[QUOTE="jetpower3"]
[QUOTE="Stesilaus"]
Right now, you could measure the IQ of every Libyan with a tape measure: The broader the smile, the lower the IQ.
Few Libyans will be cheering when their standard of living plunges to rock bottom.
Make no mistake: The "democratic" government that NATO has selected for the Libyans has a mandate to reassign Libya to a new stratum of the global economy. It will be a stratum far below the one Libya occupied under Gaddafi.
Stesilaus
What the **** makes you say that? Libya has plenty of oil, and it will always be able to sell it. It may suffer in the short term because oil production is currently crippled, but nonetheless it should be able to generate plenty of cash to create the same standard of living for its population, if not better (after all Gaddafi is said to have misappropriated many billions of dollars, despite his generous public investments).
Look at Iraq, 8.5 years after the commencement of externally-imposed regime change.
How well is it doing economically, in spite of having oil reserves far larger than Libya's?
For a quick answer, look for it on the following list. (It comes in at number 9.)
List of countries by Failed States Index
Well, first off, good thing this isn't exactly externally-imposed regime change. More like externally-aided regime change. If the Libyans wanted Gaddafi so much, he wouldn't have collapsed so quickly. And the fact that rebels came from both the east and west of the country testifies to the fact that this effort was by no means one-sided.
I am well aware of the failed state index. It has to do more with, well, a failed state/government than a failed economy. Iraq's economy is actually doing very well growth-wise, even despite the violence and ongoing insurgency. And even though Iraq has larger oil reserves than Libya, it does not have all the infrastructure in place necessary to extract it, and its population is also far larger (more than 5 times as large to be exact).
Which brings us to the last point: what makes you automatically assume that there will be an insurgency? I don't doubt there is always the possibility, but Iraq's situation is very different from Libya's. Libya does not have a Sunni-Shi'a sectarian divide and I think it's clear that former regime supporters will not be marginalized to the extent they were in Iraq. Makes it a little bit more difficult for dangerous groups like Al Qaeda to gain a foothold (and to many, their ideas have been discredited in the face of the Arab Spring).The very fact that there are no foreign "boots on the ground" will also separate Libya from further comparisons with Iraq, whose insurgency was fueled by not only the sectarian divide, but also the occupation that followed the invasion.
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