Journey is rather grossly overrated by Gamespot's reviewer compared to everywhere, and the early indication seems they under-rated Unfinished Swan. Lately Gamespot is almost as bad as Destructoid in chronically overrating 360 exclusives, and underrating PS3/PSN games. Not saying there's a "consiracy", but sometimes the differences are so wide it's almost silly.
I'm not saying it's going to go to the GS score. I'm saying it's going to go lower because it's far harder to go higher, no matter the MetaScore.That statement doesn't even make sense. If there's 20 random scores already out averaging 8.0, why would anyone make an assumption about the next 10 scores moving the overall score in either direction? The way statistics work, if you already have 20 scores averaging 8.0, odds are the next 10 random reviews will also average somewhere around 8.0. They might fluctuate with random sampling error, and make the average go to 7.8 or 8.2, but the direction is not predictable. It is no more difficult for a statistical mean to go up .2 than it is to go down .2.
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