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KC_Hokie

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#1 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts

[QUOTE="KC_Hokie"][QUOTE="HoolaHoopMan"]

So you admit that human emissions have a measurable effect then? 

HoolaHoopMan

I've only ever argued climate change has always happened and always will. Humans have something to do with it but that impact is minimal at best. The data since 1990 shows that in IPCC reports and how off their prediction were by overestimating CO2 influence.

Hear hear folks of OT, Hokie has finally admitted that humans have at least a MINIMUM, yet measurable effect, on our climate!!!  

Its true that progress is slow but it can happen.  Think I might tear up a bit here. 

Some effect sure. Do humans drive the climate...absolutely not.
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#2 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts

[QUOTE="KC_Hokie"] Man-made global warming was over-hyped and it's impacts are minimal. The data shows that. HoolaHoopMan

So you admit that human emissions have a measurable effect then? 

I've only ever argued climate change has always happened and always will. Humans have something to do with it but that impact is minimal at best. The data since 1990 shows that in IPCC reports and how off their prediction were by overestimating CO2 influence.
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#3 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts

[QUOTE="KC_Hokie"]

[QUOTE="theone86"]

Previous IPCC models estimate rises in CO2 emissions, current models revise those estimates.  Lowered estimates of carbon emissions=less warming.

Tempature has not been flat, this claim has been disproven before.

theone86

Again, CO2 levels haven't stopped rising. Temperature peaked in 1998.

The IPCC is finally having to admit this and their models were way off. CO2 isn't nearly as influential as thought.

I never said CO2 levels stopped rising, I said their rise has been less than previously predicted.  If previous models estimated the rise in CO2 to be by a factor of ten and new models by a factor of five then the rise in emissions has been less than previously thought and their estimates on eventual warming will be lower.  

CO2 levels have been rising exponentially. Developing countries have kept the same rise over the last decade that the U.S. and other countries caused in the past. They took this into account when they made the predictions.

And they were still way off. CO2 simple isn't as influential as they once thought.

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#4 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts
[QUOTE="KC_Hokie"]

Interesting graph showing how off the IPCC predictions have been:

global-warming-hoax-2013.gif

HoolaHoopMan
Oh yea, a nice interactive graph from a sight claiming 'global warming hoax'. Keep it coming Hokie, I need a dose of crazy before bed.

Data comes from IPCC reports and satellite data. It's 100% accurate regardless of where it was posted. The IPCC is even admitting it now. Can't deny the data.
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#5 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts

[QUOTE="KC_Hokie"]

[QUOTE="HoolaHoopMan"]

In other words its nothing more than scientists including new data sets to improve climate models for more accurate predictions in the future, while simultaneously still holding true to man made emissions having a measureable effect.  

Go home Hokie, science isn't your forte, or keeping bets on leaving when you're dead fvcking wrong either. 

HoolaHoopMan

They will admit they were way off and their models were too. CO2 simply isn't as powerful as they thought and they can't prove how much humans have to do with climate if at all.

The science is catching up to their past doom and gloom predictions which is a good thing.

And they could no longer ignore the elephant in the room.

Hokie, half of the links you provided are op-eds or blogs.  Hell even the telegraph article you posted still says the IPCC will conclude that man made global warming is real, even in spite of the new trends being lower than expected.  

Are you still saying that man made global warming is made up?  If you're so sure you should bet your account again.  You were oh so right about the election, amirite?

Man-made global warming was over-hyped and it's impacts are minimal. The data shows that.
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#6 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts

[QUOTE="KC_Hokie"]

[QUOTE="theone86"]Three, how are these figures affected by current efforts to reduce carbon emissions?  This could be a case of the chicken or the egg.  Yes, former predictions may be more dire than current predictions, but there has been a growing movement to reduce carbon emissions in recent years, one that was already going on when the initial studies were done, so we could be seeing more optimistic predictions as a result of efforts to reduce carbon emissions.  This shouldn't be "oh, things are getting better so we can all stop worrying about it now," this should be "oh, things are getting better, that means we've been doing a good job reducing carbon emissions and should continue down this path."theone86

Not sure what planet you've been living on but CO2 levels due to man on earth have been going up for a decade. Temperature has been flat.

Thus, the IPCC had to admit they overestimated CO2 influence on climate.

Previous IPCC models estimate rises in CO2 emissions, current models revise those estimates.  Lowered estimates of carbon emissions=less warming.

Tempature has not been flat, this claim has been disproven before.

Again, CO2 levels haven't stopped rising. Temperature peaked in 1998.

The IPCC is finally having to admit this and their models were way off. CO2 isn't nearly as influential as thought.

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#7 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts

Interesting graph showing how off the IPCC predictions have been:

global-warming-hoax-2013.gif

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#8 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts

Three, how are these figures affected by current efforts to reduce carbon emissions?  This could be a case of the chicken or the egg.  Yes, former predictions may be more dire than current predictions, but there has been a growing movement to reduce carbon emissions in recent years, one that was already going on when the initial studies were done, so we could be seeing more optimistic predictions as a result of efforts to reduce carbon emissions.  This shouldn't be "oh, things are getting better so we can all stop worrying about it now," this should be "oh, things are getting better, that means we've been doing a good job reducing carbon emissions and should continue down this path."theone86
Not sure what planet you've been living on but CO2 levels due to man on earth have been going up for a decade. Temperature has been flat.

Thus, the IPCC had to admit they overestimated CO2 influence on climate.

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#9 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts

[QUOTE="KC_Hokie"][QUOTE="jimkabrhel"]

It's hilarious that you would quite Feynman, because if you repeated your nonsense to him, he would destroy you intellectually.

jimkabrhel

After the data doesn't match the predictions....highly doubt that on the issue of man-made global warming.

You really don't get it do you: predictions change when new information if found and new models are made. First you put too much stock in absolutes as a skeptics, then you refuse to change when the science does. You pick out parts that support your argument and don't lool at the whole picture. 

Honestly, take a science course or two and then try to form coherent arguments.

No, the IPCC man-made theory of the past is admittedly wrong based on the data (the elephant in the room for all these years).

Will they update their theory...sure. But they admitted they were wrong for all these years and CO2 isn't nearly as influential as they once thought.

These people admitting they were wrong in terms of man-made global warming and CO2 is a big deal. They've been pushing doom and gloom due to man-made global warming for years.

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#10 KC_Hokie
Member since 2006 • 16099 Posts

[QUOTE="KC_Hokie"]

[QUOTE="worlock77"]

Sure it's possible. It's also possible that that's the case for our concept of gravity as well.

jimkabrhel

"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong. "

-Nobel Laureate Richard P. Feynman

It's hilarious that you would quite Feynman, because if you repeated your nonsense to him, he would destroy you intellectually.

After the data doesn't match the predictions....highly doubt that on the issue of man-made global warming.