Chances are that Nintendo are stockpiling at least a reasonable number of Wii's for the christmas period. It will still be in short supply and probably get outsold by the 360 for at least one of the holiday months but there will be more available. Why would Nintendo stockpile Wii's? Because people shopping for christmas presents get more pissed off if they can't find what they want = bad image for Nintendo.
Anyway just my (baseless) opinion.
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