NGP and 3DS will both be highly succesful systems, no doubts about that. However, most people believe that the 3DS will outsell the NGP because they are reminded of what happened with DS vs PSP battle. DS was aimed at casuals, PSP was aimed at hardcore gamers. And this handheld gen almost looks the same, but will we really get the same results? I don't think so. Here's why:
1) Most casual gamers are playing on smartphones and tablets nowadays. The audience who purchased millions of DS units are the same audience that like to play games on smartphones. They understand that the 3DS is superior, but smartphones are considered "good enough". This is where hardcore audiences step in. A hardcore gamer would never play an FPS game on a 3-inch touchscreen device with virtual analog pads. If Nintendo were strategic, they would try their best to make the 3DS appeal to both hardcore and casual gamers. You can't always rely on casuals all the time.
2) The NGP is powerful enough to play games that use Unreal Engine 3 and similar engines. This means it can share multiplats with PS3, 360, PC, etc. Don't be surprised if some future games like Mass Effect, Dragon Age, BioShock, Fallout,and various others come out for NGP.Activision confirmed that CoD is coming to NGP (likely MW3), so don't expect the NGP to have a poor library.
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